March 4th, 2019

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: February 2019

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line index is presented for the years 1990 through 2019.

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2. Building for Resilience: How to Avoid a Catastrophe Model Failure: Since commercial catastrophe (CAT) models were first introduced in the 1980s, they have evolved as new scientific discoveries and claims insights emerged. Despite the sophisticated nature of each new generation of CAT models, occasionally a model misses a significant loss driver for a particular peril.

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3.Automobile Liability Segment Outlook: In 2017, writers of automobile (auto) liability insurance continued to cope with deteriorating combined ratios, which remained above 100 percent for the seventh consecutive year. While carriers have implemented effective strategies that improved their operations and as a result are achieving improved expense ratios, evolving market and environment factors continue to challenge auto insurers.

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4.Sidecars: Capitalizing on Market Cycles to Improve Client Solutions: Following U.S. hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma in 2005 and the ensuing “hard” property catastrophe reinsurance market, reinsurers and investors increasingly started turning to sidecar insurance-linked securities to access new and replacement capacity.

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5. Cybersecurity, Strategic and Financial Risks to Dominate Risk Landscape: According to nearly 400 treasury professionals surveyed, strategic and financial risks, along with cybersecurity, will dominate the risk landscape for the next 18-36 months.

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6. Reinsurance Rate Movement Limited at January 1 Despite Uncertainty over Pricing Adequacy and Available Capital: The overall impact of catastrophe losses on property rates was muted at the January 1, 2019 reinsurance renewals, but the fourth highest annual catastrophe loss year on record did create questions over pricing adequacy, underwriting strategy and the amount of capital available, says Guy Carpenter.

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7. Affirmative versus Silent Cyber: An Overview: While the current debate over “affirmative” versusĀ  “non-affirmative” coverage has been ongoing for a few years, WannaCry and Petya/NotPetya cyberattacks helped make the issue of “silent cyber” more critical.

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8. Risk Financing Strategies Needed as Exposure to Flood Increases: The affordability of flood resilience will become an increasingly critical issue as rising sea levels and urbanization expose a growing number of people and population centers to floods, says the World Economic Forum’s Global Risk Report 2019.

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9. GC Videocast - 2019 Cyber Landscape: New Regulations, Risks and Management Expectations: Cyber Practices experts at Guy Carpenter’s affiliate, Marsh, held a video webcast to look at how changing cyber risk exposures, regulations and best practices will change the cyber risk management landscape in 2019.

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10. Chart: Top Risks Expected to Increase in 2019: The chart lists the top ten risks expected to deteriorate in 2019 across five areas of concern highlighted in this year’s Global Risks Perception Survey (GRPS).

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