The update addresses regulators’ concerns regarding two key aspects of catastrophe exposure in casualty insurance - reserving risk and man-made catastrophe risk.
David Lewin, Managing Director, stated, “The uncertainty regarding the ultimate loss cost of long-tail liability exposures has led insurance regulators to insist on a very high capital allocation requirement for liability classes within the Solvency II guidelines. Right now, the gap between claims inflation and investment return is a serious factor for the Eurozone. If asset performance does not keep pace with this inflation, the concern is that we may see a real depletion in the value of loss reserves. Insurers need to demonstrate - not only to Solvency II regulators, but also to rating agencies and analysts - that they have a suitable mitigation strategy in place.”
“Over the past few years, several incidents, seemingly isolated, have ballooned into cross-border, cross-industry and cross-business line catastrophes. Chain reactions of liability, such as the Deepwater Horizon oil spill and the Chinese drywall product recall, have led insurers to question how they can assess the impact of a major legal liability catastrophe on their portfolio.”