February 15th, 2019

Week’s Top Stories: February 9 - 15, 2019

Posted at 10:00 AM ET

Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2019.

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Cybersecurity, Strategic and Financial Risks to Dominate Risk Landscape: According to nearly 400 treasury professionals surveyed, strategic and financial risks, along with cybersecurity, will dominate the risk landscape for the next 18-36 months.

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Building for Resilience: How to Avoid a Catastrophe Model Failure: Since commercial catastrophe (CAT) models were first introduced in the 1980s, they have evolved as new scientific discoveries and claims insights emerged. Despite the sophisticated nature of each new generation of CAT models, occasionally a model misses a significant loss driver for a particular peril. This occurs when a previously hidden attribute reveals itself through unprecedented intensity. Lessons from such surprises stimulate model improvements as our understanding of the physics of the peril and its damage potential, increase. Through this process, models mature over time.

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IoT Devices Increase Security Incident Risks: Industrial control systems, smart buildings and homes, pacemakers, cameras, and even fish tanks - all of these Internet of Things (IoT) products have been hacked by cyber-attackers looking to disrupt networks and extort money from users, says the report The US Financial and Professional Lines Market in 2019: Our Top 10 List by Guy Carpenter’s affiliate company, Marsh.

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Automobile Liability Segment Outlook: In 2017, writers of automobile (auto) liability insurance continued to cope with deteriorating combined ratios, which remained above 100 percent for the seventh consecutive year. While carriers have implemented effective strategies that improved their operations and as a result are achieving improved expense ratios, evolving market and environment factors continue to challenge auto insurers. Consequently, improved expense ratios and premium increases did not rise as rapidly as claims and losses. The outlook for the sector remains negative.

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And, you may have missed …

Reinsurance Rate Movement Limited at January 1 Despite Uncertainty over Pricing Adequacy and Available Capital: The overall impact of catastrophe losses on property rates was muted at the January 1, 2019 reinsurance renewals, but the fourth highest annual catastrophe loss year on record did create questions over pricing adequacy, underwriting strategy and the amount of capital available, says Guy Carpenter.

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