Archive for May, 2019



May 20th, 2019

Finding the Elusive Cyber Loss Curve Can Pay Big Dividends for Financial Institutions

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

cyber-handbook-cover-image-smallWhat is the likelihood that your organization will experience a material cyber event in the next 12 months? Is the risk greater than 50 percent? Less than 25 percent? These questions are ever-present on the minds of risk managers, who long for at least a practical - if not precise - answer.

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May 17th, 2019

Week’s Top Stories: May 11 - 17, 2019

Posted at 10:00 AM ET

A Risk Overview of Wildfire: Today, the frequency and severity of wildfires are garnering greater attention-not only from the media, but also from (re)insurers, catastrophe modelers, mitigation experts and other invested parties. As the industry searches for better understanding of this dynamic risk, Guy Carpenter’s GC Wildfire Diagnostic (SM) helps carriers differentiate and drive profitable growth using a bespoke selection of innovative, technology-based tools and services that span the disciplines of underwriting strategy, analytics and risk transfer.

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Flood Risk Challenges in Asia: Flood is one of the most significant natural catastrophe perils, globally accounting for nearly 40 percent of all catastrophe events. In 2017, floods accounted for nearly half of the natural catastrophe events and 65 percent of natural catastrophe deaths in the world - two thirds of the deaths occurring in Asia. According to the Lloyd’s City Risk Index, which examines flood risk as a percentage of GDP, nine of the top 10 cities at risk are located in Asia.

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Chart: Combined Ratio for Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, Year-End 2018: Chart presents combined ratio of the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2005 through year-end 2018.

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The Middle East and North Africa Risks Landscape: The results of climate inaction are becoming increasingly clear. The year 2018 was the fourth warmest on record. In the MENA region, Algeria had the hottest temperature - 51.3ºC - ever reliably recorded across the whole of Africa, and Oman recorded a minimum temperature of 42.6ºC. Rising temperatures led the United Nations to warn that melting ice sheets were causing sea-level rise to accelerate. The World Bank identified 24 port cities in the Middle East and 19 in North Africa at particular risk of rising waters.

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A Dynamic Approach to Managing Life Reinsurance Arrangements: The traditional life reinsurance model typically involves perpetual treaties linked to an underlying product. In order to create alignment between the contracting parties, the treaty would follow the underlying terms of the product. However, the treaty structure may concurrently include provisions that reduce alignment between the insurer and reinsurer, to the insurer’s detriment. This approach is often wrapped in the reinsurer’s “value proposition” - providing services to support the pricing, underwriting and claims management of the underlying product.

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And, you may have missed….

Methodological Considerations in the Statistical Modeling of Catastrophe Bond Prices: John Major has authored an article that aims to help actuaries, financial analysts, statisticians, data scientists and their clients better investigate how property catastrophe risk, and particularly catastrophe bonds, are  priced.

Read the article >>


Click here for additional Guy Carpenter insights >>

May 16th, 2019

Asia Pacific Focus – Insights from Guy Carpenter

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we present a recap of recent thought leadership from Guy Carpenter focusing on important insurance and reinsurance topics in Asia Pacific.

Understanding Flood Risk in Malaysia Through Catastrophe Modeling: According to Malaysia’s Department of Irrigation and Drainage, the many rivers running through the country put about 9 percent of the total land area under flood risk, potentially affecting 2.7 million people. Rapid urbanization is only going to worsen the problem through rising population concentrations and at-risk infrastructure, land consumption and the channeling of water courses.

Read the article >>


Closing The Gap: Insurance Penetration and Public Sector Risk Financing in Asia Pacific: In recent years, the issue of low penetration in catastrophe insurance across the growing economies of Asia Pacific, and the critical protection gap between economic losses caused by natural disaster events and insurance-covered losses are receiving the attention they merit. The insurance industry can play a significant role in narrowing the gap to help ensure sustainable economic development in one of the most dynamic regions of the world.

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The Transformation of Australian and New Zealand Life Insurance: The life insurance industry in Australia is facing unprecedented challenges from forces within and from the effects of an increasingly globalized economy. As life industry profitability has declined in Australia in recent years, the underlying manufacturing business model is rapidly changing.

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Asia’s Health Care Industry Reels from Cyberattacks: Health care is one of the sectors most vulnerable to cyberattacks, with more than one in four (27 percent) health care organizations reporting that they have been a victim of a cyberattack in the past 12 months.

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May 15th, 2019

The Middle East and North Africa Risks Landscape

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

mena_risks_briefing_paper_cover-thumbnail1The results of climate inaction are becoming increasingly clear. The year 2018 was the fourth warmest on record (1). In the MENA region, Algeria had the hottest temperature - 51.3ºC - ever reliably recorded across the whole of Africa, and Oman recorded a minimum temperature of 42.6ºC (2). Rising temperatures led the United Nations to warn that melting ice sheets were causing sea-level rise to accelerate. The World Bank identified 24 port cities in the Middle East and 19 in North Africa at particular risk of rising waters (3).

Continue reading…

May 14th, 2019

Flood Risk Challenges in Asia

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

mark-weatherhead-finalFlood is one of the most significant natural catastrophe perils, globally accounting for nearly 40 percent of all catastrophe events. In 2017, floods accounted for nearly half of the natural catastrophe events and 65 percent of natural catastrophe deaths in the world - two thirds of the deaths occurring in Asia. According to the Lloyd’s City Risk Index, which examines flood risk as a percentage of GDP, nine of the top 10 cities at risk are located in Asia, according to Mark Weatherhead, Head of Model Development - International, Guy Carpenter.

Continue reading…

May 13th, 2019

A Risk Overview of Wildfire

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Today, the frequency and severity of wildfires are garnering greater attention-not only from the media, but also from (re)insurers, catastrophe modelers, mitigation experts and other invested parties.

Continue reading…

May 10th, 2019

Week’s Top Stories: May 4 - 10, 2019

Posted at 10:00 AM ET

Chart: Combined Ratio for Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, Year-End 2018: Chart presents combined ratio of the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2005 through year-end 2018.

View the chart >>


Understanding Flood Risk in Malaysia Through Catastrophe Modeling: According to Malaysia’s Department of Irrigation and Drainage, the many rivers running through the country put about 9 percent of the total land area under flood risk, potentially affecting 2.7 million people. Rapid urbanization is only going to worsen the problem through rising population concentrations and at-risk infrastructure, land consumption and the channeling of water courses.

Read the article >>


A Dynamic Approach to Managing Life Reinsurance Arrangements: The traditional life reinsurance model typically involves perpetual treaties linked to an underlying product. In order to create alignment between the contracting parties, the treaty would follow the underlying terms of the product. However, the treaty structure may concurrently include provisions that reduce alignment between the insurer and reinsurer, to the insurer’s detriment.

Read the article >>


Methodological Considerations in the Statistical Modeling of Catastrophe Bond Prices: John Major has authored an article that aims to help actuaries, financial analysts, statisticians, data scientists and their clients better investigate how property catastrophe risk, and particularly catastrophe bonds, are  priced.

Read the article >>


Are You at Risk? Managing Affirmative and Silent Cyber Risk Accumulation: The script of the global cyber insurance market is still mainly being written in the United States. Approximately 85 percent of global cyber insurance premiums of between USD 2.5 and 3.5 billion are generated in the United States. The take-up rate for this line of business in Asia is still relatively low, but the Japan market has been experiencing steady growth in the last 24 months.

Read the article >>


And, you may have missed….

A Matter of Time: Why the Clock is Ticking on Stop-Loss Reinsurance: As cutting-edge science leads to new, high-cost drugs and therapies, insurers are seeing uncapped claims costs grow higher. Stop-loss reimbursements generally are on the rise, with an increasing number of employers being reimbursed for a stop-loss claim every year.

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May 9th, 2019

A Dynamic Approach to Managing Life Reinsurance Arrangements: Part II; Treaty Design and Implementation

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Matthew Rose, Managing Director; Justin Ward, Senior Vice President; and Victor Hai, Senior Vice President

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Many treaties were created at the earlier stages of product development with a value proposition whereby the reinsurer co-developed the product, pricing and features. As the relationships with reinsurance partner(s) change over time, the ability to adjust the terms of the relationship may be limited and in many cases an imbalance in the partnership emerges.

Continue reading…

May 8th, 2019

A Dynamic Approach to Managing Life Reinsurance Arrangements: Part I

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Matthew Rose, Managing Director; Justin Ward, Senior Vice President; and Victor Hai, Senior Vice President

Contact

The traditional life reinsurance model typically involves perpetual treaties linked to an underlying product. In order to create alignment between the contracting parties, the treaty would follow the underlying terms of the product. However, the treaty structure may concurrently include provisions that reduce alignment between the insurer and reinsurer, to the insurer’s detriment. This approach is often wrapped in the reinsurer’s “value proposition” - providing services to support the pricing, underwriting and claims management of the underlying product.

Continue reading…