Posts Tagged ‘A.M. Best’



September 12th, 2016

(Re)Insurers Modifying Their Behavior Ahead Of A.M. Best’s New Ratings And BCAR Criteria - GC@MC Commentary

Posted at 3:00 AM ET

eric-simpson-smallmurray_mark-smEric Simpson, Managing Director and Mark Murray, Senior Vice President

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Industry Accelerates Risk Profile Analytics and Development of Their Own Risk Tolerances and Stochastic Capital Modeling

The launch of A.M. Best’s (Best) new ratings and Stochastic-based Best’s Capital Adequacy Ratio (BCAR) draft criteria became an inflection point for (re)insurers worldwide. The 2016 changes represent Best’s first major overhaul in over 20 years and are leading to a growing number of changes in market behaviors across the company size spectrum. (Re)insurers are assessing their risk and capital management positions in anticipation of the impacts of Best’s new requirements even though the changes will not result in massive differences in its published ratings nor likely become effective until later in 2017, according to Eric Simpson, Managing Director and Mark Murray, Senior Vice President of Guy Carpenter.

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July 7th, 2016

Changes to Best’s Capital Adequacy Ratio (BCAR)

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we review recent GC Capital Ideas posts on developing changes to Best’s Capital Adequacy Ratio (BCAR) and the potential impact of those changes on (re)insurers.

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May 17th, 2016

Stochastic-based BCAR: Do You Understand Your “Capital-print”?

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

murray_mark-smMark Murray, Senior Vice President

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Technology and innovation continue to change the world around us, creating both opportunities and new challenges for the (re)insurance industry. Advances in risk quantification such as predictive analytics and capital modeling, to name a few, are changing the way we underwrite, price and manage risk. Similarly, technology is allowing A.M. Best (Best’s) to advance the analytics of risk supporting its assessment of balance sheet strength. Taking advantage of stochastic modeling technology, the evaluation of risk within Best’s capital model is undergoing a fairly substantial overhaul to broaden the lens used to analyze risk relative to capital. The technology allows efficient production of multiple capital metrics adjusted for a range of risk levels rather than risk represented by just one data point, providing deeper insights into balance sheet strength, risk profile and risk appetite. The benefit of this overhaul will be a rating that provides greater differentiation among companies, a more informed dialogue around capital versus risk and a more concise measure of “excess” or “deficient” capital. This new lens on capital will significantly influence the way (re)insurers view, measure, communicate and possibly even manage risk.

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February 8th, 2016

Rating Agency Developments, Part II; Europe and Asia Pacific

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Europe

In anticipation of the January 2016 rollout, the European insurance industry focused squarely on Solvency II. Rating agencies refrained from instituting any new criteria.

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February 4th, 2016

Rating Agency Developments

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

There is a great deal of overlap between the requirements of government regulators and credit rating agencies. The difference, however, is in the objectives of those requirements, with regulators focused on solvency and ability to trade, or not, and the rating agencies taking it a step further to opine on relative financial strength. Regulatory solvency approval can be viewed as a “qualifier” or minimum standard required to be considered by a customer. A credit rating, on the other hand, can act as a “differentiator” to distribution channels and insurance buyers ultimately leading to greater potential sales opportunities.

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January 6th, 2016

Chart: Estimated Dedicated Reinsurance Sector Capital, 2012 to YE 2015

Posted at 3:27 PM ET

The chart shows that a preliminary estimate of total capital dedicated to reinsurance is approximately USD 400 billion, unchanged from the previous year.

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November 4th, 2015

Cyber Risks: Aggregation, Part I

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Businesses and (re)insurers should be concerned by risk aggregation, given the possibility of single attacks leading to losses across a large number of firms, which can create counter-party risk for the insured and potential failure for the insurer. At the moment, a large systemic event has not materialized, but that does not mean that the risk is not present.

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October 26th, 2015

Stochastic-based BCAR: Do You Understand Your “Capital-print”?

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

murray_mark-smMark Murray, Senior Vice President

Technology and innovation continue to change the world around us, creating both opportunities and new challenges for the (re)insurance industry. Advances in risk quantification such as predictive analytics and capital modeling, to name a few, are changing the way we underwrite, price and manage risk. Similarly, technology is allowing A.M. Best (Best’s) to advance the analytics of risk supporting its assessment of balance sheet strength. Taking advantage of stochastic modeling technology, the evaluation of risk within Best’s capital model is undergoing a fairly substantial overhaul to broaden the lens used to analyze risk relative to capital. The technology allows efficient production of multiple capital metrics adjusted for a range of risk levels rather than risk represented by just one data point, providing deeper insights into balance sheet strength, risk profile and risk appetite. The benefit of this overhaul will be a rating that provides greater differentiation among companies, a more informed dialogue around capital versus risk and a more concise measure of “excess” or “deficient” capital. This new lens on capital will significantly influence the way (re)insurers view, measure, communicate and possibly even manage risk.

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October 7th, 2015

Regulatory Challenges and Opportunities for (Re)insurers, Part II: United States

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) has been continuously engaged in the formulation of the regulatory standards that the International Association of Insurance Supervisors is developing, but has expressed several concerns due to the different legal, regulatory and accounting systems that exist. The NAIC does not want the Insurance Capital Standard (ICS), which is to be a consolidated group-wide standard, to undermine the legal entity capital requirements in the United States. As a result, the NAIC is trying to ensure that any ICS be supplemental to jurisdictional capital requirements and include a common methodology by which it achieves comparable (substantially similar) outcomes across jurisdictions. The NAIC is working through the ComFrame Development and Analysis (G) Working Group (CDAWG), which was formed early last year, to provide on-going input with respect to all developments in this regard.

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September 3rd, 2015

Dedicated Reinsurance Capital Estimate at July 1, 2015

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Guy Carpenter’s estimate of dedicated reinsurance sector capital as of July 1, 2015 was again produced through our work with A.M. Best. Our estimate is not a simple aggregation of the capital of all companies that write reinsurance since some capital is allocated to the insurance business or other outside interests. In fact, we have seen increased evidence that some companies are shifting capital toward insurance lines and away from reinsurance lines based on the current rate environment. A.M. Best and Guy Carpenter have estimated the amount of capital dedicated to writing reinsurance by reviewing A.M. Best’s proprietary capital model (BCAR) results as well as line of business allocations. Our current estimate of total capital dedicated to reinsurance is approximately USD 400 billion of which the convergence capital, including catastrophe bonds, industry loss warranties (ILWs), collateralized reinsurance and sidecars is USD 66 billion.

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