Soudelor carries one-minute sustained winds of about 160 mph (260 kilometers per hour), and a west-northwest motion of 12 mph (19 kilometers per hour). Soudelor is now equivalent to a Category 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale, thanks to reduced wind shear and warm waters.
Position and JTWC Best Track Forecast. Source: JTWC
The JTWC is expecting Soudelor to maintain strength for the immediate term, before a slow weakening trend after 18 hours or so. Soudelor should maintain a west-northwesterly track, with Northern Taiwan landfall on August 7, and final landfall on the China coast on August 8.
Prior to Taiwan landfall, the JTWC forecasts one-minute sustained winds of about 135 mph (130 kilometers per hour) at 12 UTC August 7, equivalent to a Category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale. Severe wind impacts should be expected in Taiwan, with moderate to severe structural damage for areas closest the eyewall. Light to moderate structural impacts can be expected over a more widespread area for both China and Taiwan. Excessive rainfall and storm surge also are expected hazards, which could bring inland and coastal flooding, respectively. These impacts will vary depending on the exact track and intensity of Soudelor over the coming days.
Local watches and warnings from official meteorological agencies, and statements from local emergency management agencies supersede this update, and should be closely heeded concerning matters of personal safety.