October 16th, 2014

Hurricane Gonzalo

Posted at 4:11 PM ET

gonzalo-i-10-16-smallHurricane Gonzalo is forecast to make a direct hit or close approach to Bermuda sometime on Friday, most likely as a Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Hurricane and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 kilometers) and 150 miles (240 kilometers) from the center of circulation, respectively. After clearing Bermuda, Gonzalo should eventually make landfall in Eastern Atlantic Canada as a strong post-tropical cyclone.

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October 16th, 2014

Cyber: Emerging Technology Risk

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The development of information technology and online connectivity has changed the way businesses operate. “Big data” and intricate information technology systems are vital to today’s economy. As such, we look at risk associated with cyber technology as an example of the realm of emerging “technology risk.”

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October 15th, 2014

The Categories Of Emerging Risk

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

For purposes of this analysis we have developed three categories of emerging risk:

  • Technological
  • Crystalizing
  • Aggravating

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October 14th, 2014

Emerging Risk Challenges And Opportunities

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

A cursory reading of just a few of the publications on the topic of emerging risks quickly resembles a crash-course in risk aversion therapy. We have been subjected to a bewildering and ever lengthening series of lists of emerging risks. Swiss Re recently identified 26 such risks (1), Hannover Re has an ongoing list of 14 while the World Economic Forum in its Global Risks 2014 (2) lists 31 global risks (3).

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October 13th, 2014

Understanding Emerging Risks: Executive Summary

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

(Re)insurers today face a degree of change and uncertainty that appears to be evolving at an ever quickening pace. Guy Carpenter has published a report, Ahead of the Curve: Understanding Emerging Risks, highlighting emerging risks facing the (re)insurance sector, including cyber-attacks, terrorism and new compensation structures for long-term bodily injuries. The report seeks to identify and categorize these risks that are now confronting the sector, as well as analyze their implications on businesses and (re)insurers.

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October 10th, 2014

Week’s Top Stories: October 4 — 10, 2014

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

Guy Carpenter Announces New Cyber Product Launch: Guy Carpenter announced the launch of a new cyber privacy and network protection solution designed to meet the unique cyber challenges faced by small- and medium-sized companies.

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Chart: Catastrophe Bonds Versus Various Other Capital Market Assets Classes: Chart shows the cumulative return profile of 144A catastrophe bonds (as a proxy for all capital markets-based risk transfer capacity) versus various other capital market asset classes through mid-year 2014.

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Chart: Catastrophe Bond Capital Growth Mid-Year 2014: Chart shows the growth in 144A catastrophe bonds through mid-year 2014 with capital outstanding reaching a record high.

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Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line index is presented for 1990 through 2014.  The index fell by 11 percent at January 1, 2014.

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Chart: Private Catastrophe Bonds Mid-Year 2014: Chart shows the evolution of private catastrophe bonds through mid-year 2014 based on deal count and total aggregate limit placed.

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And, You May Have Missed…

GC Videocast - Rendez-Vous Press Briefing 2014 (Nick Frankland) Centralization of the Reinsurance Buying Process in EMEA: Nick Frankland, CEO of EMEA operations, Guy Carpenter, reviewed developments in EMEA, where newer capital is yet to have a significant impact. He described the region as “a mature, stable market saturated with existing capacity and clients tending towards buying less reinsurance.” This approach to purchasing he said reflected the continuing centralization of the buying process. “Groups are taking a longer-term and more strategic rather than short-term tactical approach,” he stated. “This in turn has seen a smaller number of reinsurers selected as long-term strategic partners.” Opportunities for growth in such an environment however still remain, he said. “Future growth for a reinsurance broker demands a thoughtful, strategic, analytical and intellectual value offering above and beyond traditional structuring and placing.”

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Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

October 9th, 2014

Chart: Private Catastrophe Bonds Mid-Year 2014

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Chart shows the evolution of private catastrophe bonds through mid-year 2014 based on deal count and total aggregate limit placed.

Continue reading…

October 8th, 2014

Chart: Catastrophe Bond Capital Growth Mid-Year 2014

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Chart shows the growth in 144A catastrophe bonds through mid-year 2014 with capital outstanding reaching a record high.

Continue reading…

October 7th, 2014

Chart: Catastrophe Bonds Versus Various Other Capital Market Assets Classes

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Chart shows the cumulative return profile of 144A catastrophe bonds (as a proxy for all capital markets-based risk transfer capacity) versus various other capital market asset classes through mid-year 2014.

Continue reading…

October 6th, 2014

Guy Carpenter Announces New Cyber Product Launch

Posted at 4:30 AM ET

Guy Carpenter today announced the launch of a new cyber privacy and network protection solution designed to meet the unique cyber challenges faced by small- and medium-sized companies.

Continue reading…