April 10th, 2015

Week’s Top Stories: April 4 — 10, 2015

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index 1990 to 2015: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2015.

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The Americas Catastrophe Losses 2014: The Americas accounted for 57 percent of global losses in 2014, compared to 48 percent in 2013, 87 percent in 2012 and 26 percent in 2011. Man-made incidents included the explosion of an unmanned supply rocket in October in Virginia, the October crash of the Virgin Galactic spaceship in California and the Chevron Phillips refinery fire in Texas in July.

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January 1, 2015 Renewals See Lower Pricing and Broader Coverage for Clients: Guy Carpenter reports reinsurance pricing fell at the January 1, 2015 renewals in many segments, affecting almost all lines of business and geographies, continuing recent renewal trends.

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Managing Catastrophe Model Uncertainty, Issues and Challenges: Here we repeat our popular series authored by John Major, which focuses on the issues and challenges in managing catastrophe model uncertainty.

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Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness: Prior to the recent turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management (ERM) to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.

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And, You May Have Missed…

Catastrophe Bond Tenor in 2014: Eighty-nine percent of property and casualty (P&C) risk capital (based only on 144A cat bond transactions) had a bond tenor of either three or four years in 2014, a decrease from 93 percent in 2013. This was due to increased usage of risk periods longer than four years. This was largely influenced by Sanders Re 2014-1, a USD300 million five year transaction benefiting Allstate (Q2) and Kilimanjaro Re 2014-2, a USD500 million five year transaction benefiting Everest Re (Q4). Investors were receptive to longer-term transactions (a position we expect will continue into 2015) as both deals were oversubscribed. However, such deals closed either above or at the midpoint of initial price guidance, indicating that investors required additional compensation for risk periods longer than four years. Sponsors continued to express interest in bonds with risk periods beyond five years, which we expect will persist through 2015 and beyond.

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