Archive for the ‘Property’ Category



January 14th, 2015

GC Capital Ideas Top CAT-I Stories: For the Year 2014

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here is a look back at the 10 most popular CAT-i stories for 2014.

1. Severe Weather Outbreak in U.S.: April 26 to 30, 2014: A multi-day severe weather outbreak rendered severe impacts from April 26 to 30 affecting a large area of the United States. The outbreak occurred along a powerful spring frontal system that evolved from the Southern Rockies and pressed towards the Southern Great Lakes and affected the Atlantic Coast. According to the U.S. Storm Prediction Center (SPC), there were widespread reports of straight-line (nontornadic) wind and hail over the Southern States, Midwest and Lower Great Lakes. Tornado reports were widespread, with strong to violent tornadoes reported in states including Alabama, Arkansas, Kansas, Tennessee, Iowa and Mississippi. Severe flooding was also reported in Alabama and Florida.

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2. Balkans Floods: Heavy rain caused widespread flooding across several countries in the Balkans region of Southeast Europe. Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Croatia were badly affected by the floods in May. According to Serbia’s Meteorological Institute, three months’ worth of rain fell in just three days in mid-May, resulting in the worst floods to hit the country since rainfall measurements began some 120 years ago. Bosnia also experienced its heaviest rainfall since records began in 1894, reports said.

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3. 6.0Mw Earthquake - American Canyon, California: A 6.0-magnitude earthquake was reported by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) about 4 miles northwest of American Canyon, California and five miles north-northwest of Napa, California. The quake occurred at 3:20 a.m. local time (10:20 UTC) near the north shore of San Pablo Bay, with a magnitude of 6.0. The quake depth was 7.0 miles (11.3 km).

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4. 8.2Mw Earthquake Near Chile Coast: An 8.2-magnitude earthquake was reported by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) about 40 miles off the northern coast of Chile on the evening of April 1. More than 60 aftershocks were reported following the initial event, one of which was measured of magnitude 6.2. Shaking was felt as far away as La Paz Bolivia, over 290 miles (470 km) away.

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5. Severe Weather Outbreak In U.S.: June 3, 2014: A severe weather outbreak led to excessive wind gusts, significant hail, and a handful of tornadoes on June 3, according to reports. The area most severely affected covered the eastern two thirds of Nebraska together with portions of Iowa, Missouri, Kansas and Illinois.

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6. Hurricane Gonzalo: Hurricane Gonzalo was forecast to make a direct hit or close approach to Bermuda sometime on Friday, October 17, most likely as a Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Hurricane and tropical storm force winds extended outward up to 45 miles (75 kilometers) and 150 miles (240 kilometers) from the center of circulation, respectively.

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7.  Hurricane Arthur: Hurricane Arthur was the first hurricane to make U.S. landfall since 2012, and the earliest to make North Carolina landfall for any hurricane season since 1908. According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), Arthur made landfall in North Carolina on July 3 at about 11:15 p.m. EDT (0315 UTC), with maximum sustained winds of 100 mph (161 km/hr).

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8. Hurricane Odile: Hurricane Odile made a direct hit to the Southern end of the Baja Peninsula, Mexico, in mid-September, with impacts of great severity. Maximum sustained winds at landfall were 125 mph, a Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).

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9. Hawaii Double Threat: Hurricanes Iselle and Julio: Hurricane Iselle was poised to become the first hurricane in 22 years to make a direct landfall in Hawaii. According to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC), Iselle was located 305 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii and 510 miles east-southeast of Honolulu, Hawaii.

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10. Severe Weather Outbreak in U.S.: June 16, 2014: An especially volatile environment produced a violent severe weather outbreak affecting areas of Nebraska, Iowa and Wisconsin. Severe to complete property damage was reported in Pilger, Nebraska and surrounding areas. Initial evidence indicated two tornadoes in close proximity near Pilger, with EF-2 to EF-3 intensities. Tornadoes were also reported in Southern Wisconsin where severe damage occurred. Hail and straight-line (nontornadic) wind reports also covered a very widespread area, with reports of hail exceeding two inches in diameter and wind gusts exceeding 74 mph.

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January 13th, 2015

Comparison of Federal Terrorism Insurance Backstop Legislation

Posted at 3:13 PM ET

This two part table compares the expired Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act of 2007 with the 2015 TRIPRA legislation that was signed into law on Monday, January 12, 2015.

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January 13th, 2015

GC Capital Ideas Top Chart Room Entries: For the Year 2014

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

From one of GC Capital Ideas’ more popular categories, we highlight the top ten Chart Room stories viewed during the year of 2014:

 

1. Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line index is presented for 1990 through 2014.  The index fell by 11 percent at January 1, 2014.

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2. Chart: Rate Movements by Business Segment: Reports rate movements at January 1, 2014.

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3. Chart: Regional Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The chart shows the indexes for United States, United Kingdom, Asia Pacific and Europe.

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4. Chart: Evolution of Dedicated Reinsurance Capital, 2012 - YE 2013: The evolution of dedicated sector capital is presented in the chart. Guy Carpenter estimates this rose marginally in 2013 to USD322 billion at year-end as underwriting profits from low catastrophe claims and convergence capital inflows offset unrealized losses, sustained share buybacks and dividend payments.

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5. Chart: Catastrophe Bond Issuance and Capital Outstanding: Issuance reached a record high of USD7.1 billion, surpassing 2007’s total. Risk capital outstanding also reached an all-time high of USD18.6 billion last year.

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6. Chart: 2013 Catastrophe Bond Transactions: This table lists the 144A property/casualty catastrophe bond transactions that were completed in 2013.

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7. Chart: Top Ten Catastrophe Bond Transactions: The chart ranks deals in 2013, as compiled by GC Securities*, a division of MMC Securities Corporation. 

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8. Chart: Pension Fund Capital Under Management and Allocations into Reinsurance: As the chart illustrates , pension funds alone are worth around USD30 trillion. Based on Guy Carpenter’s analysis of possible capital allocation percentages to the (re)insurance space in consultation with sector experts, a maximum of USD900 billion of this amount could potentially be available for insurance-linked investments. This figure is, of course, much greater than currently needed, demonstrating the existing convergence-driven supply excess. Given Guy Carpenter estimates global property catastrophe limit is currently in excess of USD300 billion, and the ILS market only accounts for around 15 percent of this amount, pension funds have so far made very small investments in reinsurance relative to their overall size.

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9. Chart: U.S. Property Catastrophe Reinsurance Quoting Behavior: In this chart, the January 1, 2014 average quote across all programs is represented by the line at 0 percent, while the red dots indicate reinsurers’ distances from the mean across all the programs that they quoted. The size of the line represents the variability from the average for all quotes provided by the reinsurer. Each reinsurer is represented across the bottom of the chart by its A.M. Best rating. Quotes representing non-concurrent terms were excluded.

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10. Chart: European Property Catastrophe - Typical ROL Changes: The chart compares changes at January 2014 with January 2013.

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*Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

January 12th, 2015

GC Capital Ideas Top Chart Room Entries: Fourth Quarter, 2014

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

From one of GC Capital Ideas’ more popular categories, we highlight the top ten Chart Room stories viewed during the fourth quarter of 2014:

 

1. Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line index is presented for 1990 through 2014.  The index fell by 11 percent at January 1, 2014.

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2. Chart: Catastrophe Bonds Versus Various Other Capital Market Assets Classes: Chart shows the cumulative return profile of 144A catastrophe bonds (as a proxy for all capital markets-based risk transfer capacity) versus various other capital market asset classes through mid-year 2014.

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3. Chart: Rate Movements by Business Segment: Reports rate movements at January 1, 2014.

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4. Chart: Private Catastrophe Bonds Mid-Year 2014: Chart shows the evolution of private catastrophe bonds through mid-year 2014 based on deal count and total aggregate limit placed.

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5. Chart: Catastrophe Bond Capital Growth Mid-Year 2014: Chart shows the growth in 144A catastrophe bonds through mid-year 2014 with capital outstanding reaching a record high.

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6. Chart: Regional Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The chart shows the indexes for United States, United Kingdom, Asia Pacific and Europe.

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7. Chart: Combined Ratio for Guy Carpenter Composite, H1 2014: Chart presents combined ratio for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2004 through first half, 2014.

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8. Chart: Return On Equity For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, H1 2014: Chart presents return on equity for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2004 through first half, 2014.

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9. Chart: Evolution of Shareholders’ Funds For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, H1 2014: Chart presents the evolution of shareholders’ funds for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2012 through first half, 2014.

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10. Chart: Source Of Earnings For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, H1 2014: Chart presents source of earnings for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite for the first half, 2014 compared to first half, 2013.

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Click here to view additional materials in GC Capital Ideas’ Chart Room >>

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Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

January 8th, 2015

Chart: Significant Insured Losses – 2011 to YE 2014

Posted at 3:24 PM ET

Reports losses by quarter. 

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January 8th, 2015

Chart: Alternative Capacity as a Percentage of Catastrophe Reinsurance Limit

Posted at 3:20 PM ET

The chart below presents alternative capital capacity as a percentage of global property catastrophe reinsurance limit from 2008 to year-end 2014.

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January 8th, 2015

Chart: Regional Property Catastrophe ROL Index, 1990 to 2015

Posted at 3:08 PM ET

The chart shows the indexes for United States, United Kingdom, Asia Pacific and Europe.

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January 8th, 2015

Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index 1990 to 2015

Posted at 3:04 PM ET

The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2015.

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January 8th, 2015

Chart: European Property Catastrophe ROL Trends — 2007 to 2015

Posted at 2:41 PM ET

The chart presents the European Property Catastrophe Rate On Line (ROL) trends with correlating impact of catastrophe events for the period 2007 to January 1, 2015.

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January 8th, 2015

Terrorism Risk Insurance Protection Reauthorization Act (TRIPRA)

Posted at 2:36 PM ET

Marsh & McLennan Companies applauds the new Congress for its swift reauthorization of this critically important public-private partnership, which will help to ensure a reliable marketplace for terrorism coverage in the event of attack. We are pleased that TRIPRA directs the Treasury Department to review the protocols for certification which would help to protect the nation’s economic security in the event of a terrorist attack.

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