July 28th, 2011

Tropical Storm Don

Posted at 10:17 AM ET

don-smallTropical Storm Don, the fourth named storm of the 2011 Atlantic hurricane season, developed at 21:00 UTC on July 27 and is currently located in the Gulf of Mexico, approximately 635 miles (1,025 kilometers) east-southeast of Corpus Christi in Texas, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). Don packs sustained winds of around 40 mph (65 kmph). The storm is traveling in a west-northwest direction and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 to 36 hours as the storm approaches the Texas coastline. The NHC said Don is a small storm, with tropical storm-force winds extending 45 miles (75 kilometers) from its center.

A tropical storm watch is in effect for the coast of Texas from the mouth of the Rio Grande northward to west of San Luis Pass. The NHC added that tropical storm conditions are expected within the watch area by late Friday. On its current path, Don is projected to move through the southern and central Gulf of Mexico today and approach the Texas coast on Friday. Although Don is expected to intensify slightly before making landfall, the current NHC forecast does not expect the storm to strengthen into a hurricane. Although there is significant uncertainty in both the forecast track and intensity, the NHC currently expects Don to make landfall just south of Corpus Christi in the early hours of July 30 with sustained winds of around 60 mph (100 kmph). However, long-term forecasts are subject to change and forecasters said Don could come ashore anywhere from Northern Mexico to central Texas.

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Hazard data illustrated in the CAT-i map was taken from i-aXs®, Guy Carpenter’s web-based risk management platform. i-aXs users can view impacted areas on any map as well as see how their portfolios were affected. Please contact your broker or GC Analytics (SM) representative for assistance or go to www.i-axs.info for further information.

Offshore, several energy operators, including Shell Oil and Apache Corp, have begun precautionary evacuations of support workers from platforms in the Gulf of Mexico. However, no companies have undertaken measures to shut production yet.

Sources: National Hurricane Center, WSI, Associated Press, Reuters News, Agence France Presse

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Guy Carpenter publishes CAT-i reports for major natural catastrophes worldwide. These reports cover catastrophes including worldwide tropical cyclones, earthquakes, major UK and European floods and any other natural event that is likely to incur a significant loss to the (re)insurance industry. Please email CAT.i@guycarp.com if you wish to be added to the free email distribution list.

Guy Carpenter compiles RISK-i reports for major technological or man-made events worldwide. These reports cover risks to property, transport and life including explosions, fires, crashes, engineering disasters and terrorist attacks that are likely to incur a significant loss to the (re)insurance industry. Please email RISK.i@guycarp.com if you wish to be added to the free email distribution list.

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