January 9th, 2019

GC Capital Ideas: Top Stories in 2018

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

GC Capital Ideas takes a look back at the top stories of 2018.

1. Guy Carpenter Reports Capital Growth and Market Resilience Despite 2017 Losses: Guy Carpenter has released an estimate of year-end reinsurance capital levels and results of the January 2018 reinsurance renewal. According to the analysis, capital dedicated to reinsurance continued to grow in 2017 despite catastrophe losses. Due to ongoing excess supply and overall market resilience at January 1, rate firming was generally moderate and pricing shifts focused on client-specific justification.

Read the article >>

2. Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2018.

View the chart >>

3. Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness: Prior to the recent turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management (ERM) to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.

Read the article >>

4. Chart: The Cyber Insurance Matrix Explained: Chart examines the policy coverage matrix between cyber and property lines of insurance coverage.

View the chart >>

5. Exploring the Excess & Surplus Industry: E&S Market Update and Projections: The excess and surplus (E&S) lines segment of the insurance industry continues to be the essential market for risks for which  the standard insurance market typically does not offer coverage. From extremely hazardous conditions to highly unique business operations and unproven new products, these unconventional risks are often complex and challenging. The E&S market’s challenge is to develop products to cover these exposures utilizing its expertise and freedom of rate and form.

Read the article >>

6. Guy Carpenter to Host Scientific and Engineering Expo to Launch New InsurTech Advisory Offering Developed with Numerati® Partners LLC: Guy Carpenter announced the August 9, 2018 launch event for its InsurTech Alliance – a cost effective, state of the art and insurer-focused suite of capabilities to help carriers evaluate new innovations in the areas of data, analytics and digital technology-based products and solutions.

Read the article >>

7. Reinsurance Market Assessment: What the Numbers Reveal about the Current Industry Status: After several years of light catastrophe activity, particularly in the United States where capital deployment covering catastrophe exposures was heavily impacted by convergence capital, the events of 2017 provided a framework to evaluate how evolving market dynamics over the last few years held up to the real test of losses.

Read the article >>


8. Chart: Significant Insured Losses 2011–2Q2018: Chart exhibits the significant insured losses from 2011 through the second quarter of this year.

View the chart >>

9. Building for Resilience: How to Avoid a Catastrophe Model Failure: Since commercial catastrophe (CAT) models were first introduced in the 1980s, they have evolved as new scientific discoveries and claims insights emerged. Despite the sophisticated nature of each new generation of CAT models, occasionally a model misses a significant loss driver for a particular peril. This occurs when a previously hidden attribute reveals itself through unprecedented intensity. Lessons from such surprises stimulate model improvements as our understanding of the physics of the peril and its damage potential, increase. Through this process, models mature over time.

Read the article >>

10. A Math Formula May Offer a Solution to Insurers’ Critical Challenges: Guy Carpenter has developed a methodology that applies a mathematical formula to provide insurers and reinsurers with a unified, practical framework for risk pricing and capital allocation.

Read the article >>

Click here to register to receive e-mail updates >>

January 8th, 2019

Taiwan: Catastrophe Insurance and Gap in Coverage

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

14shades_thumbnailTaiwan has experienced a series of extreme weather events in recent years, which are expected to continue into the future, says the report 14 Shades of Risk In Asia-Pacific: Evolving Risk Concerns in Asia-Pacific by Marsh & McLennan Companies’ Asia-Pacific Risk Center. Continue reading…

January 7th, 2019

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: Fourth Quarter, 2018

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. A Math Formula May Offer a Solution to Insurers’ Critical Challenges: Guy Carpenter has developed a methodology that applies a mathematical formula to provide insurers and reinsurers with a unified, practical framework for risk pricing and capital allocation.

Read the article >>

2. Cost of Capital and its Use in Valuing Reinsurance: Increasingly, reinsurance is seen as an important element of capital management. Reinsurance decisions are moving away from the reinsurance buyer and towards the finance teams. These teams need to find a way of comparing reinsurance in a straightforward way. Defining the cost of capital for reinsurance means that it can be compared with other capital sources.

Read the article >>

3. Affirmative versus Silent Cyber: An Overview: While the current debate over “affirmative” versus  “non-affirmative” coverage has been ongoing for a few years, WannaCry and Petya/NotPetya cyberattacks helped make the issue of ”silent cyber” more critical. These two 2017 cyberattacks effectively shifted the conversation from data breach, notification costs and third-party liability to first-party liability insuring agreements due to the extent and expanse of the systematic, large-scale damages they triggered.

Read the article >>

4. Baden-Baden Reinsurance Symposium Explores Market Impact of Global (Re)insurance Composites: Guy Carpenter hosted the Reinsurance Symposium in Baden-Baden on October 21, the 10th year that Guy Carpenter has hosted the event. The theme of the Symposium was “Back to the past: a return to global composites.”

Read the article >>

5. Wildfire Activity - California - Update: Recent wildfire activity has rendered especially severe impacts to areas of California, including areas of Butte, Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. Rates of extreme fire spread were enabled by especially dry, windy conditions on November 8 and the days following. Aggressive firefighting efforts allowed containment efforts to progress despite adverse conditions over the following week. Periods of heavy rainfall have recently allowed firefighting crews to bring the last of the fires to 100 percent containment over the last week. The Camp, Woolsey and Hill Fires have burned an estimated 20,297 structures since November 8, including at least 13,972 residential structures from the Camp Fire alone, according to Cal Fire statistics. These fires have also claimed at least 91 lives.

Read the article >>

6. Facultative or Treaty and Why the Need for Hybrid Solutions - GC@PCI Commentary: Insurers face challenges in managing underwriting, capital protection, risk and risk profiling as they navigate underwriting guidelines based on their gross and net risk underwriting appetite. Against these challenges, companies utilize various forms of reinsurance, traditionally facultative or treaty, to buy risk protection, shore up capital and satisfy rating agencies, according to Jeff Fleming, Managing Director, Guy Carpenter.

Read the article >>

7. Cyberattacks Top the List of Risks in North America: For business executives in the United States and Canada, cyberattacks are now the number one risk to doing business, according to the recent World Economic Forum (WEF) report Regional Risks for Doing Business 2018.

Read the article >>

8.Hurricane Michael: Hurricane Michael made landfall on October 10 as a high-end Category-4 hurricane on the Florida Panhandle, with maximum sustained winds of 155 mph. The storm rendered severe to complete damage to areas from Panama City to Port Saint Joe, with especially severe damage in Mexico Beach due to severe wind and storm surge.

Read the article >>

9. Increasing Frequency of Extreme Weather Events in Asia Pacific: The Asia Pacific may be the most adversely impacted region by the pronounced increase in the frequency of extreme weather events around the world. The Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Catastrophe Report 2017 projects an increase in economic losses from natural disasters in Asia, which amounted to USD 126 million a day between 2006 to 2015.

Read the article >>

10. Terrorism: The Need for Expanded Capacity: Terrorists are increasingly able to modify, adapt and reinvent their tactics and quickly spread their methodologies to their worldwide support base. Economically, the effect of this change across the globe has been significant. Tourism, trade and investments are examples of areas affected as countries grapple with terrorist actions, both direct and indirect. According to the Institute for Economics and Peace, although the peak of global economic impact from terror events was reached in 2014, it remains at historically high levels.

Read the article >>

Click here to register to receive e-mail updates >>

January 4th, 2019

Week’s Top Stories: December 29, 2018 - January 4, 2019

Posted at 10:00 AM ET

Sydney Hailstorms, December 20, 2018: A severe convective storm affected large parts of New South Wales, including Sydney, the Central Coast and Wollongong from 4:00 to 7:00 pm on December 20, 2018. The storm generated large hail, damaging winds and flash flooding in many areas of the state. According to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM), there were ground reports of hail of 8 cm diameter in Berowra Heights in Sydney’s north and similar size hail in Casula and Liverpool in the city’s southwest.  The Nattai National Park west of Picton also experienced large hail. Initial damage reports indicated that the suburbs of Berowra Heights, Hornsby, Liverpool, Gosford and Lithgow were the most severely affected. Given that the event occurred during the Christmas holidays, many residents and businesses have not fully assessed the extent of damages; therefore, loss estimates are expected to increase in the next few weeks.

Read the article >>

Cost of Capital and its Use in Valuing Reinsurance: Increasingly, reinsurance is seen as an important element of capital management. Reinsurance decisions are moving away from the reinsurance buyer and towards the finance teams. These teams need to find a way of comparing reinsurance in a straightforward way. Defining the cost of capital for reinsurance means that it can be compared with other capital sources.

Read the article>>

Marsh & McLennan Companies Climate Resilience Microsite: Extreme weather events, shifting regulations, evolving competition and increased actions by investors are just some of the challenges facing organizations - all driven by a growing focus on climate change.

Read the article >>

Catastrophe Insurance Gap in China: Even though China is the fastest growing insurance market in the world, the country’s catastrophe insurance protection gap remains significant, according to the recent report 14 Shades of Risk in Asia-Pacific: Evolving Risk Concerns by Marsh & McLennan Companies’ Asia-Pacific Risk Center.

Read the article >>

Cyberattacks Top Risk to Doing Business in India: A growing dependency on data and digitization efforts have increased the risks of cyberattacks in India, says the report 14 Shades of Risk In Asia-Pacific: Evolving Risk Concerns in Asia-Pacific by Marsh & McLennan Companies’ Asia-Pacific Risk Center.

Read the article >>

And, you may have missed …

GC Capital Ideas: CAT-i Stories: Fourth Quarter 2018: Here is a look back at the CAT-i articles from October 1 through December.

Read the article >>

Click here to register to receive e-mail updates >>

January 3rd, 2019

Cyberattacks Top Risk to Doing Business in India

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

14shades_thumbnailA growing dependency on data and digitization efforts have increased the risks of cyberattacks in India, says the report 14 Shades of Risk In Asia-Pacific: Evolving Risk Concerns in Asia-Pacific by Marsh & McLennan Companies’ Asia-Pacific Risk Center.

Continue reading…

January 2nd, 2019

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: December 2018

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Cost of Capital and its Use in Valuing Reinsurance: Increasingly, reinsurance is seen as an important element of capital management. Reinsurance decisions are moving away from the reinsurance buyer and towards the finance teams. These teams need to find a way of comparing reinsurance in a straightforward way. Defining the cost of capital for reinsurance means that it can be compared with other capital sources.

Read the article >>

2. Wildfire Activity - California - Update: Recent wildfire activity has rendered especially severe impacts to areas of California, including areas of Butte, Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. Rates of extreme fire spread were enabled by especially dry, windy conditions on November 8 and the days following. Aggressive firefighting efforts allowed containment efforts to progress despite adverse conditions over the following week. Periods of heavy rainfall have recently allowed firefighting crews to bring the last of the fires to 100 percent containment over the last week. The Camp, Woolsey and Hill Fires have burned an estimated 20,297 structures since November 8, including at least 13,972 residential structures from the Camp Fire alone, according to Cal Fire statistics. These fires have also claimed at least 91 lives.

Read the article >>

3. Mw 7.0 Earthquake – Near Anchorage, Alaska: A magnitude (Mw) 7.0 earthquake was reported near Anchorage, Alaska around 17:29 UTC on November 30 (8:29 local time), according to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). The epicenter was located at a depth of 44.1 km and about 12.9 km (8.0 miles) north of Anchorage, Alaska. A tsunami warning was issued but later lifted by the U.S. National Weather Service. Initial media reports indicate that the event rendered considerable damage to infrastructure including roads, power and water, along with significant transportation disruption. Damage has been reported to buildings including interior damage and some cracked foundations with some building collapses. Initial media reports indicate no fatalities or injuries, although survey efforts are still ongoing.

Read the article >>

4. Asia Pacific Reinsurance Market: Abundant Capacity and Flat Pricing: For buyers of catastrophe reinsurance in the Asia Pacific region, pricing has remained largely flat during 2018. The region has experienced losses during the year to date, and at the time of writing, it is expected that a proportion of these will impact reinsurers. At the same time, market capacity remains abundant and underlying reinsurance market conditions are favorable for buyers, as reported by Guy Carpenter in its 2018 Asia Pacific Catastrophe Reinsurance Executive Summary. The effect of the 2018 losses on market sentiment going forward is not fully understood.

Read the article >>

5. Global Insurance Prices Rise for Fourth Consecutive Quarter: Trends in property and financial and professional lines of coverage drove average commercial insurance prices higher for the fourth consecutive quarter, according to the most recent Marsh Global Insurance Market Index. Global commercial insurance prices tracked in the index rose, on average, more than one percentage point in the third quarter of 2018.

Read the article >>

6. Ensuring innovation is more than a cliché: The numerous challenges the insurance industry faces mean that innovation is critical to tackling them. Rob Bentley, Chief Executive Officer of Guy Carpenter’s Global Strategic Advisory, describes how Guy Carpenter is helping its clients manage these challenges-especially the conundrum of InsurTech, in an interview that appeared in Intelligent Insurer magazine.

Read the article >>

7. Cyberattacks Emerge as Leading Risk in East Asia and the Pacific: Cyberattacks are the leading risk to doing business across East Asia and the Pacific, according to the recent World Economic Forum (WEF) report Regional Risks for Doing Business 2018.

Read the article >>

8. Europe Experienced Increased Cyberattacks in the First Half of 2018: Estimates suggest that the number of cyberattacks across Europe increased by around a third in the first quarter of 2018, compared to the same period last year, according to the recent World Economic Forum (WEF) report Regional Risks for Doing Business 2018.

Read the article >>

9. 14 Shades of Risks: Navigating the Risk Landscape in Asia-Pacific: The Asia-Pacific region (APAC) has become the world’s primary driver of global economic growth. While often referred to as one economic bloc, the Asia-Pacific region is home to countries and territories that are vastly different from each other in terms of demographics, economic development stages, political institutions and cultures. This regional heterogeneity translates to a diversified set of risk concerns in different countries and territories.

Read the article >>

10. Here’s How to Bring Agility into the Boardroom: Today’s corporate world is being shaped by a near constant onslaught of unpredictable events. In such turbulent times the traditional corporate governance model risks becoming outdated and ineffective.

Read the article >>

Click here to register to receive e-mail updates >>

January 1st, 2019

GC Capital Tip: Talk to the Author

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Do you have a question about one of our articles? If so, contact us. Longer articles on GC Capital Ideas have a “contact” link right at the top. Clicking it will open your e-mail program and provide the appropriate address and subject line, so we can route your inquiry to the best source. If the e-mail software you use is not configured for this, e-mail us at: guy_carpenter@guycarp.com.

Continue reading…

December 31st, 2018

Catastrophe Insurance Gap in China

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

14shades_thumbnailEven though China is the fastest growing insurance market in the world, the country’s catastrophe insurance protection gap remains significant, according to the recent report 14 Shades of Risk In Asia-Pacific: Evolving Risk Concerns by Marsh & McLennan Companies’ Asia-Pacific Risk Center. Continue reading…

December 28th, 2018

Sydney Hailstorms, December 20, 2018

Posted at 8:49 PM ET

australia-hail-small1A severe convective storm affected large parts of New South Wales, including Sydney, the Central Coast and Wollongong from 4:00 to 7:00 pm on December 20, 2018. The storm generated large hail, damaging winds and flash flooding in many areas of the state. According to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM), there were ground reports of hail of 8 cm diameter in Berowra Heights in Sydney’s north and similar size hail in Casula and Liverpool in the city’s southwest.  The Nattai National Park west of Picton also experienced large hail. Initial damage reports indicated that the suburbs of Berowra Heights, Hornsby, Liverpool, Gosford and Lithgow were the most severely affected. Given that the event occurred during the Christmas holidays, many residents and businesses have not fully assessed the extent of damages; therefore, loss estimates are expected to increase in the next few weeks.

Continue reading…