September 1st, 2015

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: August, 2015

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Tropical Depression Soudelor: Typhoon Soudelor made landfall in Hualien County, Taiwan at about 05:00 CST Saturday (21:00 UTC Friday), with one-minute sustained winds of 120 mph (195 kilometers per hour) according to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC). Soudelor brought excessive rainfall and strong winds to Taiwan, causing inland flooding, mudslides and reports of widespread damage.

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2. Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index 1990 to 2015: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2015.

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3. Guy Carpenter Mid-Year Review Assesses Key Industry Trends: Guy Carpenter released its 2015 Mid-Year Report on the (re)insurance landscape. In addition to providing a brief recap of renewal activity highlighted in their release on July 9, the report assesses key industry trends, including a detailed assessment of mergers and acquisitions activity and highlights other notable themes such as cyber security risk, increased regulation and public-private partnerships.

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4. Guy Carpenter’s 9th Specialty Insurance Program Issuing Carrier Survey: Guy Carpenter continues to provide the industry with our survey analysis of the current program marketplace from the program issuing carriers’ perspective.

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5. Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness: Prior to the recent turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management (ERM) to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.

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6. Microinsurance Consortium and Venture Incubator Announces New Name: The Microinsurance Consortium, led by a group of leading companies in the insurance industry, announced a new name for their microinsurance venture incubator (MVI) - Blue Marble Microinsurance. The consortium consists of American International Group, Inc., Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited, Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC together with Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd., Old Mutual plc, Transatlantic Reinsurance Company, XL Catlin and Zurich Insurance Group

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7. Chart: Regional Property Catastrophe ROL Index, 1990 to 2015: The chart shows the indexes for United States, United Kingdom, Asia Pacific and Europe.

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8. Managing Catastrophe Model Uncertainty, Issues and Challenges: Here we repeat our popular series authored by John Major, which focuses on the issues and challenges in managing catastrophe model uncertainty.

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9. June 1, 2015 Renewals Show Rate of Price Declines Moderating: Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC, a leading global risk and reinsurance specialist and a wholly owned subsidiary of Marsh & McLennan Companies (NYSE:MMC), reports that after two years of  price decreases averaging 15 percent on U.S. property catastrophe placements, risk-adjusted pricing moderated at the most recent June renewals.

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10. July 1 Renewals Reveal Price Declines Moderating Especially for US Wind-Exposed Programs: Guy Carpenter released its July 1 Renewal Briefing  that shows price declines have continued to moderate, predominantly on programs covering US wind. Overall pricing was down again at the July renewal across virtually all geographies and lines of business. However, additional limit placed over the past few months is partially responsible for the stabilization of price declines, particularly for US property. Increased demand for reinsurance and expansion of tailored coverage persisted through the July renewal period from previous seasons.

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August 31st, 2015

July U.S. Casualty Renewal

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Consistent with Guy Carpenter’s post-January 1, 2015 renewal report, the U.S. casualty reinsurance market continued to soften on both quota share and excess of loss reinsurance programs. This trend continues to be driven by the reduction in property catastrophe premiums, causing reinsurers to further diversify their overall premium writings into casualty lines and by the improved loss ratios among these underlying lines of business. As a result, reinsurance pricing continued to soften via ceding commissions increases on quota share placements (albeit at a slower pace than in 2014 and earlier in 2015) and rate decreases on excess of loss placements (subject to stable loss experience).

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August 28th, 2015

Week’s Top Stories: August 22 — 28, 2015

Posted at 7:00 AM ET

Mid-Year Report: Executive Summary: The (re)insurance industry continues to evolve and adapt to a changing market on many fronts. Recent areas of focus include heightened cyber security risk, increased regulation, political and economic uncertainty, low interest rates and slow economic growth. At the same time, (re)insurers are managing new capital inflows, excess capacity and few catastrophe losses.

Read the article>>

 

Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index 1990 to 2015: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2015.

Read the article>>

 

PA/MGA Growth Through Acquisitions: The survey indicates a dramatic shift in the percent of program carriers interested in making acquisitions, following a couple of years of steady decline. This year, 69 percent of respondents indicated an interest in growing through acquisitions (up from 44 percent in 2012). When queried on the types of acquisitions they are seeking, most respondents’ interests appear to be acquiring either MGA/PA firms (63 percent) or teams of people (32 percent). This year none of the respondents was interested in acquiring third party administrators or wholesalers. Interest in carriers buying other insurance carriers remained relatively unchanged at 19 percent.

Read the article>>

 

Guy Carpenter Mid-Year Review Assesses Key Industry Trends: Guy Carpenter released its 2015 Mid-Year Report on the (re)insurance landscape. In addition to providing a brief recap of renewal activity highlighted in their release on July 9, the report assesses key industry trends, including a detailed assessment of mergers and acquisitions activity and highlights other notable themes such as cyber security risk, increased regulation and public-private partnerships.

Read the article>>

 

Chart: Regional Property Catastrophe ROL Index, 1990 to 2015: The chart shows the indexes for United States, United Kingdom, Asia Pacific and Europe.

Read the article>>

 

And, You May Have Missed…

GC Securities* Completes Catastrophe Bond Bosphorus Ltd. Series 2015-1 Notes Benefiting the Turkish Catastrophe Insurance Pool: GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a U.S. registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC, announced the placement of the Series 2015-1 Notes, with notional principal of USD 100,000,000, through the newly formed catastrophe bond shelf program, Bosphorus Ltd., to benefit the Turkish Catastrophe Insurance Pool (TCIP). The 2015-1 Notes represent the second time that TCIP has utilized the capital markets to obtain earthquake protection on a parametric basis. TCIP, managed by Eureko Sigorta A.Ş., first accessed the cat bond market in 2013 via the issuance of Bosphorus 1 Re Ltd. and has now sourced USD500 million in total of catastrophe bond capacity from capital market investors.

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*Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

August 27th, 2015

Property Price Declines Moderate

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

As Guy Carpenter predicted at the beginning of 2015, buyers continued to purchase more catastrophe limit to take advantage of the lower prices that have already occurred in most business segments and geographies.

Continue reading…

August 26th, 2015

GC Securities* Completes Catastrophe Bond Bosphorus Ltd. Series 2015-1 Notes Benefiting the Turkish Catastrophe Insurance Pool

Posted at 6:45 AM ET

GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a U.S. registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC, today announced the placement of the Series 2015-1 Notes, with notional principal of USD 100,000,000, through the newly formed catastrophe bond shelf program, Bosphorus Ltd., to benefit the Turkish Catastrophe Insurance Pool (TCIP). The 2015-1 Notes represent the second time that TCIP has utilized the capital markets to obtain earthquake protection on a parametric basis. TCIP, managed by Eureko Sigorta A.Ş., first accessed the cat bond market in 2013 via the issuance of Bosphorus 1 Re Ltd. and has now sourced USD 500 million in total of catastrophe bond capacity from capital market investors.

Continue reading…

August 26th, 2015

Mid-Year Report: Executive Summary, Part II

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The trends outlined in Guy Carpenter’s January 1 renewal report continued through the first six months of 2015. Guy Carpenter’s observation that buyers were purchasing more catastrophe limit to take advantage of lower costs, continued to be borne out and even accelerated. The increased demand for reinsurance and expansion of tailored coverage persisted through the April, June and July renewals.

Continue reading…

August 25th, 2015

Mid-Year Report: Executive Summary, Part I

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The (re)insurance industry continues to evolve and adapt to a changing market on many fronts. Recent areas of focus include heightened cyber security risk, increased regulation, political and economic uncertainty, low interest rates and slow economic growth. At the same time, (re)insurers are managing new capital inflows, excess capacity and few catastrophe losses.

Continue reading…

August 24th, 2015

PA/MGA Growth Through Acquisitions, Part II

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The vast majority of the respondents to Guy Carpenter’s survey of managing general agents intend to use company funds or company stock (if applicable) to make acquisitions (81 percent this year versus 47 percent in 2012). Despite access to bank financing, private equity and venture capital options, respondents showed no interest in employing those financial vehicles. It appears insurance companies continue to have ample capital and would use their own resources rather than go to outside sources.

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August 21st, 2015

Week’s Top Stories: August 15 — 21, 2015

Posted at 7:00 AM ET

PA/MGA Performance Management: A carrier’s need for growth and profitability has to be closely monitored and controlled in the PA/MGA space. Every respondent in this year’s survey indicated that they had audit procedures in place to assure adherence to established risk selection and underwriting guidelines, financial billing, collection, remittance and banking guidelines, claim reporting, adjusting and settlement guidelines. Even though some changes have taken place in the number of audits conducted each year, including a notable increase in the percent of respondents doing four or more audits, rising to its highest level since 2008, this year’s results reflect the current and historical importance of the carriers’ PA/MGA management process.

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Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index 1990 to 2015: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2015.

Read the article>>

 

Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness: Prior to the recent turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management (ERM) to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.

Read the article>>

 

Microinsurance Consortium and Venture Incubator Announces New Name: The Microinsurance Consortium, led by a group of leading companies in the insurance industry, announced a new name for their microinsurance venture incubator (MVI) - Blue Marble Microinsurance. The consortium consists of American International Group, Inc., Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited, Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC together with Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd., Old Mutual plc, Transatlantic Reinsurance Company, XL Catlin, and Zurich Insurance Group.

Read the article>>

 

Guy Carpenter Mid-Year Review Assesses Key Industry Trends: Guy Carpenter released its 2015 Mid-Year Report on the (re)insurance landscape. In addition to providing a brief recap of renewal activity highlighted in their release on July 9, the report assesses key industry trends, including a detailed assessment of mergers and acquisitions activity and highlights other notable themes such as cyber security risk, increased regulation and public-private partnerships.

Read the article>>

 

And, You May Have Missed…

El Niño’s Impact on the 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season: The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon is signaled by sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) in the tropical East Pacific, with warm “El Niño” phases and cold “La Niña” phases. The large-scale circulations associated with El Niño enhance wind shear (changing wind speed with height) in the tropical Atlantic. The enhanced wind shear disrupts tropical cyclone development, generally resulting in fewer tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Basin. The suppressing effects of El Niño are found to be strongest in the deep tropics and for African “Cape Verde” type storms.

Read the article>>

 

Click here to register to receive e-mail updates>>

August 20th, 2015

PA/MGA Growth Through Acquisitions, Part I

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The survey indicates a dramatic shift in the percent of program carriers interested in making acquisitions, following a couple of years of steady decline. This year, 69 percent of respondents indicated an interest in growing through acquisitions (up from 44 percent in 2012). When queried on the types of acquisitions they are seeking, most respondents’ interests appear to be acquiring either MGA/PA firms (63 percent) or teams of people (32 percent). This year none of the respondents was interested in acquiring third party administrators or wholesalers. Interest in carriers buying other insurance carriers remained relatively unchanged at 19 percent.

Continue reading…