August 24th, 2010

Update: Hurricane Danielle

Posted at 2:15 PM ET

danielle2-smallDanielle has strengthened over the last 24 hours to become the second hurricane of the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season, and the storm is currently located approximately 1,110 miles (1,790 kilometers) east of the Lesser Antilles, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). Danielle packs sustained winds of around 100 mph (160 kmph) and is currently traveling in a westerly direction. Danielle is expected to take a turn to the west-northwest and then the northwest over the next 24 hours. The storm is also forecast to strengthen during this time as it moves into a favorable environment for intensification, and the NHC says Danielle could become a major hurricane by Wednesday. The NHC said hurricane-force winds extend 30 miles (45 kilometers) from the center of the storm while tropical storm-force winds extend 115 miles (185 kilometers).

The official NHC prediction has Danielle tracking to the northwest over the next few days and curving to the north-northwest towards the end of the 5-day forecast period. This motion would see the storm continue to track across the mid-Atlantic and pass to the east of Bermuda by the weekend. However, long-term forecasts are subject to change, as illustrated by the wide area covered by the NHC’s Cone of Uncertainty in the above map.

danielle2-big

Sources: National Hurricane Center, WSI, Associated Press, Reuters News, Agence France Presse

Guy Carpenter will continue to closely monitor Danielle’s progress and we will only issue an update to this report if the storm takes a path that is likely to see it impact land.

Sources: National Hurricane Center, WSI, Associated Press, Reuters News, Agence France Presse

Click here to read the previous update on this event >>

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Guy Carpenter’s Instrat® department provides CAT-i reports for major natural catastrophes worldwide. These reports cover catastrophes including worldwide tropical cyclones, earthquakes, major UK and European floods and any other natural event that is likely to incur a significant loss to the (re)insurance industry. Please email CAT.i@guycarp.com if you wish to be added to the free email distribution list.

Instrat also provides RISK-i reports for major technological or man-made events worldwide. These reports cover risks to property, transport and life including explosions, fires, crashes, engineering disasters and terrorist attacks that are likely to incur a significant loss to the (re)insurance industry. Please email RISK.i@guycarp.com if you wish to be added to the free email distribution list.

Hazard data illustrated in the CAT-i map was taken from i-aXs®, Guy Carpenter’s web-based risk management platform. i-aXs users can view impacted areas on any map as well as see how their portfolios were affected. Please contact your broker or Instrat® representative for assistance or go to www.i-axs.info for further information.

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