Archive for the ‘Casualty’ Category



July 29th, 2014

Uncertain Future: Evolving Terrorism Risk, Executive Summary

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The threat from terrorism has undergone significant change since the attacks of September 11, 2001. Heightened and more effective counter-terrorism activities in the following years have prevented repeat attacks on the scale of those carried out in New York and Washington D.C. Nevertheless, al-Qaeda and its affiliates, along with individuals inspired by the movement, still pose a significant threat to Western interests around the world as events over the last 18 months have shown.

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July 28th, 2014

The Drivers of Agriculture Insurance in Asia, Part III: What Influences Agriculture Insurance?

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

peter_book_-smaller-hs3Peter Book, Head of Agriculture, Asia Pacific

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Having recognized what is driving agriculture and the importance of risk transfer, the next step is to look at what is influencing the insurance of agriculture and the impact of certain agents, ranging from governments to the (re)insurance industry.

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July 24th, 2014

The Drivers of Agriculture Insurance in Asia, Part II: Factors At Play

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

peter_book_-smaller-hs2Peter Book, Head of Agriculture, Asia Pacific

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Some would argue that individual governments have limited means to control the demand side of the equation. In respect of drivers such as food security and standard of living they are likely to be the main protagonists for change. Certainly the agricultural production sector and individual producers have even less influence.

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July 23rd, 2014

The Drivers of Agriculture Insurance in Asia, Part I: Introduction

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

peter_book_-smaller-hsPeter Book, Head of Agriculture, Asia Pacific

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Greater demands are being placed on Asia’s agricultural sector as the region’s rapidly changing economies and their increasingly affluent populations seek to boost living standards. This, in turn, will fuel the development of insurance products necessary to underpin the growth in agriculture.

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July 21st, 2014

Guy Carpenter’s Global Marine & Energy Specialty appoints Head of EMEA & International P&I Business

Posted at 11:40 PM ET

Guy Carpenter announced the appointment of Simon Smith as Head of EMEA & International P&I Business, effective September 1.  

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July 7th, 2014

July 1 Renewals Reveal Continued Double Digit Price Decreases Across Many Lines and Geographies

Posted at 5:00 AM ET

Guy Carpenter reports that market pressures at July 1 renewals continued to drive price decreases across virtually all geographies and lines of business, many in the double digit range. As loss activity remained minimal, reinsurers added to surplus capacity and additional capital continued to come into the market via alternative sources. 

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July 1st, 2014

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: June, 2014

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Reinsurance Pricing Falls Again at June 1, 2014 as Competition Heightens: Guy Carpenter reports that downward pressure on reinsurance pricing has increased since the June 1, 2013 renewal due to continued competitive pressure from alternative markets, strong reinsurer balance sheets and low loss experiences. In its June 2014 renewal briefing, Guy Carpenter reports that competition increased as markets offered abundant capacity at reduced pricing. Terms and conditions also came under pressure and multi-year transactions continued to be an area of investigation. Traditional reinsurers sought to protect their market share and alternative providers looked to utilize growing funds.

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2. The Total Value of Reinsurance for Long-Tail Business: Can we learn from Solvency II to unlock the hidden value of reinsurance for long-tail business?

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3. Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line index is presented for 1990 through 2014.  The index fell by 11 percent at January 1, 2014.

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4. Alternative Market’s Impact On Traditional Reinsurers: The April 1, 2014 and June 1, 2014 renewals indicate that competition from the capital markets continues to play a major role in the abundance of reinsurance capacity that is placing pressure on pricing. Here we review Guy Carpenter analyses examining the impact of the alternative markets on traditional reinsurers and how reinsurance carriers are expected to face that challenge through the year.

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5. Chart: Rate Movements by Business Segment: Reports rate movements at January 1, 2014.

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6. Deployment of Collateralized Property Catastrophe Capacity: The impact the capital markets have had on the property catastrophe reinsurance space is undeniable. Analyzing 2013 market activity, it is also undeniable that much of the movement the market witnessed is as much driven by traditional reinsurers’ changing behaviors. While companies buying catastrophe coverage benefitted, across product type and geography, from collateralized capacity in the market, deployment of this capacity has been targeted.

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7. Uncertainty in Catastrophe Models: How Much of it is Reasonable?: It seems reasonable to expect a degree of uncertainty in catastrophe model results. It is not uncommon, however, for models to produce results that differ by several factors. In order to assess how much of this uncertainty is epistemic, due to our incomplete knowledge of the physical phenomena involved, this existing uncertainty needs to be quantified.

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8. Enhancing Catastrophe Modeling In the Middle East and North Africa:  The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is acknowledged to be a key growth area for (re)insurance. Insurance penetration is rapidly increasing but still has some way to go to reach comparable levels with Europe or the United States. In the period 2003-2012, most countries in the region achieved triple-digit percentage increases in premium volume, with some exceeding 600 percent growth (source: Swiss Re Sigma).

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9. Review of Terrorism’s Impact on Insurance and Technology: Here we update our review of some recent GC Capital Ideas stories related to the issue of terrorism, addressing the impact on both the insurance industry and technology.

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10. Guy Carpenter Report Reinforces Need for TRIPRA Renewal: Guy Carpenter released its latest report on global terrorism. The report highlights evolving global terrorism risks and the impact these risks have on the reinsurance market. It also emphasizes the vital role the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act (TRIPRA) plays in the United States ensuring the availability and affordability of terrorism (re)insurance capacity throughout the country.

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June 26th, 2014

Chart: Reliance On TRIPRA

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The chart shows that in 2012 there were over 850 insurers participating in the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act (TRIPRA), writing over USD183 billion in premiums. Using the current 20 percent deductible requirement of TRIPRA and policyholder surplus as a filter, Guy Carpenter found that the smaller to mid-sized insurance carriers would be most affected should there be an increase in the deductible of any program that replaces TRIPRA. Without TRIPRA, insurers with less than USD300 million in surplus would likely need to incorporate additional private reinsurance market capacity to protect their capital and to satisfy rating agencies and regulators.

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June 19th, 2014

Chart: Reserve Cycle Measured by Accident Year

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

In this chart Guy Carpenter is looking at the reserve cycle in a different way: by studying the booked ultimate loss by accident year. We choose accident year because actuaries typically analyze losses according to their year of accident. The estimate of the ultimate loss for a particular accident year ideally should not change over time if the initial estimate was correct. However, using U.S. industry data, we find that as a particular accident year is re-estimated periodically, a cycle appears. Continue reading…

June 18th, 2014

Overview of TRIPRA and Extension Proposals

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

The Republican-led Financial Services Committee in the U.S. House of Representatives put forward a draft proposal outline to reauthorize TRIPRA on May 1, 2014. After further negotiations, the House Republican leadership presented the TRIA Reform Act of 2014 on June 11 that proposes a five-year reauthorization of the federal program (to the end of 2019) with a similar copay structure to that of the Senate bill. However, a number of changes have also been proposed that have the potential to impact the market if fully implemented, including higher program triggers for non-NBCR events, an increase to the recoupment rate and an enhancement to the program’s taxpayer repayment requirements. The table outlines the different terms and durations that have been put forward by the Senate and the House.

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