Verification of Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Australian Region in 2009/2010
The Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre (GCACIC) issued forecasts in December of 2009 of the annual number of tropical cyclones affecting the Australian region. A comparison of the actual number of storms that occurred with the forecasts, verifies that eight tropical storms were forecast in the entire Australian region and eight tropical cyclones occurred during the season. Regarding the Western Australia region, five tropical cyclones were forecast and four actually occurred. The GCACIC forecast correctly predicted the number of tropical cyclones in the Australian region and only slightly over-estimated the tropical storm number in the Western Australia region.
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