September 14th, 2014

Capital Optimization: Using Internal Reinsurance for Group Capital Management

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

markus-muller-124Markus Müller, Global Partners & Strategic Advisory EMEA, Capital Optimization

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Increased capital efficiency remains at the forefront of (re)insurers’ strategies - owing largely to the pending introduction of the Solvency II regime, rating agency capital requirements and the continued pressure around shareholder expectations.

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September 13th, 2014

GC Videocast - Rendez-Vous Press Briefing 2014, Concluding Remarks (Alex Moczarski)

Posted at 2:19 PM ET

2014-sep-mc-moczarski-photo1Alex Moczarski, President and CEO, Guy Carpenter and Chairman, Marsh & McLennan Companies International, provides concluding remarks at the Guy Carpenter press briefing at the Monte Carlo Rendez-Vous in this GC Capital Ideas videocast.  He said  “The focus for many in the industry continues to be on the deflationary effect of excess capital. This can lead to negative introspection or just waiting for the ‘big one’ to strike. Such passivity won’t do. We must take the initiative. For a broker, this means constant innovation, anticipation of clients’ needs and delivering the best solutions.

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September 13th, 2014

GC Videocast - Rendez-Vous Press Briefing 2014 (James Nash) Asia Pacific Sees Increased Understanding and Quantification of Catastrophe Risk

Posted at 2:17 PM ET

2014-mc-nash-photoJames Nash, CEO of Asia-Pacific Operations, Guy Carpenter, considered the potential that existed in Asia-Pacific. “It is a blend of mature and emerging markets,” he said, “full of opportunities and challenges, and it requires all market participants to have a broad and diverse set of skills and offerings.” He continued: “As regulation develops across the region, and insurers are open to a wider array of modelling options by vendor and peril, we are seeing an increase in the understanding and quantification of the catastrophe risk in the region. This in turn leads to more transparent risk and capital management decision-making,” but, “at this stage the majority of alternative capital activity remains in the mature markets of Japan and Australia.”

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September 13th, 2014

GC Videocast - Rendez-Vous Press Briefing 2014 (Nick Frankland) Centralization of the Reinsurance Buying Process in EMEA

Posted at 2:15 PM ET

2014-mc-nick-frankland-photoNick Frankland, CEO of EMEA operations, Guy Carpenter, reviewed developments in EMEA, where newer capital is yet to have a significant impact. He described the region as “a mature, stable market saturated with existing capacity and clients tending towards buying less reinsurance.” This approach to purchasing he said reflected the continuing centralization of the buying process. “Groups are taking a longer-term and more strategic rather than short-term tactical approach,” he stated. “This in turn has seen a smaller number of reinsurers selected as long-term strategic partners.” Opportunities for growth in such an environment however still remain, he said. “Future growth for a reinsurance broker demands a thoughtful, strategic, analytical and intellectual value offering above and beyond traditional structuring and placing.”

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September 13th, 2014

GC Videocast - Rendez-Vous Press Briefing 2014 (David Priebe) Capacity From New Sources

Posted at 2:11 PM ET

2014-mc-priebe-photoFocusing on the continuing supply of capacity from new sources, David Priebe, Vice Chairman, Guy Carpenter and Head of GC Securities, said: “Guy Carpenter estimates that the global property catastrophe limit exceeds US$300bn, with non-traditional reinsurance in the form of catastrophe bonds, collateralized reinsurance and industry loss warranties increasing from 14 percent last year to an estimated 16 percent this year. This is double the 8 percent of 2008.” Investor interest in such structures, he added, remained high during the period. “Strong investor demand meant placements were routinely over-subscribed, often by multiples of the targeted size.”

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September 13th, 2014

GC Videocast - Rendez-Vous Press Briefing 2014, Introduction (Alex Moczarski)

Posted at 2:09 PM ET

2014-sep-mc-moczarski-photoAlex Moczarski, President and Chief Executive Officer, Guy Carpenter & Company, and Chairman, Marsh & McLennan Companies International, introduces the Guy Carpenter press briefing at the Monte Carlo Rendez-Vous in this GC Capital Ideas videocast.

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September 13th, 2014

Guy Carpenter Explores Wider Impact of Market Conditions

Posted at 1:58 PM ET

The growing presence of the capital markets, over capacity in most lines and territories, and the ongoing rationalization of buying strategies are not only influencing market dynamics, but also the continuing evolution of the broker into a capital and risk advisor. This is according to the panel of speakers at the seventh annual press briefing held at the Reinsurance Rendez-Vous 2014 in Monte Carlo by Guy Carpenter & Company, the leading global risk and reinsurance specialist, and wholly owned subsidiary of Marsh & McLennan Companies.

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September 12th, 2014

Week’s Top Stories: September 6 — 12, 2014

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

US Terror Reinsurance Capacity: Guy Carpenter conducted a survey in the fourth quarter of 2013 with a number of reinsurers to help quantify the amount of terrorism reinsurance capacity that is currently available in the US market for all lines of business. At the market’s price, multiline terrorism reinsurance capacity is estimated to be approximately USD2.5 billion per program for coverages that include conventional weapon terrorism. Reinsurance capacity for coverages that include nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological (NBCR) is estimated to be approximately USD1 billion per program.

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Guy Carpenter Series Details Impact Of 2004 & 2005 Hurricane Seasons: Guy Carpenter released Part One of a two-part series report detailing a ten-year retrospective on the 2004 and 2005 Atlantic Hurricane Seasons - two landmark years that were not only significant for their weather events, but for their lasting effects on the (re)insurance industry. The report examines the meteorological conditions that contributed to the weather activity characterizing both hurricane seasons, as well as the impact on underwriting and claims adjusting practices, cat modeling, and the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund (FHCF).

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July 1 Renewals Reveal Continued Double Digit Price Decreases Across Many Lines and Geographies: Guy Carpenter reports that market pressures at July 1 renewals continued to drive price decreases across virtually all geographies and lines of business, many in the double digit range. As loss activity remained minimal, reinsurers added to surplus capacity and additional capital continued to come into the market via alternative sources.

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Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line index is presented for 1990 through 2014.  The index fell by 11 percent at January 1, 2014.

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Guy Carpenter Launches Probabilistic European Hail Model: Guy Carpenter launched its new leading-edge probabilistic hail model for Europe. The G-CAT® Hail Model features a unique approach to producing historic hail tracks using a lightning detection system developed for Guy Carpenter by atmospheric research firm nowcast GmbH.

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And, You May Have Missed…

Chart: Return on Revenue For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, Q1 2014: Chart presents return on revenue for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2004 through first quarter, 2014.

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September 11th, 2014

TRIPRA Renewal

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Marsh & McLennan Companies (MMC), the parent company of Guy Carpenter, strongly supports the reauthorization and modernization of the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act (TRIPRA). MMC and Guy Carpenter consider the Act to be a model public-private partnership that has provided affordable and widely available terrorism cover. Thankfully, thus far, the federal government has not made any payments under Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA) and its successors. Non-renewal or a major change in the program would almost certainly affect existing TRIPRA coverage, standalone terrorism pricing and TRIPRA captive programs. In addition, the workers compensation market would be severely impacted from a capacity, availability and pricing basis.

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September 10th, 2014

Reliance on TRIPRA

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

In 2012, there were over 850 insurers participating in the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act (TRIPRA), writing over USD183 billion in premiums. Using the current 20 percent deductible requirement of TRIPRA and policyholder surplus as a filter, Guy Carpenter found that the smaller to mid-sized insurance carriers would be most affected should there be an increase in the deductible of any program that replaces TRIPRA (see table below). Without TRIPRA, insurers with less than USD300 million in surplus would likely need to incorporate additional private reinsurance market capacity to protect their capital and to satisfy rating agencies and regulators.

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