Archive for the ‘Casualty’ Category



April 6th, 2015

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: March, 2015

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. 2015 Rate on Line Index Highlights: Here we highlight recent GC Capital Ideas Chart Room entries highlighting Guy Carpenter’s Rate on Line (ROL) Index at the 2015 renewal.

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2. Reinsurance Sector Capital Position: Here we highlight recent GC Capital Ideas Chart Room entries highlighting the capital position of the reinsurance sector.

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3. Guy Carpenter Launches its Innovative Casualty Catastrophe Model: GC ForCas℠: Guy Carpenter announced the launch of GC ForCas℠, its new data-driven casualty catastrophe model.

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4. Chart: P&C M&A Activity 2006 to 2015: Chart presents property/casualty (P&C) merger and acquisition (M&A) activity primarily for United States and Bermuda-based companies over the past 10 years. The chart illustrates the number of deals and deal volume over that period.

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5. Reinsurers’ Capital Strategies: Here we review recent GC Capital Ideas stories focusing on (re)insurers’ capital strategies.

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6. Centralization of Reinsurance Buying: It should come as no surprise that there is a general trend among larger cedents to centralize reinsurance buying decisions and retentions and to bundle homogeneous products. This has become possible with the improvement of available portfolio data. This practice has some obvious advantages for buyers, such as reduced spend, reduced administration, improved control over counter-party credit risks and, possibly, retention of additional profits that would otherwise be ceded to reinsurers.

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7. January 1, 2015 Renewals See Lower Pricing and Broader Coverage for Clients: Guy Carpenter reports reinsurance pricing fell at the January 1, 2015 renewals in many segments, affecting almost all lines of business and geographies, continuing recent renewal trends.

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8. GC Strategic Advisory Update: Reinsurers Ratings Challenged with Negative Sector Outlook: The major rating agencies covering the reinsurance sector (A.M. Best, S&P, Moody’s, Fitch) have all voiced concerns with the industry’s ability to adjust to the seemingly overwhelming headwinds currently facing the sector. With A.M. Best recently changing its outlook, the view of the reinsurance sector across the rating agencies is now unanimously negative.

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9. Cyber-attacks: Mounting Concerns: Here we review recent GC Capital Ideas stories on mounting concerns over cyber-attacks.

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10. Modeling Beyond Property CAT Risk: Here we review recent GC Capital Idea stories on catastrophe models that focus on exposures beyond catastrophe property risk.

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Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

March 26th, 2015

January 1, 2015 Renewals See Lower Pricing and Broader Coverage for Clients

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

As we approach the April 2015 reinsurance renewal, we look back at the Jan. 1 renewal.

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March 23rd, 2015

Chart: P&C M&A Activity 2006 to 2015

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Chart presents property/casualty (P&C) merger and acquisition (M&A) activity primarily for United States and Bermuda-based companies over the past 10 years. The chart illustrates the number of deals and deal volume over that period.

Continue reading…

March 19th, 2015

Modeling Beyond Property CAT Risk

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we review recent GC Capital Idea stories on catastrophe models that focus on exposures beyond catastrophe property risk:

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March 16th, 2015

Guy Carpenter Launches its Innovative Casualty Catastrophe Model: GC ForCas℠

Posted at 5:30 AM ET

Guy Carpenter today announced the launch of GC ForCas℠, its new data-driven casualty catastrophe model.

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March 16th, 2015

The Insurance Risk Benchmarks Research: Insights for the Industry and the E&S Market

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

woolstenhulme_micah_photo-smallMicah Woolstenhulme, Manager, ERM Services, Strategic Advisory

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The Insurance Risk Benchmarks Research is an ongoing project sponsored by Guy Carpenter & Company and Oliver Wyman to assist property/casualty (P&C) companies with profiling enterprise risk. Articulating an individual company’s risk profile requires assessment of both absolute and relative financial uncertainties. The absolute uncertainties can ultimately be codified in an economic capital model, but robust review of relative historical performance invariably improves the codification of certain systemic risks.

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March 10th, 2015

Analytics Can Support Capital Modeling and Benchmarking

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we review recent GC Capital Ideas stories on how better analytics can support (re)insurers’ capital modeling and benchmarking.

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March 9th, 2015

Cyber-attacks: Mounting Concerns

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we review recent GC Capital Ideas stories on mounting concerns over cyber-attacks.

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March 2nd, 2015

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: February, 2015

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. 2014 Catastrophe Bond Activity Ends on Record Note with More Innovative Bonds Expected in 2015, According to GC Securities* Report: GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a U.S. registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC, today released a briefing and analysis of the record catastrophe bond activity for 2014 and expectations for the market in 2015.

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2. January 1, 2015 Renewals See Lower Pricing and Broader Coverage for Clients: Guy Carpenter reports reinsurance pricing fell at the January 1, 2015 renewals in many segments, affecting almost all lines of business and geographies, continuing recent renewal trends.

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3. Chart: Top Ten Catastrophe Bond Transactions for 2014: The table lists the top ten catastrophe bond transactions that were completed in 2014.

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4. Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness: Prior to the recent turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management (ERM) to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.

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5. Guy Carpenter Appoints Matthew Eagle as Head of International Analytics: Guy Carpenter today announced the appointment of Matthew Eagle as Managing Director and Head of International Analytics for Guy Carpenter.

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6. Features of Collateral Structures: A collateralized reinsurance transaction is one in which a market creates a trust account at the inception of the contract term and funds the account in an amount equal to the contract limit (less certain deductions). This funding mechanism provides the client with readily accessible funds in the event of a loss that are segregated from the other assets of the market and remains available even if the market becomes insolvent. A collateralized reinsurance transaction also requires a pre-negotiated release of assets in the trust fund back to the market if there are no losses or if loss development is less than the contract limit.

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7. GC Videocast - Reinsurance Solutions: Andrew Cox, Capital Optimization, Guy Carpenter, and Niall Clifford, Financial Strategy Group, Mercer, explore a number of reinsurance solutions available to insurance companies in the fourth video installment of the Holistic Balance Sheet Management series.

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8. 2014 Insured Losses Hit Lowest Level in Five Years: Guy Carpenter today released its annual Global Catastrophe Review, which reports that insured losses in 2014 were at the lowest level seen since 2009. According to the report, significant insured losses in 2014 totaled approximately USD33 billion, a dramatic drop when compared to the historic insured losses seen in 2011, which totaled approximately USD126 billion.

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9. Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index 1990 to 2015: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2015.

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10. Cyber-attacks and Terrorism Revealed as Top Emerging Risks for 2015, According to Annual Guy Carpenter Survey: Cyber-attacks and terrorism are ranked among the top emerging risks concerning the (re)insurance industry in the year ahead, according to a survey released today by Guy Carpenter. According to the findings, new products, expansion into new geographic markets and access to new distribution channels will be the primary drivers of profitable growth in 2015.

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Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

February 23rd, 2015

Catastrophe Bond Tenor in 2014

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Eighty-nine percent of property and casualty (P&C) risk capital (based only on 144A cat bond transactions) had a bond tenor of either three or four years in 2014, a decrease from 93 percent in 2013. This was due to increased usage of risk periods longer than four years. This was largely influenced by Sanders Re 2014-1, a USD300 million five year transaction benefiting Allstate (Q2) and Kilimanjaro Re 2014-2, a USD500 million five year transaction benefiting Everest Re (Q4). Investors were receptive to longer-term transactions (a position we expect will continue into 2015) as both deals were oversubscribed. However, such deals closed either above or at the midpoint of initial price guidance, indicating that investors required additional compensation for risk periods longer than four years. Sponsors continued to express interest in bonds with risk periods beyond five years, which we expect will persist through 2015 and beyond.

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