February 13th, 2017

Expanding Range Of Capital Sources Offers Benefits: Part II

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

priebe_david-sm-198cory-anger-small-1991David Priebe, Vice Chairman and Cory Anger, Global Head of ILS Origination and Structuring at GC Securities*

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“Historically, traditional reinsurers increase their premium rates after industry catastrophe events in order to replenish capital and attract new capital, with the goal of reaching overall premium rate adequacy and restoring returns on equity to levels more consistent with what is expected of equity capital,” David Priebe, Vice Chairman at Guy Carpenter, explains. “However, GC Securities has found that significant pricing increases will be difficult to sustain for short periods because of the inflow of new capital that typically follows catastrophe events. Alternative capital is already making contingency plans with funds created so that they can inflow new capital rapidly post-event. The difficulty in sustaining price increases means that premium rate adequacy is even more critical in soft markets when capital is abundant. (Re)insurers need to evolve by reassessing business models for more efficient allocation of risk to capital sources.”

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February 10th, 2017

Week’s Top Stories: February 4 - 10, 2017

Posted at 7:30 AM ET

Evolving Risks Landscape: 2008-2017: Social and environmental risks have supplanted economic ones as issues of greatest concern among respondents to the Global Risks Perception Survey. The survey was completed by almost 750 members of the World Economic Forum’s global multistakeholder community and the results analyzed in the World Economic Forum 2017 Global Risks Report, which was published by the World Economic Forum with support from Marsh & McLennan Companies and other partners.

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Guy Carpenter Reports Moderating Reinsurance Pricing Decline at January 1, 2017 Renewals: Guy Carpenter & Company reports the decline in reinsurance pricing moderated at the January 1, 2017 renewal across most classes of business and geographies, as compared to the past three renewal seasons.  Several sectors experienced increased loss activity, which had only a localized impact on pricing while capacity remained plentiful. After remaining fairly stable in 2015, dedicated reinsurance capital increased by 5 percent from January 1, 2016 to January 1, 2017 as calculated by Guy Carpenter and A.M. Best. The convergence capital segment increased by 10 percent.

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Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives - Sharing Visual Intelligence for Disaster Response: As governments and emergency responders focus on search and rescue in the hours and days following catastrophic events, the (re)insurance industry is autonomously responding with visual technologies for loss assessment.

Read the article>>


Expanding Range Of Capital Sources Offers Benefits: Pricing declines continued in the insurance-linked securities (ILS) segment of alternative capital. In turn, this has prompted questions about the sustainability of lower pricing and capacity post-catastrophe event, suggesting that traditional reinsurers’ models and the traditional reinsurance and alternative capital mix of capital sources still need to evolve. Maintaining premium rate adequacy and stable capacity requires better access to the expanding sources of capital and awareness of the benefits of better risk syndication and segmentation, according to David Priebe, Vice Chairman at Guy Carpenter and Cory Anger, Global Head of ILS Origination and Structuring at GC Securities.

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Increasing External Demands Compel Companies to Improve Risk Management Disclosures: Guy Carpenter released its latest Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) Benchmark Review earlier this year providing an in-depth analysis of risk management practices and policies of 67 insurance and reinsurance companies located in Europe, United States, Bermuda, and Asia-Pacific. Based on publicly-available data from financial and risk reports, Guy Carpenter’s ERM Benchmark Review reveals that most (re)insurers are managing capital with metric-based frameworks and are publishing more about their risk management targets than seen in Guy Carpenter’s 2009 analysis. Capital market, legislative, and regulatory influences, such as the approaching implementation of Solvency II, are expected to further compel company managements to better recognize and analyze the risks of their enterprises.

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And, You May Have Missed…

Southern U.S. Severe Thunderstorms: A severe thunderstorm outbreak has affected areas from Louisiana to Kentucky to Florida. Several tornadoes have been reported in Southeast Louisiana, Mississippi and Florida. This includes a probable EF-3 tornado affecting the East New Orleans area, according to media reports. Significant property damage has been reported for several areas, with especially severe impacts for the East New Orleans tornado. Downed trees and powerlines with light to moderate property damage have been reported for affected areas of the Florida Panhandle. At least 36 injuries and one fatality have been reported in the media. Rescue and damage survey operations are ongoing, and it is too early to ascertain the full scope and severity of this event.

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*Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities LLC, a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities LLC, MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

February 9th, 2017

Expanding Range Of Capital Sources Offers Benefits: Part I

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

priebe_david-sm-198cory-anger-small-1991David Priebe, Vice Chairman and Cory Anger, Global Head of ILS Origination and Structuring at GC Securities*

Contact

Industry Must Adapt to Emerging Segmentation Phase

Pricing declines continued in the insurance-linked securities (ILS) segment of alternative capital. In turn, this has prompted questions about the sustainability of lower pricing and capacity post-catastrophe event, suggesting that traditional reinsurers’ models and the traditional reinsurance and alternative capital mix of capital sources still need to evolve. Maintaining premium rate adequacy and stable capacity requires better access to the expanding sources of capital and awareness of the benefits of better risk syndication and segmentation, according to David Priebe, Vice Chairman at Guy Carpenter and Cory Anger, Global Head of ILS Origination and Structuring at GC Securities.

Continue reading…

February 8th, 2017

Southern U.S. Severe Thunderstorms

Posted at 2:11 PM ET

us-local-storm-reports-february-7-2017-smA severe thunderstorm outbreak has affected areas from Louisiana to Kentucky to Florida. Several tornadoes have been reported in Southeast Louisiana, Mississippi and Florida. This includes a probable EF-3 tornado affecting the East New Orleans area, according to media reports. Significant property damage has been reported for several areas, with especially severe impacts for the East New Orleans tornado. Downed trees and powerlines with light to moderate property damage have been reported for affected areas of the Florida Panhandle. At least 36 injuries and one fatality have been reported in the media. Rescue and damage survey operations are ongoing, and it is too early to ascertain the full scope and severity of this event. Our first thoughts and concerns are with those directly affected by this event.

Continue reading…

February 8th, 2017

Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives – Sharing Visual Intelligence for Disaster Response: Part II

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

beverley-adams-sm21Dr. Beverley Adams, Head of CAT Planning and Response

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National disaster response plans of governments rarely include references to insurance or make provisions for visual intelligence as part of the operational response toolkit. Recent events reaffirm the value of visual intelligence - particularly when access to sites is restricted - and suggest that a more collaborative approach between emergency services and the insurance industry would enhance public sector response and facilitate community resilience.

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February 7th, 2017

Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives – Sharing Visual Intelligence for Disaster Response: Part I

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

beverley-adams-sm2Dr. Beverley Adams, Head of CAT Planning and Response

Contact

As governments and emergency responders focus on search and rescue in the hours and days following catastrophic events, the (re)insurance industry is autonomously responding with visual technologies for loss assessment.

Continue reading…

February 6th, 2017

Evolving Risks Landscape: 2008—2017

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Social and environmental risks have supplanted economic ones as issues of greatest concern among respondents to the Global Risks Perception Survey. The survey was completed by almost 750 members of the World Economic Forum’s global multistakeholder community and the results analyzed in the World Economic Forum 2017 Global Risks Report, which was published by the World Economic Forum with support from Marsh & McLennan Companies and other partners.

Continue reading…

February 3rd, 2017

Week’s Top Stories: January 28 – February 3, 2017

Posted at 7:30 AM ET

Guy Carpenter Reports Moderating Reinsurance Pricing Decline at January 1, 2017 Renewals: Guy Carpenter & Company reports the decline in reinsurance pricing moderated at the January 1, 2017 renewal across most classes of business and geographies, as compared to the past three renewal seasons.  Several sectors experienced increased loss activity, which had only a localized impact on pricing while capacity remained plentiful. After remaining fairly stable in 2015, dedicated reinsurance capital increased by 5 percent from January 1, 2016 to January 1, 2017 as calculated by Guy Carpenter and A.M. Best. The convergence capital segment increased by 10 percent.

Read the article>>


Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives - Terror Risk: The (re)insurance industry should look towards closing the gap between economic and insured terror losses.

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Chart: Top Ten Significant Insured Loss Events: 2016: The table lists the latest estimates for the top ten significant insured loss events for 2016.

Read the article>>


Increasing External Demands Compel Companies to Improve Risk Management Disclosures: Guy Carpenter released its latest Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) Benchmark Review providing an in-depth analysis of risk management practices and policies of 67 insurance and reinsurance companies located in Europe, United States, Bermuda, and Asia-Pacific. Based on publicly-available data from financial and risk reports, Guy Carpenter’s ERM Benchmark Review reveals that most (re)insurers are managing capital with metric-based frameworks and are publishing more about their risk management targets than seen in Guy Carpenter’s 2009 analysis.

Read the article>>


Global Risks Report 2017: The Global Risks Report 2017, produced by the World Economic Forum with support from Marsh & McLennan Companies and other partners, was published this week. Now in its twelfth edition, the report provides insights into the key global risks facing businesses as well as the collective view of risk experts in all sectors as to the most significant threats to global prosperity over the next decade. The Global Risks Report 2017 will inform discussions at the World Economic Forum’s annual meeting next week in Davos, Switzerland.

Read the article>>


And, You May Have Missed…

Chart: Which Capital Sources Will (Re)insurers Utilize in 2017?: Chart highlights the result of a survey taken of 107 insurance and reinsurance professionals conducted by Guy Carpenter at the 2016 annual meeting of the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America when asked which capital sources they will utilize more of in 2017.

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February 2nd, 2017

Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives – Terror Risk: Part IV

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

emma-karhan-sm1Emma Karhan, Managing Director

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Insurance is about the pooling of risk and providing support for impacted economies. Expanding insurance coverages to achieve these objectives against terror losses requires a more granular level of insight into the impacts of terrorist attacks. We have a relatively high level of loss impact knowledge for mature lines of business, such as property catastrophe coverages; this has been driven by losses and the ensuing needs for modeling and pricing improvements. However, the terrorism market is a less mature market that has not suffered a frequency of significantly large insured losses that would otherwise assist in a better understanding of the nature of the peril and its direct and indirect impacts on an economy. Additionally, this peril has the added complexity of unpredictable behavioral factors of terrorists that are very difficult to sensibly and consistently be included in pricing models. Consequently, the (re)insurance industry needs to devise improved transparency through innovative modeling and pricing methodologies to ensure that capital continues to support this line of business - underpinning further product development.

Continue reading…

February 1st, 2017

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: January, 2017

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Guy Carpenter Reports Moderating Reinsurance Pricing Decline at January 1, 2017 Renewals: Guy Carpenter & Company reports the decline in reinsurance pricing moderated at the January 1, 2017 renewal across most classes of business and geographies, as compared to the past three renewal seasons. Several sectors experienced increased loss activity, which had only a localized impact on pricing while capacity remained plentiful. After remaining fairly stable in 2015, dedicated reinsurance capital increased by 5 percent from January 1, 2016 to January 1, 2017 as calculated by Guy Carpenter and A.M. Best. The convergence capital segment increased by 10 percent.

Read the article>>


2. Chart: Top Ten Significant Insured Loss Events: 2016: The table lists the latest estimates for the top ten significant insured loss events for 2016.

Read the article>>


3. Chart: Combined Ratio For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, Q3, 2016: Chart presents combined ratio for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2005 through third quarter, 2016.

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4. Global Risks Report 2017: The Global Risks Report 2017, produced by the World Economic Forum with support from Marsh & McLennan Companies and other partners, was published this week. Now in its twelfth edition, the report provides insights into the key global risks facing businesses as well as the collective view of risk experts in all sectors as to the most significant threats to global prosperity over the next decade. The Global Risks Report 2017 will inform discussions at the World Economic Forum’s annual meeting next week in Davos, Switzerland.

Read the article>>


5. Further Considerations on the Hurricane “Shield” Theory: A recent New York Times article titled “Conditions That Form More Hurricanes Also Protect U.S., Study Finds” notes a hurricane “shield” for the U.S. coast during busy hurricane seasons. The article, based on recent research by James Kossin, provides valuable insight, including some notes of caution from other experts in the field, but the observations should be treated with a moment of pause.

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6. Chart: Where Do (Re)insurers See Biggest Growth Opportunities?: Chart highlights the result of a survey taken of 107 insurance and reinsurance professionals conducted by Guy Carpenter at the 2016 annual meeting of the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America when asked where they see the biggest growth opportunities.

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7.  Managing Catastrophe Model Uncertainty, Issues and Challenges: Here we repeat our series authored by John Major, which focuses on the issues and challenges in managing catastrophe model uncertainty.

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8. China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS): The China Insurance Regulatory Commission (CIRC) is instituting sweeping changes through its three-tiered China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS) framework that will dramatically impact how (re)insurers conduct business. It will strengthen capital requirements, risk management and transparency disclosures - bringing China in line with, and in some cases overtaking, global standards. The C-ROSS framework is similar to Solvency II: three tiers focusing on quantitative, qualitative and disclosure requirements.

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9. Survey: Geopolitical Risk Is Now a Top Concern for Finance Professionals: Geopolitical risk is having a bigger impact on earnings than ever before - and senior management and boards are taking notice.

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10. Chart: The Matrix of Cyber and Property Lines Insurance Coverage: Chart examines the policy coverage matrix between cyber and property lines of insurance coverage. Below shows how the four types of subject matter (columns A-D) are generally covered by direct policies, relative to the various types of cyber and property perils (rows 1-5). Where cover is predominantly provided by property or cyber, the relevant icon is shown in blue. Where there is a degree of ambiguity, or coverage is limited, the icon is shown in gray.

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