Archive for the ‘Property’ Category



November 26th, 2014

Emerging Risk: AIR US Terrorism Model

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

AIR implemented significant model updates in version 13 of CLASIC/2TM, released in 2011. The updates impacted hazard components such as the target and landmark database, event frequency estimates and exposure and policy conditions.

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November 25th, 2014

Emerging Risk: Commercial Terrorism Models

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The catastrophe modeling companies have regularly updated their terrorism models over the years to reflect the changing threat landscape and help (re)insurers and other market participants perform robust terrorism risk assessments. Such updated products from RMS and AIR include:

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November 24th, 2014

Modeling Terrorism

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Modeling methodologies for terrorism have been continually refined and updated since the three major modeling companies - AIR Worldwide (AIR), EQECAT and Risk Management Solutions (RMS) - released their first terrorism models in 2002. Quantifying the economic, insured and human losses from a terrorist attack continues to pose major challenges for (re)insurers and alternative capacity providers. There are three main techniques to model terrorism risk:

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November 20th, 2014

Change in the Threat of Terrorism

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

In the Guy Carpenter Global Terrorism Report Uncertain Future: Evolving Terrorism Risk (1) we provide a comprehensive review and outlook of terrorism risk. Key components of the report are highlighted below.

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November 19th, 2014

Terror Developments: Overview of TRIPRA

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Some may question why terrorism risk has a place in a document dedicated to emerging risk. Terrorism as a form of violence to promote cause or promote change is one of the original human conflicts. The wind blows and the earth shakes much the same way now as it has for hundreds, thousands of years. However, terrorism as a risk and a peril has evolved over the years and is a current concern in all parts of the world. Given the growing population, regional conflicts producing a broad list of potential instigators, the expansive reach of social media for extremists spreading their messages and recruiting and the diversity of possible attack modes to cause human and economic loss, terrorism does qualify as an emerging risk. With this contemporaneity in mind, we will discuss terrorism as an example of an emerging risk that is being aggravated by changes in geo-political events and in the continued notable challenges in modeling its ever changing underlying complexities.

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November 6th, 2014

Chart: Combined Ratio for Guy Carpenter Composite, H1 2014

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Chart presents combined ratio for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2004 through first half, 2014.

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November 2nd, 2014

Demand for Asia Pacific Catastrophe Reinsurance Remains High in 2014

Posted at 3:30 PM ET

Guy Carpenter today published a new report highlighting the continued increase in 2014 of total Asia Pacific catastrophe limit purchased. However, a confluence of factors, including the weakening of some key zone currencies has meant that reinsurance premium spend in the region has declined significantly.

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October 29th, 2014

Guy Carpenter Publishes Flood Risks in Asia — A Detailed Study

Posted at 4:30 PM ET

Guy Carpenter today released a new report titled Flood Risk in Asia - A Detailed Study. The report provides an in-depth study of the flood potential in Asia along with the prevention and protection systems in place.

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October 29th, 2014

Managing Reserve Risk

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

michelle-harnick-smallMichelle Harnick, Managing Director

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Given that the leading cause of financial impairment of insurance companies is inadequate reserves and our view that a reserve “cycle” not only exists but may soon enter a period of adverse development, Guy Carpenter has spent considerable resources researching and building models to better understand and manage reserve risk.

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October 29th, 2014

New Solutions Help Mutual Insurers Face Market Challenges

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

woods_jay-125haldeman_john_bioJay Woods and John S. Haldeman II, Co-chairmen of Guy Carpenter’s Mutual Company Specialty Practice

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Mutual insurance companies of all sizes currently face challenging market conditions where success requires not only focused distribution and operational excellence, but also access to increasingly sophisticated analytics services and products. How these firms use their resources and advanced technology to respond to these issues will separate market outperformers from underperformers.

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