Posts Tagged ‘Asia Pacific’



July 23rd, 2014

The Drivers of Agriculture Insurance in Asia, Part I: Introduction

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

peter_book_-smaller-hsPeter Book, Head of Agriculture, Asia Pacific

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Greater demands are being placed on Asia’s agricultural sector as the region’s rapidly changing economies and their increasingly affluent populations seek to boost living standards. This, in turn, will fuel the development of insurance products necessary to underpin the growth in agriculture.

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July 22nd, 2014

2014 Tropical Cyclone Landfall Predictions

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

A recent study shows it is possible to use a regional climate model to more accurately predict the number of tropical cyclone formations compared to predictions based solely on a global climate model. 

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June 23rd, 2014

Review Of Climate Change

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we review recent GC Capital Ideas stories focused on climate change.

Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre Publishes New Annual Report: The Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre (GCACIC), a joint initiative of the City University of Hong Kong and Guy Carpenter, released its fifth annual report presenting the highlights of the GCACIC’s research activities from the past year. The report details the findings of 16 projects conducted by the GCACIC, which focus on climate problems in the Asia-Pacific region as well as on a global scale.

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Third U.S. Climate Report Is Available: The White House released the Third U.S. National Climate Assessment report on May 6, 2014. The report was constructed with input of many U.S. scientists and coordinated by a cross section of U.S. interests including the energy sector.

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Responding to Climate Change:  It is vital for (re)insurers to consider how climate change could impact future losses. Global warming potentially poses a serious financial threat to the insurance industry with implications for catastrophe risk perception, pricing and modeling assumptions.

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Climate Change: A Look into the Future: Global climate models project a best estimate of a further two to four degree (Celsius) increase in the mean temperature of the Earth by the end of this century. Although this may seem insignificant on an intuitive level, the resulting impacts are of significant concern. Sea-level rise is the most significant threat for coastal areas as a result of melting glaciers. Apart from this threat, changing weather patterns will result in drought and inland flood threats for some areas.

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Global Warming: Adaptation Measures: The IPCC publications represent scientific consensus among many of the world’s top scientists (and scientific consensus is difficult to achieve). Their findings are generally consistent with the broader scientific literature.

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Global Warming: Losses: Economic losses resulting from natural disasters increased from USD75.5 billion in the 1960s to USD659.9 billion in the 1990s (IPCC AR4, 2007 - Working Group II, Section 1.2.8.4). Insured losses have also increased, and “the dominant signal is of significant increase in the values of exposure” (IPCC AR4, 2007 - Working Group II, Section 1.3.8.4). Furthermore, the IPCC states that “failure to adjust for time-variant economic factors yields loss amounts that are not directly comparable and a pronounced upward trend for purely economic reasons.”

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June 5th, 2014

Increasing External Demands Compel Companies to Improve Risk Management Disclosures

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Guy Carpenter released its latest Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) Benchmark Review earlier this year providing an in-depth analysis of risk management practices and policies of 67 insurance and reinsurance companies located in Europe, United States, Bermuda, and Asia-Pacific. Based on publicly-available data from financial and risk reports, Guy Carpenter’s ERM Benchmark Review reveals that most (re)insurers are managing capital with metric-based frameworks and are publishing more about their risk management targets than seen in Guy Carpenter’s 2009 analysis. Capital market, legislative, and regulatory influences, such as the approaching implementation of Solvency II, are expected to further compel company managements to better recognize and analyze the risks of their enterprises.

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June 4th, 2014

What is Food Security?

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we review how the application of risk management practices and risk transfer can assist individual countries and small geographic locations with providing food security for the populace.

What is Food Security? Part I: Fundamentally food has to be safe, nutritious and available in sufficient quantity. On a global scale these are always achievable. It is at a country or smaller geographic territory-level where problems often arise.

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What is Food Security? Part II: A challenge in many regions is the transport from the farm of the right food to the consumer without physical loss or spoilage. Putting transit losses aside, there is a question of getting the “correct” food and influencing the supply chain.

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What is Food Security? Part III: Putting It into Practice and a Look to the Future: In several Asian countries there are already examples of attempts to alleviate the physical, social and economic factors that hamper food security. China in particular is rapidly developing a sophisticated agriculture insurance system with evidence of a number of different risk transfer instruments.

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May 28th, 2014

2014 Reinsurance Renewals

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

As we approach the June 2014 reinsurance renewals, we review the reinsurance renewals Guy Carpenter has reported on so far this year.

April Renewals Bring Price Reductions & Focus on Tailored Coverage: Guy Carpenter reports that the April 1, 2014 renewal was marked by price reductions and more tailored reinsurance coverage. Strong balance sheets, an abundance of capacity and a consolidation of buying led to lower reinsurance pricing across most territories and business segments at the renewal.

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January 1, 2014 Renewals Bring Downward Pressure on Pricing: Guy Carpenter & Company reports that reinsurance rates-on-line fell at the January 1, 2014 renewal in nearly all classes and regions. According to Guy Carpenter’s 2014 global renewal report, strong balance sheets, relatively low loss experiences and an unprecedented influx of convergence capital spurred competition and innovation at renewal. These factors led in turn to surplus capacity across most business segments as competition spilled beyond property catastrophe lines.

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May 22nd, 2014

Insurance Gaps in Emerging Economies

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

From our Chart Room, we review the increasing gap between GDP growth and reinsurance in the Asia Pacific region and the small proportion of losses that were insured in both the advanced and emerging economies. 

 

Chart: Increasing Gap Between GDP Growth and Reinsurance Limit in Asia Pacific: The chart shows that growth in reinsurance catastrophe limit in the Asia Pacific region has clearly not kept pace with economic growth since 2006. Stronger rates of economic growth in such emerging markets mean the gap between economic and insured losses has the potential to increase further.

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Chart: Economic and Insured Losses in Advanced and Emerging Economies: The chart shows how small a proportion of losses were insured in both advanced and emerging markets between 2002 and 2011.

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May 20th, 2014

Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre Publishes New Annual Report

Posted at 2:00 PM ET

The Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre (GCACIC), a joint initiative of the City University of Hong Kong and Guy Carpenter, today released its fifth annual report presenting the highlights of the GCACIC’s research activities from the past year. The report details the findings of 16 projects conducted by the GCACIC, which focus on climate problems in the Asia-Pacific region as well as on a global scale.

Continue reading…

May 19th, 2014

Review of the Asia Pacific Market

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we review recent GC Capital Ideas stories related to the Asia Pacific region. 

Asia/Australasia Catastrophe Review, 2013: Asia and Australasia also received their share of both natural and man-made catastrophes in 2013. One of the most costly man-made events occurred in China after a major fire hit a large microchip factory in September. The blaze caused significant damage to the SK Hynix-owned facility in the city of Wuxi, with reports saying the cost to the (re)insurance sector is expected to range between USD900 million and USD1 billion. The incident represents the most expensive single-risk loss on record to occur in China.

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Guy Carpenter Extends Coverage of Industrial Park Database to Include Vietnam, Malaysia and South Korea: In 2011, Thailand experienced its worst flooding in years with insured losses estimated at around USD15 billion, of which the Thai General Insurance Association attributed more than 90 percent arising from commercial risks located within industrial parks. As industrial parks are common in several countries in the region, Guy Carpenter developed a database of digitized boundaries of these parks to support its clients’ ability to analyze the potential for catastrophic losses arising from exposures located within park boundaries.

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Demand for Asia Pacific Catastrophe Reinsurance at a Record High in 2013: Total Asia Pacific catastrophe limit purchased in 2013 increased for the tenth year in a row, but once again failed to keep pace with strong gross domestic product growth in the region, according to a report released by Guy Carpenter.

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May 15th, 2014

Guy Carpenter’s Rate on Line Index

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we review recent GC Capital Ideas Chart Room entries highlighting Guy Carpenter’s Rate on Line Index.

Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line index is presented for 1990 through 2014.  The index fell by 11 percent at January 1, 2014.

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Chart: Regional Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The chart shows the indexes for United States, United Kingdom, Asia Pacific and Europe.

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Chart: European Property Catastrophe - Typical ROL Changes: The chart compares changes at January 2014 with January 2013.

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Chart: Casualty - Typical Excess of Loss Rate Changes: The chart presents rate changes for the January 2014 and the January 2013 renewals.

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