Archive for November, 2015



November 30th, 2015

Reserving and Capital Setting: Background and Challenges

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Loss reserves are arguably one of the most difficult risks to estimate and monitor. In fact, inadequate pricing and deficient loss reserves have been the leading cause of property/casualty company impairments. According to A.M. Best, from 1969 to 2009 they triggered approximately 40 percent of all impairments - four times more than those emanating from natural catastrophes (1). There are many uncertainties in managing long-tailed, heavily legislated lines of business that can be triggered from emerging risks. Unforeseen inflation and anticipated legislative changes over a 10 to 30 year period present many demands. In order to prepare for emerging risk scenarios, future trends and related uncertainties need to be explicitly identified, contemplated and estimated.

Continue reading…

November 27th, 2015

Week’s Top Stories: November 21 — 27, 2015

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index 1990 to 2015: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2015.

Read the article>> 

 

Unmanned Aerial Systems/Drones: Growth projections for the drone or Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) sector are nothing short of phenomenal, as the opportunities and advantages afforded by using this type of machinery in construction, agriculture, energy/utilities, mining, real estate, news media, film production and public safety become increasingly more apparent each passing day. Nevertheless, the potential economic benefits are considered to be vast, expecting to generate an estimated economic benefit of USD82 billion along with 100,000 jobs by 2025.

Read the article>> 

 

Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness: Prior to the recent turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.

Read the article>>

 

Microinsurance Consortium and Venture Incubator Announces New Name: The Microinsurance Consortium, led by a group of leading companies in the insurance industry, announced a new name for their microinsurance venture incubator (MVI) - Blue Marble Microinsurance. The consortium consists of American International Group, Inc., Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited, Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC together with Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd., Old Mutual plc, Transatlantic Reinsurance Company, XL Catlin, and Zurich Insurance Group.

Read the article>>

 

Marsh & McLennan Companies Publishes Cyber Risk Handbook: Cyber risk is an escalating threat and one of the most challenging issues facing the world today. Attacks are becoming more frequent, more intense and more sophisticated. Motivations are wide-ranging - from financial gain to threatening critical infrastructure and national security - and the nature of attacks is constantly changing. With cyber risk, there is an active adversary so defenses need to be increasingly sophisticated to keep pace.

Read the article>> 

 

And, You May Have Missed…

Guy Carpenter Examines Shifting Public Sector Risk Landscape: Guy Carpenter announced the release of its Public Sector Risk Report, Partnerships: The Way to Public Sector Risk Financing, which examines the shifting economic and risk landscapes that are driving public sector entities to consider new approaches to risk financing.

Read the article>>  

 

Click here to register to receive e-mail updates>> 

November 26th, 2015

GC Capital Tip: Find Older Articles

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

During busy times of the year, we add articles quickly. So, what you see on the front page of GC Capital Ideas one day may not be there the next. The article has not disappeared; it has just moved to the next page. Articles are listed in the order in which they were published. The newest is at the top of the front page. To see those that are a bit older, go to the bottom of a page and click the “Older Entries” link.

Continue reading…

November 25th, 2015

Tracking and Modeling New Integrated, Intricate Technology Risks

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Casualty (re)insurers do not cover standalone emerging risks. A product defect (with recall) or a latent bodily injury resulting from new technological nano-products or Unmanned Aerial Systems risks, could lead to class action lawsuits and ultimately large liability claims including products liability as well as professional liability. This emergent reality, however, is difficult to address. A carrier would need to identify and model several possible epicenters of a liability chain reaction and follow their rapidly spreading implications throughout a portfolio. Without new powerful casualty modeling capabilities as well as highly granular data on the products and subcomponents that each of their insureds manufacture and sell globally, this process would be time-consuming, impossible to complete and likely to miss key threats and underlying exposures.

Continue reading…

November 24th, 2015

Self-Driving Automobiles

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Technologies that we may take for granted today such as anti-lock braking and airbag systems, driving and parking assistance, hazardous condition traction control and global positioning system routing, may soon all come together and evolve into fully autonomous self-driving automobiles. Self-driving cars are expected to begin commercial production and be in use by 2017. Google, the pioneer in the field, claims it can cut road accidents by eliminating the human driver who gets distracted by text messages or becomes tired. Although safety and efficiency gains have been the most cited and prominent benefits for the rationale for the development of self-driving automobiles, a considerable number of challenges remain.

Continue reading…

November 23rd, 2015

Unmanned Aerial Systems/Drones

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Growth projections for the drone or Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) sector are nothing short of phenomenal, as the opportunities and advantages afforded by using this type of machinery in construction, agriculture, energy/utilities, mining, real estate, news media, film production and public safety become increasingly more apparent each passing day. Nevertheless, the potential economic benefits are considered to be vast, expecting to generate an estimated economic benefit of USD82 billion along with 100,000 jobs by 2025 (1). This rapid increase in the number of drones is prompting concerns for:

  • Heightened collision risk for commercial airplanes as reports of drones in close proximity continue to make the headlines in the United States and the United Kingdom
  • Privacy concerns from remotely controlled autonomous UAS equipped with cameras
  • Increased concern of drones being hacked or used as weapons by terrorists.

Continue reading…

November 20th, 2015

Week’s Top Stories: November 14 — 20, 2015

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

Nanotechnology: The Plastics of the 21st Century: Many scientists view nanotechnology as the revolutionary technology of the 21st century. Just as plastics were a pervasive and revolutionary product of the 20th century, nanotechnology products are having widespread use and change our lives in a myriad of ways. This technology has quickly evolved into a global force that is transforming manufacturing, medicine and an ever increasing number of consumer/food goods. The field has become a worldwide market worth an estimated USD 1 trillion and is projected to grow at a rate of 16.5 percent through 2020.

Read the article>>

 

Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index 1990 to 2015: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2015.

Read the article>>

 

Microinsurance Consortium and Venture Incubator Announces New Name: The Microinsurance Consortium, led by a group of leading companies in the insurance industry, announced a new name for their microinsurance venture incubator (MVI) - Blue Marble Microinsurance. The consortium consists of American International Group, Inc., Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited, Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC together with Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd., Old Mutual plc, Transatlantic Reinsurance Company, XL Catlin, and Zurich Insurance Group.

Read the article>>

 

Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness: Prior to the recent turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management (ERM) to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.

Read the article>>

 

Marsh & McLennan Companies Publishes Cyber Risk Handbook: Cyber risk is an escalating threat and one of the most challenging issues facing the world today. Attacks are becoming more frequent, more intense and more sophisticated. Motivations are wide-ranging - from financial gain to threatening critical infrastructure and national security - and the nature of attacks is constantly changing. With cyber risk, there is an active adversary so defenses need to be increasingly sophisticated to keep pace.

Read the article>>

 

And, You May Have Missed…

PA/MGA Risk Sharing: Program managers may also manage the performance of their programs through the pursuit of risk sharing on behalf of their PA/MGA partners. As we saw in past surveys, not all respondents require risk sharing. This year, a significant number of respondents said they utilize a sliding scale commission structure (92 percent versus 76 percent for the prior survey year). The percent of respondents utilizing some type of captive structure fell this year to 8 percent from 24 percent in the prior year. Alternately, 19 percent of the respondents will still pay flat commissions, a sizeable drop from 36 percent in 2012.

Read the article>>

 

Click here to register to receive e-mail updates>>

November 19th, 2015

The Dawn of the Drones: The Evolving Opportunities and Risks of Unmanned Aerial Systems and Driverless Cars

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The overall rise of connectivity to a growing number of physical objects will entail additional emerging risks to individuals and companies. Examples include:

  • Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS or drones)
  • Driverless vehicles
  • - Trains are already in use in London and New York
  • - Self-driving cars may soon become more and more prevalent.

Continue reading…

November 18th, 2015

Nanotechnology: The Plastics of the 21st Century

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Many scientists view nanotechnology as the revolutionary technology of the 21st century. Just as plastics were a pervasive and revolutionary product of the 20th century, nanotechnology products are having widespread use and change our lives in a myriad of ways. This technology has quickly evolved into a global force that is transforming manufacturing, medicine and an ever increasing number of consumer/food goods. The field has become a worldwide market worth an estimated USD 1 trillion and is projected to grow at a rate of 16.5 percent through 2020 (1).

Continue reading…

November 17th, 2015

New Technologies, New Liability Risks and Emerging Product Exposure

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Risk is a major barrier to innovation. Taking a risk, however, is almost always the first step in any type of progress. The productivity of the global economy depends on companies that are willing to find new and better ways of doing things despite the potential perils involved. If they start to be ruled by fear of liability, our global development could be in jeopardy. By helping businesses manage the risks associated with product development, (re)insurers play an important role in stimulating innovation and helping our world move forward in positive ways. From the early days of marine exploration, to the first satellite launch, to the development of state-of-the-art technologies, (re)insurers have provided a critical safety net that has supported and encouraged the creative process. Given the continued transformative potential of emerging technologies such as nanotechnology, 3-D printing, aerial drones and self-driving automobiles, and their applications in virtually every industry, it is incumbent upon insurers and reinsurers to help accelerate the commercialization and benefits of these innovations to society. At the same time, it is critical to thoroughly understand and manage the risks.

Continue reading…