Archive for April, 2014



April 29th, 2014

Insurance Industry Reserve Releases to Continue Through 2014

Posted at 11:30 PM ET

Guy Carpenter today released an updated analysis of industry reserves. Based on 2013 annual statutory statements, Guy Carpenter has updated their analysis of the reserve cycle by examining accident year data for eleven lines of business. According to the analysis, workers compensation reserves appear to be improving, despite noted deterioration over the last year. Similarly, medical professional liability and commercial multi peril lines appear to be making tentative turns to show greater reserve release in accident year 2012 than expected. Conversely, other lines such as commercial auto liability continued to exhibit deterioration.

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April 28th, 2014

GC Securities* Completes 144A Indemnity Triggered Europe Windstorm Catastrophe Bond for Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A.

Posted at 11:30 PM ET

GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a U.S. registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC, today announced the placement of Principal At-Risk Variable Rate Notes, with notional principal at €190,000,000, through a newly formed special purpose reinsurance vehicle domiciled in Ireland, Lion I Re Limited, to benefit Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A., an Italian insurance company and the parent company of the Generali Group. This is the first time that Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. has utilized the cat bond market and is the first ever 144A cat bond to provide indemnity protection against Europe windstorm risks. Additionally, it is the first Italian sponsored catastrophe bond

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April 28th, 2014

New Marsh Report: Need for Terrorism Insurance Strong

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

A new report released by Guy Carpenter parent company, Marsh, confirms that demand for terrorism insurance remains strong and the existence of the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act (TRIPRA) plays a key role in making coverage available and affordable.

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April 25th, 2014

Week’s Top Stories: April 19 – 25, 2014

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

Periodic Payment Orders: Here we bring together the GC Capital Ideas two part series on periodic payment orders authored by Victoria Jenkins.

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GC Capital Ideas Review of Terrorism’s Impact on Insurance and Technology: Here we review some recent GC Capital Ideas stories related to the issue of terrorism, addressing the impact on both the insurance industry and technology.

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Capital Stewardship Options:  Here we bring together recent GC Capital Ideas stories that have presented options that good capital stewards in the reinsurance industry are currently considering for deployment of excess capital.

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Reinsurance Renewals in 2014: As we complete the April 1, 2014 reinsurance renewal, we review the GC Capital Ideas renewal stories of 2014.

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Guy Carpenter and Oliver Wyman Publish Third Annual Insurance Risk Benchmarks Report: Guy Carpenter and its sister company, Oliver Wyman, the international management consulting firm, published the third annual Insurance Risk Benchmarks in September of 2013. We highlight the report here again.

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And, You May Have Missed…

10 Most Popular Chart Room Entries: Here we review one of GC Capital Ideas more viewed categories, the Chart Room, with the top 10 most popular stories viewed since March 1st.

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April 24th, 2014

Capital Stewardship Options

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we bring together recent GC Capital Ideas stories that have presented options that good capital stewards in the reinsurance industry are currently considering for deployment of excess capital. 

Maintaining the Status Quo: One of the biggest challenges facing reinsurers is deciding how to deploy excess capital to generate a return that meets or exceeds the expectation of investors or shareholders.

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Return to Shareholders:  As a principle, excess capital should be returned to shareholders in periods of low return opportunity (particularly below cost of capital) while more capital should be retained/deployed during periods that offer higher returns. The chart here on the Global Reinsurance Composite Return of capital shows that reinsurers have been relatively disciplined over the last eight years, with carriers returning more capital when the pricing environment has softened.

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Organic Growth: With an abundance of excess capital, negligible growth in global reinsurance spend and the pricing outlook continuing to soften, one of the biggest challenges facing reinsurers is deciding how to deploy this excess capital to generate a return that meets or exceeds the expectation of investors or shareholders. Here we consider the option of organic growth.

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M&A - Grow/Diversify by Product Line: As carriers explore M&A opportunities to grow in the current environment, there is strong interest from potential buyers looking for bolt-on opportunities rather than transformational transactions. Although this demand has not to-date triggered a significant increase in M&A transactions, the ingredients for more activity are now in place.

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M&A - Grow/Diversify by Territory: With growth opportunities limited in mature markets, many insurers are looking to emerging markets for future expansion, in particular China, Southeast Asia and Central and Latin America. The chart here highlights gross written premium growth in emerging markets compared to developed markets from a 2003 base.

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M&A: Achieve Meaningful Scale in Reinsurance: In a reinsurance market with abundant excess capital and where most reinsurance programs are oversubscribed, the need for a meaningful line size or differentiated underwriting contribution has never been more relevant.

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M&A: The Evolving Legacy (Run-Off) Market: The recent completion by legacy solution specialists of a number of acquisitions in the live insurance space could be a watershed moment for the standalone run-off market. The original business concept of a run-off manager was a pure focus on legacy business - to achieve finality in legacy claims and manage the outstanding book of legacy business in the same cost efficient way that an insurer would manage a renewal book of business.

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Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

April 23rd, 2014

Periodic Payment Orders

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we bring together the GC Capital Ideas two part series on periodic payment orders authored by Victoria Jenkins: 

Time Off for Certain Behavior, Part I: Behavioral economics is a fascinating field and one which actuaries should be aware of in their everyday work. It is the study of inherent biases in human decision-making. Many examples of these biases have been cited in connection with the financial crisis, and increasingly the implications for insurance are being examined.

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Time Off for Certain Behavior, Part II: Our experience in doing this has led to an “actuarial hunch” that PPO claims converted to their Ogden equivalents are not from the same underlying statistical distribution as traditional lump sum values. Fitting severity distributions to these claims in among the traditional lump sums can feel a bit like fitting to “apples and oranges.”

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April 22nd, 2014

GC Capital Ideas Review of Terrorism’s Impact on Insurance and Technology

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we review some recent GC Capital Ideas stories related to the issue of terrorism, addressing the impact on both the insurance industry and technology:

Chart: Countries Operating Compulsory or Optional Terrorism Pools:  A summary of the compulsory and optional terrorism pools that operate around the globe. 

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Guy Carpenter Insights on A.M. Best’s 2013 Updates: A.M. Best has recently issued several insurance ratings updates. Among them, insurers that are overly dependent on the Terrorism Risk Insurance Authorization Act (TRIPRA) may face negative rating pressure when the act expires at the end of 2014. A.M. Best continues to assess the impact of terrorism risk exposure relative to BCAR levels in its discussions with carriers.

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Range of Cyber Risks: Cyber risks range from legal liability and computer security breaches to privacy breaches of confidential information. Data breaches typically involve the intent to either copy, extract or destroy data. However, the risks that companies face transcend simple data incidents and often include the broader range of perils associated with the structural vulnerability of our economy to failures of technology generally. Further risks include cyber extortion, cyber terrorism, loss of revenue due to a computer attack, recovery costs, reputational damage and supply chain disruption.

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April 21st, 2014

GC Capital Tip: Tagging

Posted at 1:30 AM ET

Every article on GC Capital Ideas is “tagged.” Tags are nothing more than keywords used to label a particular article. Since few stories deal with only one topic, tags give you several ways to find the information you need. To see an article on a specific subject, just click a tag at the end of an article. Examples include reinsurance rates, casualty, and catastrophe. Within each article, key terms are set up as links to tags, as well. Clicking one of these links (see the examples in the previous sentence) is the same as clicking a tag. It shows you all stories related to that keyword.

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April 21st, 2014

GC Capital Tip: Talk to the Author

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Do you have a question about one of our articles? If so, contact us. Longer articles on GC Capital Ideas have a “contact” link right at the top. Clicking it will open your e-mail program and provide the appropriate address and subject line, so we can route your inquiry to the best source. If the e-mail software you use is not configured for this, e-mail us at: guy_carpenter@guycarp.com.

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April 18th, 2014

Week’s Top Stories: April 12 – 18, 2014

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Guy Carpenter and Oliver Wyman Publish Third Annual Insurance Risk Benchmarks Report: Guy Carpenter and its sister company, Oliver Wyman, the international management consulting firm, published the third annual Insurance Risk Benchmarks in September of 2013. We highlight the report here again.

Read the article>> 

 

Reinsurance Renewals in 2014: As we complete the April 1, 2014 reinsurance renewal, we review the GC Capital Ideas renewal stories of 2014.

Read the article>> 

 

10 Most Popular Chart Room Entries: Here we review one of GC Capital Ideas more viewed categories, the Chart Room, with the top 10 most popular stories viewed since March 1st.

Read the article>> 

 

ERM Benchmark Review Update 2013: Here we bring together the GC Capital Ideas four part Enterprise Risk Management Update story for 2013.

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Catastrophe Bond Outlook for 2014: The growing influence of alternative markets capacity is pressuring traditional reinsurers’ business model and challenging them to compete against a model with lower-cost of capital that continues to enter the reinsurance market. Most reinsurance companies have responded to the challenge by leveraging their incumbent status on reinsurance programs, offering similar or better terms and similar or reduced pricing. Particularly, traditional players are emphasizing their ability to efficiently provide reinstatements, which are seen by many as a critical part of core reinsurance programs, particularly for working reinsurance layers.

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And, You May Have Missed…

Americas Catastrophe Review, 2013: As with Europe, 2013 was a year of flood in the Americas, with notable events in Alberta, Toronto and Colorado. The flood event in the Calgary, Alberta area of Canada resulted in estimated insured losses of around USD2 billion, with economic losses of USD4.8 billion.  This event, combined with flash-flooding in Toronto, Ontario in July, meant Canada experienced its most expensive insured catastrophe loss year on record.

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Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office:  1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS.  Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC.  MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies.  This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product.