October 10th, 2014

Week’s Top Stories: October 4 — 10, 2014

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

Guy Carpenter Announces New Cyber Product Launch: Guy Carpenter announced the launch of a new cyber privacy and network protection solution designed to meet the unique cyber challenges faced by small- and medium-sized companies.

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Chart: Catastrophe Bonds Versus Various Other Capital Market Assets Classes: Chart shows the cumulative return profile of 144A catastrophe bonds (as a proxy for all capital markets-based risk transfer capacity) versus various other capital market asset classes through mid-year 2014.

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Chart: Catastrophe Bond Capital Growth Mid-Year 2014: Chart shows the growth in 144A catastrophe bonds through mid-year 2014 with capital outstanding reaching a record high.

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Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line index is presented for 1990 through 2014.  The index fell by 11 percent at January 1, 2014.

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Chart: Private Catastrophe Bonds Mid-Year 2014: Chart shows the evolution of private catastrophe bonds through mid-year 2014 based on deal count and total aggregate limit placed.

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And, You May Have Missed…

GC Videocast - Rendez-Vous Press Briefing 2014 (Nick Frankland) Centralization of the Reinsurance Buying Process in EMEA: Nick Frankland, CEO of EMEA operations, Guy Carpenter, reviewed developments in EMEA, where newer capital is yet to have a significant impact. He described the region as “a mature, stable market saturated with existing capacity and clients tending towards buying less reinsurance.” This approach to purchasing he said reflected the continuing centralization of the buying process. “Groups are taking a longer-term and more strategic rather than short-term tactical approach,” he stated. “This in turn has seen a smaller number of reinsurers selected as long-term strategic partners.” Opportunities for growth in such an environment however still remain, he said. “Future growth for a reinsurance broker demands a thoughtful, strategic, analytical and intellectual value offering above and beyond traditional structuring and placing.”

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Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

October 9th, 2014

Chart: Private Catastrophe Bonds Mid-Year 2014

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Chart shows the evolution of private catastrophe bonds through mid-year 2014 based on deal count and total aggregate limit placed.

Continue reading…

October 8th, 2014

Chart: Catastrophe Bond Capital Growth Mid-Year 2014

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Chart shows the growth in 144A catastrophe bonds through mid-year 2014 with capital outstanding reaching a record high.

Continue reading…

October 7th, 2014

Chart: Catastrophe Bonds Versus Various Other Capital Market Assets Classes

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Chart shows the cumulative return profile of 144A catastrophe bonds (as a proxy for all capital markets-based risk transfer capacity) versus various other capital market asset classes through mid-year 2014.

Continue reading…

October 6th, 2014

Guy Carpenter Announces New Cyber Product Launch

Posted at 4:30 AM ET

Guy Carpenter today announced the launch of a new cyber privacy and network protection solution designed to meet the unique cyber challenges faced by small- and medium-sized companies.

Continue reading…

October 6th, 2014

GC Capital Ideas Top Chart Room Entries: Third Quarter, 2014

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

From one of GC Capital Ideas’ more popular categories, we highlight the top ten Chart Room stories viewed during the third quarter of 2014:

1. Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line index is presented for 1990 through 2014.  The index fell by 11 percent at January 1, 2014.

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2. Chart: Rate Movements by Business Segment: Reports rate movements at January 1, 2014.

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3. Chart: Regional Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The chart shows the indexes for United States, United Kingdom, Asia Pacific and Europe.

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4. Chart: U.S. Landfall To Basin Ratio - Detected Hurricanes (1900-2013): The chart indicates that the proportion of hurricanes counted in the Atlantic Basin and those that made landfall has been very volatile through the years. While there is indeed a weak correlation between hurricane counts in the Atlantic Basin and the number of U.S. landfalls, statistical significance is a subject of some debate in the scientific community (Coughlin et al., 2009; Dailey et al., 2009).

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5. Chart: Combined Ratio for Guy Carpenter Composite, Q1 2014: Chart presents combined ratio for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2004 through first quarter, 2014.

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6. Chart: Return On Equity For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, Q1 2014: Chart presents return on equity for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2004 through first quarter, 2014.

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7. Chart: Evolution of Dedicated Reinsurance Capital, 2012 - YE 2013: The evolution of dedicated sector capital is shown in this chart. Guy Carpenter estimates this rose marginally in 2013 to USD322 billion at year-end as underwriting profits from low catastrophe claims and convergence capital inflows offset unrealized losses, sustained share buybacks and dividend payments.

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8. Chart: Source Of Earnings For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, Q1 2014: Chart presents source of earnings for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite for the first quarter, 2014.

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9. Chart: Catastrophe Bond Issuance and Capital Outstanding: Issuance reached a record high of USD7.1 billion, surpassing 2007’s total. Risk capital outstanding also reached an all-time high of USD18.6 billion last year.

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10. Chart: 2013 Catastrophe Bond Transactions: This table lists the 144A property/casualty catastrophe bond transactions that were completed in 2013.

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Click here to view additional materials in GC Capital Ideas’ Chart Room >> 

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Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

October 3rd, 2014

Week’s Top Stories: September 27 — October 3, 2014

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

TRIPRA Renewal Proposals: The Republican-led Financial Services Committee in the House of Representatives put forward a draft proposal outline to reauthorize the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act (TRIPRA) on May 1, 2014. After further negotiations, the House Republican leadership presented the TRIA Reform Act of 2014 on June 11 that proposes a five-year reauthorization of the federal program (to the end of 2019) with a similar copay structure to that of the Senate bill. The full senate passed their committee’s recommended version 93-4 on July 17, 2014. However, a number of changes have also been proposed that have the potential to impact the market if fully implemented, including higher program triggers for non-nuclear, biological, chemical and radiological (NBCR) events, an increase to the recoupment rate and an enhancement to the program’s taxpayer repayment requirements.

Read the article>> 

 

Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line index is presented for 1990 through 2014.  The index fell by 11 percent at January 1, 2014.

Read the article>> 

 

Cyber, Terrorism and New Compensation Structures Highlighted as Critical Emerging Risks: Guy Carpenter published a new report highlighting emerging risks facing the (re)insurance sector, including cyber-attacks, terrorism and new compensation structures for long-term bodily injuries. The report seeks to identify and categorize these risks that are now confronting the sector, as well as analyze their implications on businesses and (re)insurers.

Read the article>> 

 

Influx of New Capital Continues to Reshape the Reinsurance Market: Guy Carpenter published a new report focusing on the growth in the insurance-linked securities (ILS) market during the past year and some of the recent developments in catastrophe bond structure and risk transfer.

Read the article>> 

 

July 1 Renewals Reveal Continued Double Digit Price Decreases Across Many Lines and Geographies: Guy Carpenter reports that market pressures at July 1 renewals continued to drive price decreases across virtually all geographies and lines of business, many in the double digit range. As loss activity remained minimal, reinsurers added to surplus capacity and additional capital continued to come into the market via alternative sources.

Read the article>>

 

And, You May Have Missed…

GC Videocast - Rendez-Vous Press Briefing 2014 (David Priebe) Capacity From New Sources: Focusing on the continuing supply of capacity from new sources, David Priebe, Vice Chairman, Guy Carpenter and Head of GC Securities, said: “Guy Carpenter estimates that the global property catastrophe limit exceeds US$300bn, with non-traditional reinsurance in the form of catastrophe bonds, collateralized reinsurance and industry loss warranties increasing from 14 percent last year to an estimated 16 percent this year. This is double the 8 percent of 2008.” Investor interest in such structures, he added, remained high during the period. “Strong investor demand meant placements were routinely over-subscribed, often by multiples of the targeted size.”

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Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

October 2nd, 2014

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: Third Quarter, 2014

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. July 1 Renewals Reveal Continued Double Digit Price Decreases Across Many Lines and Geographies: Guy Carpenter reports that market pressures at July 1 renewals continued to drive price decreases across virtually all geographies and lines of business, many in the double digit range. As loss activity remained minimal, reinsurers added to surplus capacity and additional capital continued to come into the market via alternative sources.

Read the article>>

 

2. Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line index is presented for 1990 through 2014.  The index fell by 11 percent at January 1, 2014.

Read the article>>

 

3. Cyber, Terrorism and New Compensation Structures Highlighted as Critical Emerging Risks: Guy Carpenter published a new report highlighting emerging risks facing the (re)insurance sector, including cyber-attacks, terrorism and new compensation structures for long-term bodily injuries. The report seeks to identify and categorize these risks that are now confronting the sector, as well as analyze their implications on businesses and (re)insurers.

Read the article>>

 

4. Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness: Prior to the recent turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management (ERM) to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.

Read the article>>

 

5. Chart: Rate Movements by Business Segment: Reports rate movements at January 1, 2014.

Read the article>>

 

6. Influx of New Capital Continues to Reshape the Reinsurance Market: Guy Carpenter published a new report focusing on the growth in the insurance-linked securities (ILS) market during the past year and some of the recent developments in catastrophe bond structure and risk transfer.

Read the article>>

 

7. The Terrorism Reinsurance Market: Despite the recent spike in terrorist-related activity, evolving capacity and the absence of a major terrorism loss for reinsurers have resulted in a softening terrorism reinsurance market in areas with less perceived risk. Although localized terrorism and political violence activity has impacted certain facultative programs and affected pricing and capacity at the local level, adequate terrorism capacity continues to be available in the reinsurance treaty marketplace for certain countries and territories.

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8. Chart: Regional Property Catastrophe ROL Index:  The chart shows the indexes for United States, United Kingdom, Asia Pacific and Europe.

Read the article>>

 

9.  GC Videocast - MENA Insights: Nick Frankland, CEO, Guy Carpenter’s EMEA Operations: Welcome to the beginning of a new series of video interviews with an esteemed panel of experts from the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. The MENA Insights interviews, conducted by Guy Carpenter, offer a snapshot of how (re)insurance in MENA is developing and the many opportunities for (re)insurers.

Read the article>>

 

10. Chart: U.S. Landfall To Basin Ratio - Detected Hurricanes (1900-2013): The chart indicates that the proportion of hurricanes counted in the Atlantic Basin and those that made landfall has been very volatile through the years. While there is indeed a weak correlation between hurricane counts in the Atlantic Basin and the number of U.S. landfalls, statistical significance is a subject of some debate in the scientific community (Coughlin et al., 2009; Dailey et al., 2009).

Read the article>>

 

Click here to register to receive e-mail updates >>

 

Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

October 1st, 2014

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: September, 2014

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Cyber, Terrorism and New Compensation Structures Highlighted as Critical Emerging Risks: Guy Carpenter published a new report highlighting emerging risks facing the (re)insurance sector, including cyber-attacks, terrorism and new compensation structures for long-term bodily injuries. The report seeks to identify and categorize these risks that are now confronting the sector, as well as analyze their implications on businesses and (re)insurers.

Read the article>>

 

2. Influx of New Capital Continues to Reshape the Reinsurance Market: Guy Carpenter published a new report focusing on the growth in the insurance-linked securities (ILS) market during the past year and some of the recent developments in catastrophe bond structure and risk transfer.

Read the article>>

 

3. July 1 Renewals Reveal Continued Double Digit Price Decreases Across Many Lines and Geographies: Guy Carpenter reports that market pressures at July 1 renewals continued to drive price decreases across virtually all geographies and lines of business, many in the double digit range. As loss activity remained minimal, reinsurers added to surplus capacity and additional capital continued to come into the market via alternative sources.

Read the article>>

 

4. Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line index is presented for 1990 through 2014.  The index fell by 11 percent at January 1, 2014.

Read the article>>

 

5. Capital Optimization: Using Internal Reinsurance for Group Capital Management: Increased capital efficiency remains at the forefront of (re)insurers’ strategies - owing largely to the pending introduction of the Solvency II regime, rating agency capital requirements and the continued pressure around shareholder expectations.

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6. Guy Carpenter Explores Wider Impact of Market Conditions: The growing presence of the capital markets, over capacity in most lines and territories, and the ongoing rationalization of buying strategies are not only influencing market dynamics, but also the continuing evolution of the broker into a capital and risk advisor. This is according to the panel of speakers at the seventh annual press briefing held at the Reinsurance Rendez-Vous 2014 in Monte Carlo by Guy Carpenter & Company, the leading global risk and reinsurance specialist.

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7. Private Market Involvement In US Terror Risk Market: Prior to September 11, 2001, coverage for terrorism-related losses was generally included in standard catastrophe reinsurance agreements without specific charges. However, the USD20 billion loss that reinsurers paid out following the September 11, 2001 attacks prompted companies to quickly exclude terror coverage in standard agreements for most lines of business. Terrorism exclusions therefore became standard in catastrophe reinsurance programs at the January 1, 2002 renewal, seriously diminishing the availability of terrorism reinsurance capacity. Concerned that the lack of terrorism coverage would hit the American economy, the US Congress passed the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA) into law in November 2002.

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8. Guy Carpenter Launches Probabilistic European Hail Model: Guy Carpenter launched its new leading-edge probabilistic hail model for Europe. The G-CAT® Hail Model features a unique approach to producing historic hail tracks using a lightning detection system developed for Guy Carpenter by atmospheric research firm nowcast GmbH.

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9. Guy Carpenter Series Details Impact Of 2004 & 2005 Hurricane Seasons: Guy Carpenter released Part One of a two-part series report detailing a ten-year retrospective on the 2004 and 2005 Atlantic Hurricane Seasons - two landmark years that were not only significant for their weather events, but for their lasting effects on the (re)insurance industry. The report examines the meteorological conditions that contributed to the weather activity characterizing both hurricane seasons, as well as the impact on underwriting and claims adjusting practices, cat modeling, and the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund (FHCF).

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10. Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness: Prior to the recent turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management (ERM) to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.

Read the article>>

 

Click here to register to receive e-mail updates >> 

Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

September 30th, 2014

Review of MENA Insights GC Videocast

Posted at 6:30 AM ET

Here we review a recent series of GC Capital Ideas Videocast interviews with a panel of experts from the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region.

GC Videocast - MENA Insights: Nick Frankland, CEO, Guy Carpenter’s EMEA Operations: Welcome to the beginning of a new series of video interviews with an esteemed panel of experts from the MENA region. The MENA Insights interviews, conducted by Guy Carpenter, offer a snapshot of how (re)insurance in MENA is developing and the many opportunities for (re)insurers.

Read the article>>

 

GC Videocast - MENA Insights: Dr. Cherif Chentir, Chief Underwriting Officer from SCOR SE: In our first MENA Insights interview, Dr. Cherif Chentir, Chief Underwriting Officer, Middle East, South Eastern Europe, Greece, Cyprus, Malta, SCOR SE, talks about the mega-projects taking place in the region and his belief that insurance penetration can only move in one direction. He looks back over his long career and charts the development of a market that has changed beyond all recognition.

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GC Videocast - MENA Insights: Michael Watson, Chairman and CEO, Canopius: In our second MENA Insights interview, Michael Watson, chairman and chief executive of Canopius, talks about how the MENA region has all the right ingredients for a growth-minded reinsurer, reveals what he thinks of Lloyd’s decision to open an office in the DIFC and why Canopius is considering establishing its own presence in the region.

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GC Videocast - MENA Insights: Fadi AbuNahl, Chief Executive, Trust Re: In our third MENA Insights interview Fadi AbuNahl, chief executive of Trust Re, describes how the MENA (re)insurance market has developed in recent years and what has prompted greater risk retention within the underlying market. He thinks there is plenty of reinsurance premium to go around but cautions against competing on price alone.

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GC Videocast - MENA Insights: Mahomed Akoob, Managing Director, Hannover Re Takaful: In our fourth MENA Insights interview Mahomed Akoob, managing director of Hannover Re Takaful, considers the huge potential of the Takaful and Retakaful market in the region, which he thinks could grow at a faster pace than Asia. Islamic finance is driving much of the demand for Shariah compliant insurance coverage to be taken out for major infrastructure projects.

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GC Videocast - MENA Insights Speaks To Guy Carpenter’s Chris Pleasant: In our fifth and final MENA Insights interview, Chris Pleasant, Managing Director of Guy Carpenter, offers an upbeat vision of the future. While the current soft market presents challenges, it belies the greater (re)insurance opportunity ahead. As local insurance markets mature and the approach to reinsurance buying becomes more sophisticated, MENA will enter the next chapter of growth.

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