Archive for the ‘Week in Review’ Category



January 13th, 2017

Week’s Top Stories: January 7 - 13, 2017

Posted at 7:30 AM ET

Guy Carpenter Reports Moderating Reinsurance Pricing Decline at January 1, 2017 Renewals: Guy Carpenter & Company reports the decline in reinsurance pricing moderated at the January 1, 2017 renewal across most classes of business and geographies, as compared to the past three renewal seasons.  Several sectors experienced increased loss activity, which had only a localized impact on pricing while capacity remained plentiful. After remaining fairly stable in 2015, dedicated reinsurance capital increased by 5 percent from January 1, 2016 to January 1, 2017 as calculated by Guy Carpenter and A.M. Best. The convergence capital segment increased by 10 percent.

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Managing Catastrophe Model Uncertainty, Issues and Challenges: Here we repeat our series authored by John Major, which focuses on the issues and challenges in managing catastrophe model uncertainty.

Read the article>>


Chart: Combined Ratio For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, Q3, 2016: Chart presents combined ratio for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2005 through third quarter, 2016.

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China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS): The China Insurance Regulatory Commission (CIRC) is instituting sweeping changes through its three-tiered China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS) framework that will dramatically impact how (re)insurers conduct business. It will strengthen capital requirements, risk management and transparency disclosures - bringing China in line with, and in some cases overtaking, global standards. The C-ROSS framework is similar to Solvency II: three tiers focusing on quantitative, qualitative and disclosure requirements.

Read the article>>


Chart: Where Do (Re)insurers See Biggest Growth Opportunities?: Chart highlights the result of a survey taken of 107 insurance and reinsurance professionals conducted by Guy Carpenter at the 2016 annual meeting of the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America when asked where they see the biggest growth opportunities.

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And, You May Have Missed…

Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives in the United States: The Market for Mortgage Credit Risk (Re)Insurance: The global financial crisis of 2008 exposed the US mortgage industry, taxpayers and the global capital markets to the full loss potential of residential mortgage credit risk. A total shakeup of the US housing sector was the result: a return to prudent underwriting criteria; market standardization in product; Private Mortgage Insurer Eligibility Requirements (PMIERs); and a Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) directive that mandates government sponsored entities (GSEs) Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to begin transferring credit risk on the hundreds of billions of dollars of US mortgages issued each year.

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January 6th, 2017

Week’s Top Stories: December 31, 2016 — January 6, 2017

Posted at 7:30 AM ET

Chart: Combined Ratio For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, Q3, 2016: Chart presents combined ratio for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2005 through third quarter, 2016.

Read the article>>


Chart: Where Do (Re)insurers See Biggest Growth Opportunities?: Chart highlights the result of a survey taken of 107 insurance and reinsurance professionals conducted by Guy Carpenter at the 2016 annual meeting of the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America when asked where they see the biggest growth opportunities.

Read the article>>


China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS): The China Insurance Regulatory Commission (CIRC) is instituting sweeping changes through its three-tiered China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS) framework that will dramatically impact how (re)insurers conduct business. It will strengthen capital requirements, risk management and transparency disclosures - bringing China in line with, and in some cases overtaking, global standards. The C-ROSS framework is similar to Solvency II: three tiers focusing on quantitative, qualitative and disclosure requirements.

Read the article>>


Chart: The Matrix of Cyber and Property Lines Insurance Coverage: Chart examines the policy coverage matrix between cyber and property lines of insurance coverage. Below shows how the four types of subject matter (columns A-D) are generally covered by direct policies, relative to the various types of cyber and property perils (rows 1-5). Where cover is predominantly provided by property or cyber, the relevant icon is shown in blue. Where there is a degree of ambiguity, or coverage is limited, the icon is shown in gray.

Read the article>>


Managing Catastrophe Model Uncertainty, Issues and Challenges: Here we repeat our series authored by John Major, which focuses on the issues and challenges in managing catastrophe model uncertainty.

Read the article>>


And, You May Have Missed…

Guy Carpenter Reports Moderating Reinsurance Pricing Decline at January 1, 2017 Renewals: Guy Carpenter & Company reports the decline in reinsurance pricing moderated at the January 1, 2017 renewal across most classes of business and geographies, as compared to the past three renewal seasons.  Several sectors experienced increased loss activity, which had only a localized impact on pricing while capacity remained plentiful. After remaining fairly stable in 2015, dedicated reinsurance capital increased by 5 percent from January 1, 2016 to January 1, 2017 as calculated by Guy Carpenter and A.M. Best. The convergence capital segment increased by 10 percent.

Read the article>>


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December 30th, 2016

Week’s Top Stories: December 24 — 30, 2016

Posted at 7:30 AM ET

Chart: Source Of Earnings For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, Q3, 2016: Chart presents source of earnings for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite for the third quarter, 2016 compared to the third quarter, 2015.

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Chart: Return On Equity For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, Q3, 2016: Chart presents return on equity for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2005 through third quarter, 2016.

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Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives in the United States: National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP): In September 2016, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) took the historic step of purchasing reinsurance for the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP).

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Managing Catastrophe Model Uncertainty, Issues and Challenges: Here we repeat our series authored by John Major, which focuses on the issues and challenges in managing catastrophe model uncertainty.

Read the article>>


China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS): The China Insurance Regulatory Commission (CIRC) is instituting sweeping changes through its three-tiered China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS) framework that will dramatically impact how (re)insurers conduct business. It will strengthen capital requirements, risk management and transparency disclosures - bringing China in line with, and in some cases overtaking, global standards. The C-ROSS framework is similar to Solvency II: three tiers focusing on quantitative, qualitative and disclosure requirements.

Read the article>>


And, You May Have Missed…

Chart: Which Market Forces Do (Re)insurers See as the Most Disruptive?: Chart highlights the result of a survey taken of 107 insurance and reinsurance professionals conducted by Guy Carpenter at the 2016 annual meeting of the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America when asked which market forces are viewed as the most disruptive to the (re)insurance industry.

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December 23rd, 2016

Week’s Top Stories: December 17 — 23, 2016

Posted at 7:30 AM ET

Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives in the United States: National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP): In September 2016, the Federal Emergency Management Agency took the historic step of purchasing reinsurance for the National Flood Insurance Program.

Read the article>>


Chart: The Matrix of Cyber and Property Lines Insurance Coverage: Chart examines the policy coverage matrix between cyber and property lines of insurance coverage. Below shows how the four types of subject matter (columns A-D) are generally covered by direct policies, relative to the various types of cyber and property perils (rows 1-5). Where cover is predominantly provided by property or cyber, the relevant icon is shown in blue. Where there is a degree of ambiguity, or coverage is limited, the icon is shown in gray.

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Chart: Regional Property Catastrophe ROL Index, 1990 to 2016: The chart shows the indexes for United States, United Kingdom, Asia Pacific and Europe.

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Increasing External Demands Compel Companies to Improve Risk Management Disclosures: Guy Carpenter released its latest Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) Benchmark Review in 2014, providing an in-depth analysis of risk management practices and policies of 67 insurance and reinsurance companies located in Europe, United States, Bermuda, and Asia-Pacific. Based on publicly-available data from financial and risk reports, Guy Carpenter’s ERM Benchmark Review reveals that most (re)insurers are managing capital with metric-based frameworks and are publishing more about their risk management targets than seen in Guy Carpenter’s 2009 analysis. Capital market, legislative, and regulatory influences, such as the approaching implementation of Solvency II, are expected to further compel company managements to better recognize and analyze the risks of their enterprises.

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Managing Catastrophe Model Uncertainty, Issues and Challenges: Here we repeat our series authored by John Major, which focuses on the issues and challenges in managing catastrophe model uncertainty.

Read the article>>


And, You May Have Missed…

Chart: Which Capital Sources Will (Re)insurers Utilize in 2017?: Chart highlights the result of a survey taken of 107 insurance and reinsurance professionals conducted by Guy Carpenter at the 2016 annual meeting of the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America when asked which capital sources they will utilize more of in 2017.

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December 16th, 2016

Week’s Top Stories: December 10 — 16, 2016

Posted at 7:30 AM ET

Guy Carpenter Appoints James Nash President of New International Division: Guy Carpenter announced the appointment of James Nash to the newly-created role of President, International, subject to regulatory approval. Mr. Nash, who currently runs Guy Carpenter’s Asia Pacific operations, will continue reporting to Peter Hearn, President and CEO of Guy Carpenter, and will relocate to London.

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Chart: The Matrix of Cyber and Property Lines Insurance Coverage: Chart examines the policy coverage matrix between cyber and property lines of insurance coverage. Below shows how the four types of subject matter (columns A-D) are generally covered by direct policies, relative to the various types of cyber and property perils (rows 1-5). Where cover is predominantly provided by property or cyber, the relevant icon is shown in blue. Where there is a degree of ambiguity, or coverage is limited, the icon is shown in gray.

Read the article>>


Chart: Where Do (Re)insurers See Biggest Growth Opportunities?: Chart highlights the result of a survey taken of 107 insurance and reinsurance professionals conducted by Guy Carpenter at the 2016 annual meeting of the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America when asked where they see the biggest growth opportunities.

Read the article>>


Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives in Europe/Middle East/Africa: On a global basis, approximately 70 percent of the economic loss caused by natural catastrophe events is not covered by insurance. This gap, the cost of uninsured events, frequently falls on governments through disaster relief, welfare payments and infrastructure repair and rebuilding. The ultimate cost of these responses causes a strain on public balance sheets and an increase in public debt, ultimately burdening taxpayers. The protection gap is increasing in emerging economies especially where the amount of natural catastrophe economic loss covered by insurance dropped from 25 percent in 2002 to approximately eight percent in 2014.

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Guy Carpenter Forms New Global Strategic Advisory Organization to Provide Clients with Enhanced Solutions: Guy Carpenter announced a newly-created Global Strategic Advisory organization comprised of its Advisory, Analytics, Structured Risk, M&A Advisory, Lloyd’s Capital, and Business Intelligence capabilities.

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And, You May Have Missed…

Asia Pacific Catastrophe Report 2016: Executive Summary: Protection Gap: The gap between uninsured and insured risk continues to be an issue for the region. Insurance and reinsurance penetration rates remain low in many Asian countries. As the chart below shows, purchases in catastrophe reinsurance limit have grown, but in actual value terms the majority of growth is in territories with the highest levels of protection already.

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December 9th, 2016

Week’s Top Stories: December 3 — 9, 2016

Posted at 7:30 AM ET

Chart: Where Do (Re)insurers See Biggest Growth Opportunities?: Chart highlights the result of a survey taken of 107 insurance and reinsurance professionals conducted by Guy Carpenter at the 2016 annual meeting of the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America when asked where they see the biggest growth opportunities.

Read the article>>


Chart: The Matrix of Cyber and Property Lines Insurance Coverage: Chart examines the policy coverage matrix between cyber and property lines of insurance coverage. Below shows how the four types of subject matter (columns A-D) are generally covered by direct policies, relative to the various types of cyber and property perils (rows 1-5). Where cover is predominantly provided by property or cyber, the relevant icon is shown in blue. Where there is a degree of ambiguity, or coverage is limited, the icon is shown in gray.

Read the article>>


Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness: Prior to the recent turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.

Read the article>>


MMC Cyber Risk Handbook 2016: Increasing Resilience in the Digital Economy: The Cyber Risk Handbook 2016 presents views from Marsh & McLennan’s cyber leaders and leading third-party experts with whom we collaborate on how companies can assess cyber risks, develop comprehensive strategies and align their people to bolster cyber risk management.

Read the article>>


Managing Catastrophe Model Uncertainty, Issues and Challenges: Here we repeat our series authored by John Major, which focuses on the issues and challenges in managing catastrophe model uncertainty.

Read the article>>


And, You May Have Missed…

Asia Pacific Catastrophe Report 2016: Executive Summary: Post-El Niño: The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center predicts there is 55 percent to 60 percent chance that strong El Niño conditions will transition to La Niña conditions in the fall and winter of 2016-2017. This kind of transition year has been observed four times since 1950 (1966, 1973, 1983 and 1998).

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December 2nd, 2016

Week’s Top Stories: November 26 – December 2, 2016

Posted at 7:30 AM ET

Chart: What is the Biggest Threat to (Re)insurers’ Plans for Growth?: Chart highlights the result of a survey taken of 107 insurance and reinsurance professionals conducted by Guy Carpenter at the 2016 annual meeting of the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America when asked what they see as the biggest threat to their plans for growth.

Read the article>>


MMC Cyber Risk Handbook 2016: Increasing Resilience in the Digital Economy: The Cyber Risk Handbook 2016 presents views from Marsh & McLennan’s cyber leaders and leading third-party experts with whom we collaborate on how companies can assess cyber risks, develop comprehensive strategies and align their people to bolster cyber risk management.

Read the article>>


Sevier County Wildfires: Wildfire activity has rendered severe impacts to areas of Sevier County, Tennessee including the Gatlinburg and Pigeon Forge areas. The fire activity began late Sunday on Chimney Tops Mountain as a 10 acre fire that grew at an extreme rate Monday evening due to strong, gusty winds. Wind gusts well in excess of 60 mph carried embers a considerable distance to start new fires in extremely dry vegetation from recent drought. Gusty winds also brought trees down onto powerlines sparking new fires in surrounding dry vegetation.

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Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness: Prior to the recent turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management (ERM) to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.

Read the article>>


China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS): The China Insurance Regulatory Commission (CIRC) is instituting sweeping changes through its three-tiered China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS) framework that will dramatically impact how (re)insurers conduct business. It will strengthen capital requirements, risk management and transparency disclosures - bringing China in line with, and in some cases overtaking, global standards. The C-ROSS framework is similar to Solvency II: three tiers focusing on quantitative, qualitative and disclosure requirements.

Read the article>>


And, You May Have Missed…

Asia Pacific Catastrophe Report 2016: Executive Summary: Losses: Earthquakes in Taiwan and the Kumamoto prefecture of Japan and floods in southern China were the largest events. The reinsurance share of these losses appears modest. Barring a major catastrophe before the end of the year, catastrophe reinsurers are expected to return a healthy profit in Asia Pacific for the fourth year in a row.

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November 25th, 2016

Week’s Top Stories: November 19 - 25, 2016

Posted at 7:30 AM ET

Measuring Cyber Aggregation Risk: Cyber risk is now an embedded feature of the global risk landscape, and preventative risk management and post-event remediation are gaining importance as shareholders, customers, supply chain partners, and regulators are increasingly focused on how companies are managing for cyber risks. Insurance is becoming an important piece of the strategy for helping businesses address these risks.

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Reserving and Capital Setting: The Crystalization of Emerging Risks: As discussed in the Executive Summary of this report, the term “crystalization of risk” refers to the timescale over which we realize that the risk is manifesting itself and how this view changes until ultimate understanding of quantum is reached and all liabilities are discharged. The “Reserving Risks” section in last year’s report, Ahead of the Curve: Understanding Emerging Risks looked at how information emerges in the presence of reserving cycles. The profit or loss in any particular financial year is made up of not only the profit or loss from the same accident year but also any recognized changes in the reserves on prior years.

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Asia Pacific Catastrophe Report 2016: Executive Summary: Convergence Capital: “Convergence” or “alternative” capital, which first entered the reinsurance market with catastrophe bonds, has grown steadily over the past ten years and now also includes industry loss warranties, sidecars and collateralized reinsurance. Convergence capital now accounts for just under 20 percent of the global catastrophe limit.

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Technology Innovation Identified as Top Growth Opportunity for (Re)insurance Industry in 2017, According to Guy Carpenter Annual Market Pulse Survey: Technology innovation will provide the biggest growth opportunities for (re)insurers in the year ahead, according to a survey released today by Guy Carpenter & Company. Now in its fifth year, the annual survey polled executives from insurance and reinsurance companies during the 2016 Property Casualty Insurers Association of America (PCIAA) Annual Meeting held in Dallas, Texas. The goal of this year’s survey was to identify the top opportunities and threats to profitable growth in the year ahead, as well as examine the most significant disruptive forces impacting the industry.

Read the article>>


Chart: Regional Property Catastrophe ROL Index, 1990 to 2016: The chart shows the indexes for United States, United Kingdom, Asia Pacific and Europe.

Read the article>>


And, You May Have Missed…

Increasing Confidence and Transparency in Your Catastrophe Risk Decisions: Could you afford to find that the portfolio you just acquired in North Carolina is more exposed to hurricane than previously assumed? What if next year’s Category 2 hurricane caused a loss in excess of 15 percent of your policyholders’ surplus?  How will the changes in the U.S. Geological Survey National Seismic Hazard Maps impact your exposure to earthquake risk in the central and eastern United States?

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*Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities LLC, a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities LLC, MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

November 18th, 2016

Week’s Top Stories: November 12 - 18, 2016

Posted at 7:30 AM ET

7.8 Mw Earthquake in New Zealand: A magnitude (Mw) 7.8 earthquake struck central New Zealand on November 13, according to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). The quake occurred at 11:02 PM local time (11:02 UTC) about 93 kilometers (57 miles) north-northeast of Christchurch and about 215 kilometers (133 miles) southwest of Wellington.

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Asia Pacific Catastrophe Report 2016: Executive Summary: Volcano Potential in Asia Pacific: Later in 2016, Guy Carpenter plans to release a report on the potential for losses caused by volcanic eruption across the region and the implications from an insurance point of view.

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Technology Innovation Identified as Top Growth Opportunity for (Re)insurance Industry in 2017, According to Guy Carpenter Annual Market Pulse Survey: Technology innovation will provide the biggest growth opportunities for (re)insurers in the year ahead, according to a survey released by Guy Carpenter & Company. Now in its fifth year, the annual survey polled executives from insurance and reinsurance companies during the 2016 Property Casualty Insurers Association of America (PCIAA) Annual Meeting held in Dallas, Texas. The goal of this year’s survey was to identify the top opportunities and threats to profitable growth in the year ahead, as well as examine the most significant disruptive forces impacting the industry.

Read the article>>


Reserving and Capital Setting: The Crystalization of Emerging Risks: As discussed in the Executive Summary of this report, the term “crystalization of risk” refers to the timescale over which we realize that the risk is manifesting itself and how this view changes until ultimate understanding of quantum is reached and all liabilities are discharged. The “Reserving Risks” section in last year’s report, Ahead of the Curve: Understanding Emerging Risks looked at how information emerges in the presence of reserving cycles. The profit or loss in any particular financial year is made up of not only the profit or loss from the same accident year but also any recognized changes in the reserves on prior years.

Read the article>>


Managing Catastrophe Model Uncertainty, Issues and Challenges: Here we repeat our series authored by John Major, which focuses on the issues and challenges in managing catastrophe model uncertainty.

Read the article>>


And, You May Have Missed…

Strategic Growth Analysis - The Guy Carpenter Approach: The changes in today’s property and casualty (P&C) insurance marketplace present insurers with many challenges to capital management and risk transfer techniques. Insurers are compelled to leverage their capital positions to increase and diversify their market shares to an unprecedented degree.  Preserving the status quo is not an option for long-term viability.  Profitable growth is a key priority for companies seeking additional return.  Companies need to enter new lines of business or geographies strategically with proper analysis. Guy Carpenter offers proprietary analytical tools, intellectual capital and expertise to help companies determine and evaluate their growth plans while maintaining an acceptable level of risk and profitability.

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November 11th, 2016

Week’s Top Stories: November 5 - 11, 2016

Posted at 7:30 AM ET

Technology Innovation Identified as Top Growth Opportunity for (Re)insurance Industry in 2017, According to Guy Carpenter Annual Market Pulse Survey: Technology innovation will provide the biggest growth opportunities for (re)insurers in the year ahead, according to a survey released by Guy Carpenter & Company. Now in its fifth year, the annual survey polled executives from insurance and reinsurance companies during the 2016 Property Casualty Insurers Association of America Annual Meeting held in Dallas, Texas. The goal of this year’s survey was to identify the top opportunities and threats to profitable growth in the year ahead, as well as examine the most significant disruptive forces impacting the industry.

Read the article>>


Asia Pacific Catastrophe Report 2016: Executive Summary: Mergers and Acquisitions: In 2015, outbound mergers and acquisitions (M&A) abounded in the region, but a pause in transactions occurred in 2016. The flow of inbound M&A increased this year, largely caused by overseas companies making significant investments in joint ventures following recent regulatory changes in India.

Read the article>>


Managing Catastrophe Model Uncertainty, Issues and Challenges: Here we repeat our series authored by John Major, which focuses on the issues and challenges in managing catastrophe model uncertainty.

Read the article>>


China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS): The China Insurance Regulatory Commission (CIRC) is instituting sweeping changes through its three-tiered China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS) framework that will dramatically impact how (re)insurers conduct business. It will strengthen capital requirements, risk management and transparency disclosures - bringing China in line with, and in some cases overtaking, global standards. The C-ROSS framework is similar to Solvency II: three tiers focusing on quantitative, qualitative and disclosure requirements.

Read the article>>


Analytics: Fueling Risk-Informed Decisions: Today’s rapidly changing global environment presents insurers with many challenges and opportunities as capital management and risk transfer techniques evolve at an unprecedented pace. Stakeholders, regulators and ratings agencies are deepening their focus on risk management practices, and revolutionary developments in technology, including the Internet of Things and hyper-connectivity, are driving companies to adapt to the challenges that senior management faces to support risk management decisions material to their business.

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And, You May Have Missed…

Newest Versions of Patented Capital Modeling Tools Enhance Automation and Integration, Estimate Inflationary Risk, and Improve Run-Time: Guy Carpenter Introduces MetaRisk® ReserveTM 5 and MetaRisk® 9: Guy Carpenter announced the launch of MetaRisk® ReserveTM 5 and MetaRisk® 9, the latest updates to its powerful suite of capital modeling tools built on more than 25 years of research and development.

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