April 19th, 2016

7.8 Mw Earthquake Near Ecuador Coast

Posted at 8:30 AM ET

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A Mw 7.8 earthquake struck the Esmeralda Province near the west coast of northern Ecuador on April 16, according to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). The quake occurred at 6:58 PM local time (23:58 UTC) about 17 miles (27 km) south-southeast of Muisne and about 106 miles (170 km) west-northwest of Quito, the capital of Ecuador.

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April 19th, 2016

Public Sector Risk: Conclusion

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

We have seen significant growth in public sector entities transferring risk to the reinsurance market utilizing traditional risk transfer structures and alternative risk transfer structures such as collateralized reinsurance and catastrophe bonds.

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April 18th, 2016

Chart: Combined Ratio For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, YE 2015

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Chart presents combined ratio for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2004 through year end 2015.

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April 15th, 2016

Week’s Top Stories: April 9 - 15, 2016

Posted at 6:30 AM ET

Chart: Source Of Earnings For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, YE 2015: Chart presents source of earnings for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite for the year end, 2015 compared to the year end, 2014.

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US Residual Markets: The US residual property insurance market segment is comprised of Fair Access to Insurance Requirements (FAIR) Plans, Beach and Windstorm Plans and two state run insurance companies - Florida Citizens Property Insurance Company (Florida Citizens) and Louisiana Citizens Property Insurance Corporation (Louisiana Citizens). These insurance facilities grew out of the civil strife in the 1960s to ensure continued access to insurance in urban areas. Over time they have evolved and their mandate has grown beyond their urban focus. Today these facilities are significant providers of some of the most wind- and earthquake-exposed property insurance in the country.

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Chart: Return On Equity For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, YE 2015: Chart presents return on equity for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2004 through year end 2015.

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Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index 1990 to 2016: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2016.

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China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS): The China Insurance Regulatory Commission (CIRC) is instituting sweeping changes through its three-tiered China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS) framework that will dramatically impact how (re)insurers conduct business. It will strengthen capital requirements, risk management and transparency disclosures - bringing China in line with, and in some cases overtaking, global standards. The C-ROSS framework is similar to Solvency II: three tiers focusing on quantitative, qualitative and disclosure requirements.

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And, You May Have Missed…

Catastrophe Bond: Fourth Quarter Primary Issuance: After 2015 began with record historical issuance levels in the first quarter, the fourth quarter of 2015 was dramatically different as only USD 1.425 billion of 144A property and casualty (P&C) catastrophe bonds benefiting five sponsors were completed. This represented the second lowest level since 2005 and the lowest level since 2009. One explanation for this development may be that sponsors who would ordinarily have been willing to issue in the fourth quarter of the calendar year may have had the flexibility to delay their issuance to the following first quarter in order to obtain best execution and/or avoid transaction crowding. We view sponsors’ willingness to focus on best execution rather than specific renewal dates (while still important for overall capital planning purposes) as a further sign of the maturity of the insurance-linked securities (ILS) space.

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April 14th, 2016

Chart: Return On Revenue For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, YE 2015

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Chart presents return on revenue for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2004 through year end 2015.

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April 13th, 2016

Chart: Return On Equity For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, YE 2015

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Chart presents return on equity for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2004 through year end 2015.

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April 12th, 2016

Chart: Source Of Earnings For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, YE 2015

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Chart presents source of earnings for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite for the year end, 2015 compared to the year end, 2014.

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April 11th, 2016

US Residual Markets, Part II

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The recent 2015 reinsurance renewals in this area demonstrated further expansion in the manner and means by which these insurance providers utilize private-sector capital to support their businesses. Traditional reinsurance remains a core component of most residual market risk financing programs. Typically these risk financing plans will also rely on retained profit, assessments and debt facilities in concert with the various forms of reinsurance to manage their exposures. The utilization of alternative risk financing capital through catastrophe bonds and/or collateralized reinsurance continues to grow with eight of 12 facilities that utilize traditional reinsurance also accessing risk transfer capacity through catastrophe bonds and/or collateralized reinsurance to help manage their loss exposures. The chart below details the increasingly diverse set of risk financing approaches employed by 11 coastal markets.

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April 8th, 2016

Week’s Top Stories: April 2 - 8, 2016

Posted at 6:30 AM ET

Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index 1990 to 2016: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2016.

Read the article>>

 

China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS): The China Insurance Regulatory Commission (CIRC) is instituting sweeping changes through its three-tiered China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS) framework that will dramatically impact how (re)insurers conduct business. It will strengthen capital requirements, risk management and transparency disclosures - bringing China in line with, and in some cases overtaking, global standards. The C-ROSS framework is similar to Solvency II: three tiers focusing on quantitative, qualitative and disclosure requirements.

Read the article>>

 

Evolution of Risk Capital: The continued flow of new capital into the (re)insurance industry constitutes the largest change to the sector’s capital structure in recent memory. New capital has entered the market through investments in insurance-linked securities (ILS) funds, sidecars, hedge fund-backed reinsurance companies and collateralized reinsurance vehicles. Investors have increasingly been attracted to low correlation returns from catastrophe risk relative to traditional capital markets risks and the attractive yield for the measured (re)insurance risk relative to other investments, particularly in the current low inflation, low yield era.

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Guy Carpenter Reports Stable Capital at January 1, 2016 Renewals: Guy Carpenter & Company reports that overall capital levels dedicated to reinsurance have stabilized, showing no growth for the first time in several years.  In a highly competitive environment, companies assessed broader opportunities and the rate of incoming capital slowed. However, moderate loss experience kept capacity at abundant levels for the January 1, 2016 renewals. The continued scarcity of costly catastrophe losses and more than adequate capacity led to reinsurance pricing reductions, although there are signs the rate of descent is slowing as compared to 2015.

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Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness: Prior to the recent turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management (ERM) to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.

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And, You May Have Missed…

The Rise of Emerging Risk and Casualty Catastrophe Models: The modeling of emerging and casualty catastrophe risks remains challenging and the models continue to vary in their approach, level of development and industry acceptance. With the potential scenarios numerous, diverse and constantly changing, there is no single model or approach that could contemplate all of them. Furthermore, the various disaster scenarios with which carriers are being increasingly confronted needs to be prioritized and synthesized within their enterprise risk management framework. By their very definition, there may be limited data on hand on which to base any modeling. As a result, much of the industry continues to rely on multiple models and actuarial approaches that encompass model applications, probable maximum loss (PML) estimates, realistic disaster scenarios, experience and exposure ratings to create a broad set of scenarios and deterministic views.

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April 7th, 2016

US Residual Markets, Part I

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The US residual property insurance market segment is comprised of Fair Access to Insurance Requirements (FAIR) Plans, Beach and Windstorm Plans and two state run insurance companies - Florida Citizens Property Insurance Company (Florida Citizens) and Louisiana Citizens Property Insurance Corporation (Louisiana Citizens). These insurance facilities grew out of the civil strife in the 1960s to ensure continued access to insurance in urban areas. Over time they have evolved and their mandate has grown beyond their urban focus. Today these facilities are significant providers of some of the most wind- and earthquake-exposed property insurance in the country.

Continue reading…