Archive for September, 2014



September 30th, 2014

Review of MENA Insights GC Videocast

Posted at 6:30 AM ET

Here we review a recent series of GC Capital Ideas Videocast interviews with a panel of experts from the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region.

GC Videocast - MENA Insights: Nick Frankland, CEO, Guy Carpenter’s EMEA Operations: Welcome to the beginning of a new series of video interviews with an esteemed panel of experts from the MENA region. The MENA Insights interviews, conducted by Guy Carpenter, offer a snapshot of how (re)insurance in MENA is developing and the many opportunities for (re)insurers.

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GC Videocast - MENA Insights: Dr. Cherif Chentir, Chief Underwriting Officer from SCOR SE: In our first MENA Insights interview, Dr. Cherif Chentir, Chief Underwriting Officer, Middle East, South Eastern Europe, Greece, Cyprus, Malta, SCOR SE, talks about the mega-projects taking place in the region and his belief that insurance penetration can only move in one direction. He looks back over his long career and charts the development of a market that has changed beyond all recognition.

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GC Videocast - MENA Insights: Michael Watson, Chairman and CEO, Canopius: In our second MENA Insights interview, Michael Watson, chairman and chief executive of Canopius, talks about how the MENA region has all the right ingredients for a growth-minded reinsurer, reveals what he thinks of Lloyd’s decision to open an office in the DIFC and why Canopius is considering establishing its own presence in the region.

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GC Videocast - MENA Insights: Fadi AbuNahl, Chief Executive, Trust Re: In our third MENA Insights interview Fadi AbuNahl, chief executive of Trust Re, describes how the MENA (re)insurance market has developed in recent years and what has prompted greater risk retention within the underlying market. He thinks there is plenty of reinsurance premium to go around but cautions against competing on price alone.

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GC Videocast - MENA Insights: Mahomed Akoob, Managing Director, Hannover Re Takaful: In our fourth MENA Insights interview Mahomed Akoob, managing director of Hannover Re Takaful, considers the huge potential of the Takaful and Retakaful market in the region, which he thinks could grow at a faster pace than Asia. Islamic finance is driving much of the demand for Shariah compliant insurance coverage to be taken out for major infrastructure projects.

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GC Videocast - MENA Insights Speaks To Guy Carpenter’s Chris Pleasant: In our fifth and final MENA Insights interview, Chris Pleasant, Managing Director of Guy Carpenter, offers an upbeat vision of the future. While the current soft market presents challenges, it belies the greater (re)insurance opportunity ahead. As local insurance markets mature and the approach to reinsurance buying becomes more sophisticated, MENA will enter the next chapter of growth.

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September 29th, 2014

TRIPRA Renewal Proposals

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The Republican-led Financial Services Committee in the House of Representatives put forward a draft proposal outline to reauthorize the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act (TRIPRA) on May 1, 2014. After further negotiations, the House Republican leadership presented the TRIA Reform Act of 2014 on June 11 that proposes a five-year reauthorization of the federal program (to the end of 2019) with a similar copay structure to that of the Senate bill. The full senate passed their committee’s recommended version 93-4 on July 17, 2014. However, a number of changes have also been proposed that have the potential to impact the market if fully implemented, including higher program triggers for non-nuclear, biological, chemical and radiological (NBCR) events, an increase to the recoupment rate and an enhancement to the program’s taxpayer repayment requirements. The table below outlines the different terms and durations that have been put forward by the Senate and the House.

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September 26th, 2014

Week’s Top Stories: September 20 — 26, 2014

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

Terrorism Solutions: Modeling: To support the process of managing and underwriting the terrorism peril, (re)insurers utilize data management and modeling tools to analyze the risk. The dynamic nature of terrorism and the uncertainty in identifying targets and the frequency of attacks requires a specialized approach to manage the risk.

Read the article>>

 

Cyber, Terrorism and New Compensation Structures Highlighted as Critical Emerging Risks: Guy Carpenter published a new report highlighting emerging risks facing the (re)insurance sector, including cyber-attacks, terrorism and new compensation structures for long-term bodily injuries. The report seeks to identify and categorize these risks that are now confronting the sector, as well as analyze their implications on businesses and (re)insurers.

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Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line index is presented for 1990 through 2014. The index fell by 11 percent at January 1, 2014.

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Influx of New Capital Continues to Reshape the Reinsurance Market: Guy Carpenter published a new report focusing on the growth in the insurance-linked securities (ILS) market during the past year and some of the recent developments in catastrophe bond structure and risk transfer.

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Capital Optimization: Using Internal Reinsurance for Group Capital Management: Increased capital efficiency remains at the forefront of (re)insurers’ strategies - owing largely to the pending introduction of the Solvency II regime, rating agency capital requirements and the continued pressure around shareholder expectations.

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And, You May Have Missed…

GC Videocast - Rendez-Vous Press Briefing 2014, Introduction (Alex Moczarski): Alex Moczarski, President and Chief Executive Officer, Guy Carpenter & Company, and Chairman, Marsh & McLennan Companies International, introduces the Guy Carpenter press briefing at the Monte Carlo Rendez-Vous in this GC Capital Ideas videocast.

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Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.
September 25th, 2014

RMS Global Probabilistic Terrorism Model

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

RMS released an updated Probabilistic Terrorism Model (PTM) in July 2012, version 3.1.2. The new model revised the annual frequency of a terrorist attack on US soil. No updates were made to geographies outside the United States.

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September 24th, 2014

AIR US Terrorism Model

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

AIR implemented significant model updates in version 13 of CLASIC/2TM, released in 2011. The updates impacted hazard components such as the target and landmark database, event frequency estimates and exposure and policy conditions.

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September 23rd, 2014

Commercial Terrorism Models

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The catastrophe modeling companies have regularly updated their terrorism models over the years to reflect the changing threat landscape and help (re)insurers and other market participants perform robust terrorism risk assessments. Such updated products from RMS and AIR include:

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September 22nd, 2014

Terrorism Solutions: Modeling

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

To support the process of managing and underwriting the terrorism peril, (re)insurers utilize data management and modeling tools to analyze the risk. The dynamic nature of terrorism and the uncertainty in identifying targets and the frequency of attacks requires a specialized approach to manage the risk.

Continue reading…

September 19th, 2014

Week’s Top Stories: September 13 — 19, 2014

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

Cyber, Terrorism and New Compensation Structures Highlighted as Critical Emerging Risks: Guy Carpenter published a new report highlighting emerging risks facing the (re)insurance sector, including cyber-attacks, terrorism and new compensation structures for long-term bodily injuries. The report seeks to identify and categorize these risks that are now confronting the sector, as well as analyze their implications on businesses and (re)insurers.

Read the article>>

 

Influx of New Capital Continues to Reshape the Reinsurance Market: Guy Carpenter published a new report focusing on the growth in the insurance-linked securities (ILS) market during the past year and some of the recent developments in catastrophe bond structure and risk transfer.

Read the article>> 

 

Guy Carpenter Explores Wider Impact of Market Conditions: The growing presence of the capital markets, over capacity in most lines and territories, and the ongoing rationalization of buying strategies are not only influencing market dynamics, but also the continuing evolution of the broker into a capital and risk advisor. This is according to the panel of speakers at the seventh annual press briefing held at the Reinsurance Rendez-Vous 2014 in Monte Carlo by Guy Carpenter.

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Capital Optimization: Using Internal Reinsurance for Group Capital Management: Increased capital efficiency remains at the forefront of (re)insurers’ strategies - owing largely to the pending introduction of the Solvency II regime, rating agency capital requirements and the continued pressure around shareholder expectations.

Read the article>> 

 

GC Strategic Advisory Update: Reinsurers Ratings Challenged with Negative Sector Outlook: The major rating agencies covering the reinsurance sector (A.M. Best, S&P, Moody’s, Fitch) have all voiced concerns with the industry’s ability to adjust to the seemingly overwhelming headwinds currently facing the sector. With A.M. Best recently changing its outlook, the view of the reinsurance sector across the rating agencies is now unanimously negative.

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And, You May Have Missed…

US Terror Risk Sector Capacity: Despite this increase in terrorism market capacity, it is not sufficient on its own to provide comprehensive terrorism cover in the United States. According to a Guy Carpenter (re)insurance capital study, dedicated global capital to the US (re)insurance market is estimated to be approximately USD700 billion. Catastrophe models that produce nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological (NBCR) event scenarios estimate losses from a large nuclear attack in Manhattan (at greater than USD900 billion) would likely exceed the total amount of capital in the US market. The study consequently concludes that the (re)insurance sector does not have the capital necessary to withstand such a scenario. Some form of federal backstop is therefore needed if the private (re)insurance market is to continue to provide capacity to higher risk areas.

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Click here to register to receive e-mail updates>>

Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

September 18th, 2014

Terrorism Reinsurance Strategies

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Even if the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act (TRIPRA) is renewed without wholesale changes, the recent organic growth in US nationwide workers compensation premiums as a result of rate rises and payroll growth is likely to cause insurance companies’ deductibles to increase. This in turn is likely to increase demand for terrorism reinsurance.

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September 17th, 2014

As Cyber-Attacks Escalate, So Does Demand for Cyber-Specific Insurance

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

morley-speed-small2-97kirsten-eickstaedt-sma852mike-brown-sm972jeremy-platt-ls971Morley Speed, Managing Director, UK Cyber Solutions; Kirsten Eickstaedt, Managing Director, European Division and Casualty Solutions Group ; Mike Brown and Jeremy Platt, Co-Leaders of Cyber Solutions Specialty Practice

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From data breaches, to network business interruption to cyber extortion, the frequency and severity of cyber-attacks that have struck governments, utilities, individuals, medical and academic institutions and companies of all sizes are on the rise.

Continue reading…