July 7th, 2015

Cyber-attacks: Mounting Concerns

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we review recent GC Capital Ideas stories on mounting concerns over cyber-attacks.

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July 6th, 2015

GC Capital Ideas Most Recent CAT-I Stories For 2015

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here are the most recent CAT-i stories covering January through June of 2015.

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July 3rd, 2015

Week’s Top Stories: June 27 — July 3, 2015

Posted at 7:00 AM ET

First Time Cat Bond Issuers, Q1 2015: In a promising sign for the 144A P&C catastrophe bond market, one new issuer successfully obtained capital markets protection during the first quarter. Safepoint Insurance Company, seeking to establish long-term relationships with alternative capital providers, issued USD100 million of Principal At-Risk Variable Rate Notes via a newly established catastrophe bond shelf program, Manatee Re Ltd. Series 2015-1. As the deal upsized from USD75 million, the insurance-linked securities investor base accommodated the growing Florida insurer, clearly demonstrating investors’ willingness to assume risk from start-up and/or growing insurance companies seeking protection in 144A bond format.

Read the article>>

 

Guy Carpenter Names Tim Gardner CEO of U.S. Operations: Guy Carpenter announced the appointment of Tim Gardner as CEO of U.S. Operations effective August 1, 2015. Mr. Gardner will be a member of the Guy Carpenter Board of Managers and he will be based in New York.

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Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index 1990 to 2015: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2015.

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Private Catastrophe Bond Market, Q1 2015: The private catastrophe bond market continues to grow steadily in 2015, with USD196.7 million of limit placed in rule 4(2) private placement format via six transactions through March 31, 2015. The 2015 year-to-date volume (through March 31, 2015) has exceeded the total full-year issuance in the individual years 2011, 2012 and 2013. Total year-end issuance in 2014 was USD561.5 million across 17 transactions. As the industry continues to develop and enhance platforms to facilitate issuance of smaller catastrophe bonds, it is likely the market will continue to see further issuance in such a format over 2015.

Read the article>> 

 

June 1, 2015 Renewals Show Rate of Price Declines Moderating: Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC, a leading global risk and reinsurance specialist and a wholly owned subsidiary of Marsh & McLennan Companies (NYSE:MMC), reports that after two years of  price decreases averaging 15 percent on U.S. property catastrophe placements, risk-adjusted pricing moderated at the most recent June renewals.

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And, You May Have Missed…

Insured Cat Losses - Europe/Middle East/Africa - 2014: Insured losses for the regions encompassing Europe, the Middle East and Africa accounted for around 21 percent of global insured losses in 2014. The most significant events included the severe convective outbreak (hail and windstorm Ela) that affected areas including Germany, France, Belgium and Austria. A frontal boundary crossing the area initiated severe thunderstorms and supercells. The thunderstorms inflicted damaging wind gusts and hail over a widespread area with reports of hail exceeding seven centimeters (2.8 inches) in diameter and isolated reports of hailstones as large as 12 centimeters (4.7 inches). Estimated insured losses from this event were around USD2.8 billion.

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Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

July 2nd, 2015

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: Second Quarter 2015

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index 1990 to 2015: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2015.

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2. Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness: Prior to the recent turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management (ERM) to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.

Read the article>> 

 

3. Reinsurance Versus Subordinate Debt: Which Is Best for Solvency Capital?: In recent months a number of market commentators have opined on the merits of proportional reinsurance versus subordinated debt (sub debt), some favoring reinsurance solutions and some favoring sub debt, but generally finding results in line with the products their companies offered. Guy Carpenter feels reinsurance or sub debt alone is unlikely to provide the best solution to meet solvency capital requirements. Instead, a blended approach should be considered.

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4. Chart: Regional Property Catastrophe ROL Index, 1990 to 2015: The chart shows the indexes for United States, United Kingdom, Asia Pacific and Europe.

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5. June 1, 2015 Renewals Show Rate of Price Declines Moderating: Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC, a leading global risk and reinsurance specialist and a wholly owned subsidiary of Marsh & McLennan Companies (NYSE:MMC), reports that after two years of  price decreases averaging 15 percent on U.S. property catastrophe placements, risk-adjusted pricing moderated at the most recent June renewals.

Read the article>> 

 

6. Impact of Insurance Market Cycles on Insurers’ Reserves: Here we review GC Capital Ideas stories on the impact of insurance market cycles on insurers’ reserves.

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7. January 1, 2015 Renewals See Lower Pricing and Broader Coverage for Clients: Guy Carpenter reports reinsurance pricing fell at the January 1, 2015 renewals in many segments, affecting almost all lines of business and geographies, continuing recent renewal trends.

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8. Guy Carpenter Launches CAT Risk Studio to Enhance Catastrophe Risk Analysis Capabilities: Guy Carpenter launched CAT Risk Studio (CRS), a new division that will support Guy Carpenter’s Model Suitability Analysis (MSA)® initiative and will work closely with GC Securities* on the development of parametric products for catastrophe risk transfer. CRS establishes Guy Carpenter’s presence at the Marsh & McLennan Innovation Centre in Dublin, Ireland.

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9. Managing Catastrophe Model Uncertainty, Issues and Challenges: Here we repeat our popular series authored by John Major, which focuses on the issues and challenges in managing catastrophe model uncertainty.

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10. Guy Carpenter Launches New Public Sector Specialty Practice: Guy Carpenter announced the launch of the Public Sector Specialty Practice. This global team is focused exclusively on the unique risk management needs of governmental agencies and entities.

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*Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

July 1st, 2015

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: June, 2015

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. June 1, 2015 Renewals Show Rate of Price Declines Moderating: Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC, a leading global risk and reinsurance specialist and a wholly owned subsidiary of Marsh & McLennan Companies (NYSE:MMC), reports that after two years of  price decreases averaging 15 percent on U.S. property catastrophe placements, risk-adjusted pricing moderated at the most recent June renewals.

Read the article>>

 

2. Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index 1990 to 2015: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2015.

Read the article>>

 

3. Guy Carpenter Launches CAT Risk Studio to Enhance Catastrophe Risk Analysis Capabilities: Guy Carpenter launched CAT Risk Studio (CRS), a new division that will support Guy Carpenter’s Model Suitability Analysis (MSA)® initiative and will work closely with GC Securities* on the development of parametric products for catastrophe risk transfer. CRS establishes Guy Carpenter’s presence at the Marsh & McLennan Innovation Centre in Dublin, Ireland.

Read the article>>

 

4. Microinsurance Consortium and Venture Incubator Announces New Name: The Microinsurance Consortium, led by a group of leading companies in the insurance industry, announced a new name for their microinsurance venture incubator (MVI) - Blue Marble Microinsurance. The consortium consists of American International Group, Inc., Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited, Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC together with Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd., Old Mutual plc, Transatlantic Reinsurance Company, XL Catlin, and Zurich Insurance Group.

Read the article>>

 

5. Chart: Significant Insured Losses - 2011 to YE 2014: Reports losses by quarter.

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6. Evolving Role of Reinsurance in Public Sector Risk: Here we review the evolving role of reinsurance in mitigating public sector risk through the expanding deployment of reinsurance and capital market solutions.

Read the article>>

 

7. Guy Carpenter Launches the Financial Institutions and Cyber Components of the GC ForCas℠ Casualty Catastrophe Modeling Platform: Guy Carpenter announced the launch of the Financial Institutions and Cyber components of the GC ForCas℠ casualty catastrophe modeling platform. GC ForCas is a stochastic modeling platform developed to help insurance carriers better understand their exposure to casualty catastrophe losses resulting from the accumulation of U.S. Commercial Lines insurance policies.  

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8. Cyber-attacks: Mounting Concerns: Here we review recent GC Capital Ideas stories on mounting concerns over cyber-attacks.

Read the article>>

 

9. Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness: Prior to the recent turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management (ERM) to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.

Read the article>>

 

10. Cat Bond Update: Q1 2015 - Issuance Reaches Historic Volume: GC Securities’* briefing, “Catastrophe Bond Update: First Quarter 2015″ is now available.

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Click here to register to receive e-mail updates >>

 

*Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

June 30th, 2015

Guy Carpenter Names Tim Gardner CEO of U.S. Operations

Posted at 10:45 PM ET

Guy Carpenter today announced the appointment of Tim Gardner as CEO of U.S. Operations effective August 1, 2015. Mr. Gardner will be a member of the Guy Carpenter Board of Managers and he will be based in New York.

Continue reading…

June 30th, 2015

Private Catastrophe Bond Market, Q1 2015

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The private catastrophe bond market continues to grow steadily in 2015, with USD196.7 million of limit placed in rule 4(2) private placement format via six transactions through March 31, 2015. The 2015 year-to-date volume (through March 31, 2015) has exceeded the total full-year issuance in the individual years 2011, 2012 and 2013. Total year-end issuance in 2014 was USD561.5 million across 17 transactions. As the industry continues to develop and enhance platforms to facilitate issuance of smaller catastrophe bonds, it is likely the market will continue to see further issuance in such a format over 2015.

Continue reading…

June 29th, 2015

First Time Cat Bond Issuers, Q1 2015

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

In a promising sign for the 144A P&C catastrophe bond market, one new issuer successfully obtained capital markets protection during the first quarter. Safepoint Insurance Company, seeking to establish long-term relationships with alternative capital providers, issued USD100 million of Principal At-Risk Variable Rate Notes via a newly established catastrophe bond shelf program, Manatee Re Ltd. Series 2015-1. As the deal upsized from USD75 million, the insurance-linked securities investor base accommodated the growing Florida insurer, clearly demonstrating investors’ willingness to assume risk from start-up and/or growing insurance companies seeking protection in 144A bond format.

Continue reading…

June 26th, 2015

Week’s Top Stories: June 20 — 26, 2015

Posted at 7:00 AM ET

Evolving Role of Reinsurance in Public Sector Risk: Here we review the evolving role of reinsurance in mitigating public sector risk through the expanding deployment of reinsurance and capital market solutions.

Read the article>>

 

Guy Carpenter Releases 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season Briefing: Guy Carpenter released a briefing on the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season. According to the report, hurricane activity for the Atlantic Basin is projected to be below average for the 2015 season although impactful landfalls can occur in any hurricane season, even those of reduced activity.

Read the article>>

 

Microinsurance Consortium and Venture Incubator Announces New Name: The Microinsurance Consortium, led by a group of leading companies in the insurance industry, announced a new name for their microinsurance venture incubator (MVI) - Blue Marble Microinsurance. The consortium consists of American International Group, Inc., Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited, Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC together with Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd., Old Mutual plc, Transatlantic Reinsurance Company, XL Catlin, and Zurich Insurance Group.

Read the article>>

 

Chart: Q1 Cat Bond Issuance Reaches Historic Volume: Chart presents the 144A P&C catastrophe bond issuance from 1998 through the first quarter of 2015. The first quarter is particularly active in terms of issuance for the P&C cat bond market and this characteristic continued into 2015 as USD1.49 billion of 144A P&C cat bond limit was successfully placed with investors, the highest first quarter volume in history.

Read the article>>

 

Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index 1990 to 2015: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2015.

Read the article>>

 

And, You May Have Missed…

Guy Carpenter Announces MetaRisk® 8: Guy Carpenter announced the release of MetaRisk® 8, the latest version of the firm’s premier risk and capital management decision-making tool.

Read the article>>

 

Click here to register to receive e-mail updates>>

 

Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

June 25th, 2015

Repeat Cat Bond Issuers, Q1 2015

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Six repeat sponsors re-entered the market in the three months ending March 31, each issuing either replacement coverage or additional limit in advance of the North Atlantic wind season. Many of the repeat sponsors sought to continue to take advantage of attractive pricing as demonstrated by Catlin’s Galileo Re Ltd. Series 2015-1 Notes. This particular transaction was Catlin’s second catastrophe bond issuance through the Galileo Re Ltd. catastrophe bond facility and fifth overall 144A catastrophe bond issuance, with the 2015-1 tranche sitting below the outstanding Series 2013-1 layer. The 2015-1 Notes demonstrate that investors continue to show an interest in high risk/higher yielding products as the initial risk interest spread on the Galileo Re Series 2015-1 Notes is 13.50 percent with a modeled annual expected loss of 8.60 percent on a sensitivity basis - based on AIR risk analysis.

Continue reading…