December 17th, 2013

Models on GC Capital Ideas

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we highlight recent stories that have appeared on GC Capital Ideas on models and modeling

Guy Carpenter Insights on A.M. Best’s 2013 Updates: A.M. Best has recently issued several insurance ratings updates. Guy Carpenter has reviewed those updates and has key insights to help companies better understand their potential impact.

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Uncertainty in Catastrophe Models:  How Much of it is Reasonable?  It seems reasonable to expect a degree of uncertainty in catastrophe model results. It is not uncommon, however, for models to produce results that differ by several factors. In order to assess how much of this uncertainty is epistemic, due to our incomplete knowledge of the physical phenomena involved, this existing uncertainty needs to be quantified.

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