Tropical Depression Soudelor: Typhoon Soudelor made landfall in Hualien County, Taiwan at about 05:00 CST Saturday (21:00 UTC Friday), with one-minute sustained winds of 120 mph (195 kilometers per hour) according to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC). Soudelor brought excessive rainfall and strong winds to Taiwan, causing inland flooding, mudslides and reports of widespread damage.
PA/MGA Commercial Lines Appetite: A line by line comparison of respondents’ appetites in the prior year’s survey with those of this year reveals some changes in emphasis. Workers compensation and medical malpractice experienced large growth in percent of respondents who were currently writing, looking for new growth or aggressively seeking growth. The property line grew by 6 percentage points to become only the second line, outside of general liability, where the majority of respondents say they are pursuing business. Inland marine, accident & health and professional liability for insurance agents showed significant declines in business pursuit. Overall, many of the lines saw drops in appetite or remained unchanged. It appears that current economic conditions and elevating loss ratios are keeping carriers’ growth expectations in commercial lines business relatively flat.
Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index 1990 to 2015: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2015.
Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness: Prior to the recent turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management (ERM) to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.
Guy Carpenter Mid-Year Review Assesses Key Industry Trends: Guy Carpenter released its 2015 Mid-Year Report on the (re)insurance landscape. In addition to providing a brief recap of renewal activity highlighted in their release on July 9, the report assesses key industry trends, including a detailed assessment of mergers and acquisitions activity and highlights other notable themes such as cyber security risk, increased regulation and public-private partnerships.
And, You May Have Missed…
2015 Atlantic Hurricane Seasonal Outlooks Suggest Reduced Basin Activity: As illustrated in the figure below, the historical proportion between basin counts and landfalls has been very volatile on an annual basis. There is only a weak correlation between hurricane counts in the Atlantic Basin and the number of U.S. landfalls. The statistical significance is a subject of some debate in the scientific community.