November 6th, 2018

Evolving Terror Threats - Innovation Needed to Meet Changing Demands

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

New modes of attack are causing a shift from large terrorist events aimed at property destruction to less sophisticated attacks causing mass casualties and fear. With global commerce, tourism and financial markets impacted, demand is growing for modeling, capacity and protection-gap solutions to increase resiliency against such attacks.

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November 5th, 2018

Recent Thought Leadership from Guy Carpenter – North America Focus

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we present a recap of recent thought leadership from Guy Carpenter focusing on important insurance and reinsurance topics in North America.

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November 2nd, 2018

Week’s Top Stories: October 27 - November 2, 2018

Posted at 10:00 AM ET

Escalating Threat of Cyber Terrorism: The WannaCry and NotPetya cyber-attacks illustrated the magnitude of the damage that cyber-attacks can cause. These two attacks affected organizations in more than 150 countries, prompted business interruption and other losses estimated at well over USD 300 million by some companies, brought reputational damage and resulted in loss of customer data.

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Facultative or Treaty and Why the Need for Hybrid Solutions - GC@PCI Commentary: Insurers face challenges in managing underwriting, capital protection, risk and risk profiling as they navigate underwriting guidelines based on their gross and net risk underwriting appetite. Against these challenges, companies utilize various forms of reinsurance, traditionally facultative or treaty, to buy risk protection, shore up capital and satisfy rating agencies, according to Jeff Fleming, Managing Director, Guy Carpenter.

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Life: Emerging Competition and the Need to Remake the Reinsurance Relationship - GC@PCI Commentary: The life reinsurance sector has been shrinking for several years, but reinsurers possess the capabilities to remain relevant and vital if they take a strategic approach. They may then be able to better meet their cedents’ principal needs and solidify or increase their value to life insurers, according to David Rains, Managing Director, Guy Carpenter.

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Mortgage Credit Risk Transfer Market – Expanding Growth Opportunities - GC@PCI Commentary: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac – government-sponsored entities (GSEs) in the United States – purchase hundreds of thousands of mortgage loans and assume the risk of mortgage credit default, interest rate volatility and prepayment. The GSEs began transferring mortgage credit default risk only in the last few years. The organizations are now programmatically using (re) insurance to transfer that credit risk and plan to continue to do so. (Re)insurers seeking growth may look to this market as a diversifying risk with several different options available –market changes and safeguards in place make it even more viable, according to John Tedeschi, Executive Vice President, Guy Carpenter.

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The Transformation of Australian and New Zealand life insurance - GC@SIRC Commentary: The life insurance industry in Australia is facing unprecedented challenges from forces within and from the effects of an increasingly globalized economy. As life industry profitability has declined in Australia in recent years, the underlying manufacturing business model is rapidly changing, according to Matthew Rose, Managing Director, Guy Carpenter.

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And, you may have missed..

Solutions for Improving Profitability in the Commercial Auto Liability Line - GC@PCI Commentary: One of the major factors affecting property/casualty industry profitability in the United States in recent years has been the poor performance of the commercial auto liability (CAL) line. On both a Calendar and Accident Year basis, industry CAL underwriting results have been deteriorating for the past decade. Accident Year combined ratios have been above 105 percent since 2010, and carriers are feeling the pressure to reverse this trend. Related lines of business such as umbrella, have also felt the adverse effects of challenging loss trends driven by CAL. It is an open question regarding which will arrive first: autonomous cars and trucks or underwriting profits for CAL writers, believes Nick Durant, Managing Director, Guy Carpenter.

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November 1st, 2018

GC Capital Ideas Tip: New Email Alert

Posted at 7:00 AM ET

In line with the launch of our Preference Center, GC Capital Ideas has also adopted a new email alert look-and-feel, which aims to optimize our readers’ and clients’ user experience with us.  The enhancements offered by Preference Center and the new email alerts are part of Guy Carpenter’s integrated strategy to empower readers with the informative and actionable insights that Guy Carpenter provides.

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November 1st, 2018

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: October 2018

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Baden-Baden Reinsurance Symposium Explores Market Impact of Global (Re)insurance Composites: Guy Carpenter hosted the Reinsurance Symposium in Baden-Baden on October 21, the 10th year that Guy Carpenter has hosted the event. The theme of the Symposium was “Back to the past: a return to global composites.”

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2. Leading Cyber Insurance Strategies: Insurers are undertaking several initiatives to seize opportunities in writing network security and privacy insurance in order to achieve profitable growth. Read about some of the actions on which they are focusing.

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3. Hurricane Michael: Hurricane Michael made landfall on October 10 as a high-end Category-4 hurricane on the Florida Panhandle, with maximum sustained winds of 155 mph. The storm rendered severe to complete damage to areas from Panama City to Port Saint Joe, with especially severe damage in Mexico Beach due to severe wind and storm surge.

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4. Escalating Threat of Cyber Terrorism: The WannaCry and NotPetya cyber-attacks illustrated the magnitude of the damage that cyber-attacks can cause. These two attacks affected organizations in more than 150 countries, prompted business interruption and other losses estimated at well over USD 300 million by some companies, brought reputational damage and resulted in loss of customer data.

Read the article >>

5. Pushing the Model Boundaries - GC@BB Commentary: As Solvency II-based capital regimes further impact internal capital models, greater clarity around a company’s view of risk is becoming more critical. Yet optimizing model infrastructures is often limited by platform inflexibility, computational power and cumbersome approval processes, according to a European roundtable of Guy Carpenter leaders.

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6. Super Typhoon Trami: In the West-Pacific Basin, Typhoon Trami made landfall in the city of Tanabe, Japan (Wakayama prefecture) on 30 September at around 11 UTC (8 PM local time), according to media reports. Before reaching Honshu, the typhoon had rendered considerable impacts while making close approach to Okinawa, Kyūshū and Shikoku Islands.

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7. A Strategy for Market Volatility: Portfolio Optimization - GC@BB Commentary: Today, (re)insurers are challenged by a host of factors pressuring companies’ earnings and capital – excess capacity is impacting underwriting profitability as claim frequency and severity are rising – contributing to a movement toward balance sheet volatility that impacts earnings and growth, according to a global roundtable of Guy Carpenter leaders.

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8. Marsh & McLennan Cyber Resilience Insights Microsite: As we enter National Cybersecurity Awareness Month, a new resource from Marsh & McLennan Companies collates the best insights on cyber resilience from across the firm and its strategic cyber partnerships.

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9. A New Boldness in Tackling Emerging Risks – Part I: Risk teams are under increasing pressure to move beyond blocking and tackling to providing strategic risk advice that can help their companies achieve sustainable resilience in the face of critical emerging risks, according to the report Material Improbabilities, Getting Practical with Emerging Risks from Marsh & McLennan Companies Global Risk Center.

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10. Cybersecurity Awareness: On the start of the 15th Cybersecurity Awareness Month, GC Capital Ideas has collected our recent articles that offer insights into this very critical risk. Cyber risk and security will remain a top priority for the foreseeable future. In addition to hackers and cyber criminals continuously developing new methods of attack, state-sponsored cyber-attacks have occurred according to the U.S. government.

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October 31st, 2018

Flood risk challenges in Asia - GC@SIRC Commentary

Posted at 9:00 PM ET

mark-weatherhead-finalMark Weatherhead, Head of Model Development, International

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  • Asia is particularly prone to flooding because of three factors: hydrology, population density and mitigation rate
  • To improve loss assessments, hazard data should be combined with other data types, such as probabilistic event sets and defense information
  • Guy Carpenter has made a significant investment in data and technology to help our clients improve their understanding of flood risk

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October 30th, 2018

The Transformation of Australian and New Zealand life insurance - GC@SIRC Commentary

Posted at 8:00 PM ET

matthew_rose_01Matthew Rose, Managing Director

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  • Foreign companies are seeking the long-term growth opportunities that the Australian market offers
  • Insurers are gaining understanding of the significance of efficient and dynamic restructuring of their capital
  • Regular discussions ensure that covers are properly structured to reflect current risk/capital needs

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October 30th, 2018

Mortgage Credit Risk Transfer Market – Expanding Growth Opportunities - GC@PCI Commentary

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

tedeschi_john_300x300John Tedeschi, Executive Vice President

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  • GSEs programmatically use (re)insurance to transfer mortgage credit risk
  • Rate of mortgage loan default low due to impact of regulatory changes affecting banks and loan originators
  • GSEs ceded over USD 20 billion of limit into the global (re)insurance market

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October 29th, 2018

Closing the Gap: Insurance Penetration and Public Sector Risk Financing in Asia Pacific - GC@SIRC Commentary

Posted at 10:00 PM ET

michael-schwarz_resizedMichael Schwarz, Head of Public Sector, Asia Pacific

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  • Our industry should be a critical contributor to increasing community resilience against volatility and shocks to their environments
  • Public-private risk-transfer partnerships offer a huge opportunity for the insurance industry to grow. However, one size does not fit all. In addition to technical expertise, specific knowledge and understanding of client needs are essential
  • Recent functional risk transfer mechanisms are using data, analytics and modeling to spur change in the landscape around flood, droughts and other perils

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