March 18th, 2019

Climate Change Has Claimed Its Biggest Corporate Victim; Now Banks Are on Alert

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Rob Bailey, Director of Climate Resilience at Marsh & McLennan Insights

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When PG&E filed for Chapter 11 protection in January, The Wall Street Journal dubbed it the “first climate change bankruptcy.” The California power utility was facing USD 30 billion in potential liabilities following a series of devastating wildfires linked to its equipment-wildfires made more likely by a prolonged period of hot, dry weather that had reduced the surrounding forests to tinder and which scientists have since attributed to climate change.

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March 15th, 2019

Week’s Top Stories: March 9 - 15, 2019

Posted at 10:00 AM ET

GC Capital Ideas Covers Modeling Developments: GC Capital Ideas presents a review of our recent stories covering modeling for various perils.

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Prioritizing Business Risks in Japan: In 2019, technological and geopolitical threats continue to be at the center of the risk landscape for businesses in Japan. Other vulnerabilities have also resurfaced, notably the persistent threats of natural catastrophes, the country’s tight labor market and the specter of an asset bubble.

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Building for Resilience: How to Avoid a Catastrophe Model Failure: Since commercial catastrophe (CAT) models were first introduced in the 1980s, they have evolved as new scientific discoveries and claims insights emerged. Despite the sophisticated nature of each new generation of CAT models, occasionally a model misses a significant loss driver for a particular peril. This occurs when a previously hidden attribute reveals itself through unprecedented intensity. Lessons from such surprises stimulate model improvements as our understanding of the physics of the peril and its damage potential, increase. Through this process, models mature over time.

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MMC Cyber Risk Handbook 2019: Cyber risk is a critical concern for business leaders. According to the World Economic Forum’s 2018 Executive Opinion Survey of more than 12,500 executives, large cyber-attacks are ranked as the #1 risk for doing business virtually across all advanced economies. As companies develop their approach to this dynamic and challenging threat in 2019, there are some emerging trends that they should consider.

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Chart: Evolution of the Sidecar Market: Chart presents the evolution of sidecar capacity compared with the Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index, 2005 - 2018.

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And, you may have missed….

GC Securities* Acts as Sole Structurer and Placement Agent for First Cat Bond to Transfer Standalone Terrorism Risk to the ILS Market: GC Securities announced the placement of GBP 75,000,000 Series 2019 Principal At-Risk Variable Rate Notes issued through Baltic PCC Limited, a protected cell company domiciled in the United Kingdom, on behalf of Pool Re.

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*Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities LLC, a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, 12 Endeavour Square, London, E20 1JN. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities LLC, MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product.

March 14th, 2019

Chart: Global Composite Return on Average Equity, 2005-9M 2018

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

An analysis of the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite through nine months of 2018 (the latest data available) shows Return on Average Equity at 7 percent, near the five-year average return of 8.1 percent.

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March 13th, 2019

GC Capital Ideas Covers Modeling Developments

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

GC Capital Ideas presents a review of our recent stories covering modeling for various perils.

Continue reading…

March 12th, 2019

MMC Cyber Risk Handbook 2019

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

cyber-handbook-cover-image-smallCyber risk is a critical concern for business leaders. According to the World Economic Forum’s 2018 Executive Opinion Survey of more than 12,500 executives, large cyber-attacks are ranked as the #1 risk for doing business virtually across all advanced economies. As companies develop their approach to this dynamic and challenging threat in 2019, there are some emerging trends that they should consider.

Continue reading…

March 11th, 2019

Prioritizing Business Risks in Japan

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

In 2019, technological and geopolitical threats continue to be at the center of the risk landscape for businesses in Japan. Other vulnerabilities have also resurfaced, notably the persistent threats of natural catastrophes, the country’s tight labor market and the specter of an asset bubble.

Continue reading…

March 8th, 2019

Week’s Top Stories: March 2 - 8, 2019

Posted at 10:00 AM ET

Sidecars: Capitalizing on Market Cycles to Improve Client Solutions: Following U.S. hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma in 2005 and the ensuing “hard” property catastrophe reinsurance market, reinsurers and investors increasingly started turning to sidecar insurance linked securities to access new and replacement capacity.

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Building for Resilience: How to Avoid a Catastrophe Model Failure: Since commercial catastrophe (CAT) models were first introduced in the 1980s, they have evolved as new scientific discoveries and claims insights emerged. Despite the sophisticated nature of each new generation of CAT models, occasionally a model misses a significant loss driver for a particular peril.

Read the article >>


Identifying and Responding to a Dysfunctional Culture: Loss of clients, mass employee walk-outs, shareholder lawsuits, stock price drops, hundreds of CEOs and executives turnovers, and countless daily instances of organizational inefficiencies - these are just some of the recent impacts of cultural dysfunction.

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Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2019.

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First Singapore Catastrophe Bond Sets Stage for ILS Expansion in Asia-Pacific: The first catastrophe bond has been issued out of Singapore. This highlights the potential of the insurance-linked securities (ILS) market in the region, and is aligned with the city-state’s efforts to establish itself as a global hub for Asian risk transfer. The bond is sponsored by Insurance Australia Group (IAG) as part of its 2019 catastrophe aggregate reinsurance cover, and represents the first such transaction by the company.

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And, you may have missed….

GC Securities* Acts as Sole Structurer and Placement Agent for First Cat Bond to Transfer Standalone Terrorism Risk to the ILS Market: GC Securities announced the placement of GBP 75,000,000 Series 2019 Principal At-Risk Variable Rate Notes issued through Baltic PCC Limited, a protected cell company domiciled in the United Kingdom, on behalf of Pool Re.

Read the article >>


Click here to register to receive email updates >>

*Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities LLC, a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, 12 Endeavour Square, London, E20 1JN. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities LLC, MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product.

March 7th, 2019

Building for Resilience: How to Avoid a Catastrophe Model Failure: Part IV

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

powers_imelda_resized

Imelda Powers, Global Chief Catastrophe Modeler

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Valuation Assumptions

There is no database of agreed property, contents or business interruption valuations among vendors or insurers.  Any user’s particular valuation may come from databases of property prices, or rebuild values from claims adjusters and building surveyors. If the model’s assumed valuations are under- or over-estimated, then the damage function may over- or under-compensate in order to balance to historical industry event losses during the model-building process. Consequently, it is important that the user adjust the damage module to reconcile these differences.

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March 6th, 2019

Chart: Evolution of the Sidecar Market

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Chart presents the evolution of sidecar capacity compared with the Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index, 2005 - 2018.
Continue reading…