Nepal experienced a magnitude 7.8 earthquake on April 25, followed by two major aftershocks on April 25 and 26 of magnitude 6.6 and 6.7, respectively, according to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). Media reports indicate at least 5,582 fatalities, 11,200 injuries, and at least eight million people affected. Infrastructure and transportation routes have been severely disrupted and food and water shortages are of great concern. The USGS PAGER service estimates most probable economic losses between USD1 and USD10 billion. It is clear from media reports that impacts have been widespread and of excessive severity and our first thoughts and concerns are with the millions affected by this tragic event.
Posts Tagged ‘Asia’
With the recent release of Guy Carpenter’s G-CAT® Canada flood model, we review earlier GC Capital Ideas stories on the flood peril:
Malaysia Floods: December 2014-January 2015: In response to demand for detailed maps showing the extent of flooding in December 2014 through January 2015, Guy Carpenter activated its CAT-VIEW℠ event response service to produce flood footprints based on unmanned airborne vehicles (UAV) imagery.
Guy Carpenter Publishes Flood Risks in Asia - A Detailed Study: Guy Carpenter released a new report titled Flood Risk in Asia - A Detailed Study. The report provides an in-depth study of the flood potential in Asia along with the prevention and protection systems in place.
Guy Carpenter Launches Satellite-based Catastrophe Evaluation Service: Guy Carpenter launched its new satellite-based catastrophe evaluation service, GC CAT-VIEW℠, with the announcement that it has started using the service to provide clients affected by the recent UK floods with initial insured loss estimates.
Asia and Australasia endured their share of both natural and man-made catastrophes in 2014 with 23 percent of estimated global insured losses in 2014. Notable events in the region included the disappearance of Malaysian Airlines Flight 370 in the first quarter and the crash of AirAsia Flight 8501 near Indonesia in December.
2014 was a quiet year, with significant insured losses totaling around USD33 billion. Insured losses were below the ten-year and five-year moving averages of around USD59 billion and USD56 billion, respectively (see graphs below).
Guy Carpenter today released a new scenario risk report titled Tsunami Risk from Magnitude 9.4 Earthquake in Manila Trench. The report provides an in-depth study of the tsunami risk from a moment magnitude 9.4 earthquake along the Manila Trench, including the Hong Kong area, Taiwan, Kota Kinabalu, Macau, Manila and Vietnam. Among the regions studied in the report, the worst case scenario predicts the highest risks in southwest Taiwan, specifically up to 4 meters at the Port of Kaohsiung, Taiwan’s principal port and the sixth largest container port in the world.
Guy Carpenter today released its annual Global Catastrophe Review, which reports that insured losses in 2014 were at the lowest level seen since 2009. According to the report, significant insured losses in 2014 totaled approximately USD33 billion, a dramatic drop when compared to the historic insured losses seen in 2011, which totaled approximately USD126 billion.
Guy Carpenter today published a new report highlighting the continued increase in 2014 of total Asia Pacific catastrophe limit purchased. However, a confluence of factors, including the weakening of some key zone currencies has meant that reinsurance premium spend in the region has declined significantly.
GC Videocast - Rendez-Vous Press Briefing 2014 (James Nash) Asia Pacific Sees Increased Understanding and Quantification of Catastrophe Risk
James Nash, CEO of Asia-Pacific Operations, Guy Carpenter, considered the potential that existed in Asia-Pacific. “It is a blend of mature and emerging markets,” he said, “full of opportunities and challenges, and it requires all market participants to have a broad and diverse set of skills and offerings.” He continued: “As regulation develops across the region, and insurers are open to a wider array of modelling options by vendor and peril, we are seeing an increase in the understanding and quantification of the catastrophe risk in the region. This in turn leads to more transparent risk and capital management decision-making,” but, “at this stage the majority of alternative capital activity remains in the mature markets of Japan and Australia.”