February 21st, 2019

Building for Resilience: How to Avoid a Catastrophe Model Failure: Part II

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Imelda Powers, Global Chief Catastrophe Modeler

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Model Suitability Analysis

There is a repertoire of tests, at both the macro and micro levels, to evaluate the merits of a CAT model.  Regardless of resources, insurers should analyze how each test’s result informs their view of risk. Here we review the macro level.

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February 20th, 2019

Risk Financing Strategies Needed as Exposure to Flood Increases

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

extreme-weather-2The affordability of flood resilience will become an increasingly critical issue as rising sea levels and urbanization expose a growing number of people and population centers to floods, says the World Economic Forum’s Global Risk Report 2019.

The 14th edition of the Global Risks Report, prepared with the support of Guy Carpenter’s parent company, Marsh & McLennan Companies, states that robust risk financing strategies will be required to fund investment in adaptation and to pay for recovery when floods occur. Continue reading…

February 19th, 2019

Sidecars: Capitalizing on Market Cycles to Improve Client Solutions

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

sweitzer_geoff_newphoto

Geoffrey Sweitzer, Managing Director, GC Securities*

Following U.S. hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma in 2005 and the ensuing “hard” property catastrophe reinsurance market, reinsurers and investors increasingly started turning to sidecar insurance linked securities to access new and replacement capacity. Continue reading…

February 18th, 2019

GC Capital Tip: Share Your Favorite Articles

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Did you find a story on GC Capital Ideas to be particularly useful? Let your colleagues know. You can flag the articles you find most helpful. You can “socially bookmark” articles on GC Capital Ideas in a few simple steps.

At the bottom of every article, you’ll see a button that says, “Share.” Click it, and look for your preferred social bookmarking website, such as LinkedIn. If you aren’t registered with one of these sites, you’ll be prompted to do so (which doesn’t take long). Then, just log in, and label your favorite articles from GC Capital Ideas. Continue reading…

February 15th, 2019

Week’s Top Stories: February 9 - 15, 2019

Posted at 10:00 AM ET

Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2019.

View the chart >>

Cybersecurity, Strategic and Financial Risks to Dominate Risk Landscape: According to nearly 400 treasury professionals surveyed, strategic and financial risks, along with cybersecurity, will dominate the risk landscape for the next 18-36 months.

Read the article >>

Building for Resilience: How to Avoid a Catastrophe Model Failure: Since commercial catastrophe (CAT) models were first introduced in the 1980s, they have evolved as new scientific discoveries and claims insights emerged. Despite the sophisticated nature of each new generation of CAT models, occasionally a model misses a significant loss driver for a particular peril. This occurs when a previously hidden attribute reveals itself through unprecedented intensity. Lessons from such surprises stimulate model improvements as our understanding of the physics of the peril and its damage potential, increase. Through this process, models mature over time.

Read the article >>

IoT Devices Increase Security Incident Risks: Industrial control systems, smart buildings and homes, pacemakers, cameras, and even fish tanks - all of these Internet of Things (IoT) products have been hacked by cyber-attackers looking to disrupt networks and extort money from users, says the report The US Financial and Professional Lines Market in 2019: Our Top 10 List by Guy Carpenter’s affiliate company, Marsh.

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Automobile Liability Segment Outlook: In 2017, writers of automobile (auto) liability insurance continued to cope with deteriorating combined ratios, which remained above 100 percent for the seventh consecutive year. While carriers have implemented effective strategies that improved their operations and as a result are achieving improved expense ratios, evolving market and environment factors continue to challenge auto insurers. Consequently, improved expense ratios and premium increases did not rise as rapidly as claims and losses. The outlook for the sector remains negative.

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And, you may have missed …

Reinsurance Rate Movement Limited at January 1 Despite Uncertainty over Pricing Adequacy and Available Capital: The overall impact of catastrophe losses on property rates was muted at the January 1, 2019 reinsurance renewals, but the fourth highest annual catastrophe loss year on record did create questions over pricing adequacy, underwriting strategy and the amount of capital available, says Guy Carpenter.

Read the article >>

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February 14th, 2019

Building for Resilience: How to Avoid a Catastrophe Model Failure: Part I

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Imelda Powers, Global Chief Catastrophe Modeler

Contact

Since commercial catastrophe (CAT) models were first introduced in the 1980s, they have evolved as new scientific discoveries and claims insights emerged. Despite the sophisticated nature of each new generation of CAT models, occasionally a model misses a significant loss driver for a particular peril. This occurs when a previously hidden attribute reveals itself through unprecedented intensity. Lessons from such surprises stimulate model improvements as our understanding of the physics of the peril and its damage potential, increase. Through this process, models mature over time.

Continue reading…

February 13th, 2019

IoT Devices Increase Security Incident Risks

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Industrial control systems, smart buildings and homes, pacemakers, cameras, and even fish tanks - all of these Internet of Things (IoT) products have been hacked by cyber-attackers looking to disrupt networks and extort money from users, says the report The US Financial and Professional Lines Market in 2019: Our Top 10 List by Guy Carpenter’s affiliate company, Marsh. Continue reading…

February 12th, 2019

Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2019.

Continue reading…

February 11th, 2019

Cybersecurity, Strategic and Financial Risks to Dominate Risk Landscape

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

thumbnailAccording to nearly 400 treasury professionals surveyed, strategic and financial risks, along with cybersecurity, will dominate the risk landscape for the next 18-36 months.

This finding from the 2019 AFP Risk Survey: The Evolving Treasury Ecosystem highlights the challenges facing finance and treasury professionals as they help their organizations navigate the deep disruption occurring across all economic sectors. Continue reading…