Posts Tagged ‘Catastrophe’



September 13th, 2018

Managing Catastrophe Model Change

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

powers_imelda_71x88Imelda Powers, Senior Cat Management Advisor, Asia Pacific, Global Strategic Advisory

Contact

Incorporating new hazard and claims insights can improve the estimates derived from catastrophe models. By re-analyzing historical events using the latest scientific methods or refining claims with more granular geographical and line of business breakdowns, we can update models with the latest expertise and data. But model changes that yield large swings in loss estimates for frequent events must be carefully scrutinized to understand assumptions and processes in order to truly support ownership of risk. Continue reading…

September 7th, 2018

A Strategic Approach to Profitable Growth - GC@MC Commentary

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

priebe_david_croppedDavid Priebe, Vice Chairman

Contact

  • Availability of rich data sets and analytic solutions enables evaluation of opportunities
  • Companies seeking growth must evaluate their existing distribution channels
  • Drones and self-driving cars present challenges for (re)insurers Continue reading…
June 26th, 2018

North Atlantic Hurricane Season for 2018 – Near Normal But With Uncertainty

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

james-wallerJames Waller, PhD, Research Meteorologist

Contact

With the 2018 North Atlantic hurricane season having commenced on June 1, seasonal outlook providers on both sides of the Atlantic continue to issue predictions. As with any hurricane season, each outlook provider emphasizes the need for proper preparation, since impactful hurricanes have been known to make landfall even during quiet years.

Continue reading…

June 25th, 2018

Volcanic Eruptions: A Complex and Largely Overlooked Risk

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Delioma Oramas-Dorta, Catastrophe Risk Analyst

Contact

Volcanic eruptions are complex phenomena that may affect populations and economies in ways we may not be familiar with. Large volcanic eruptions can spew ash spreading hundreds or even thousands of kilometers; and deposited ash may damage buildings at different levels, from catastrophic structural damage in extreme cases of significant ash fall accumulation, to abrasion or corrosion of nonstructural elements such as roofs, gutters and cladding.

Continue reading…

May 16th, 2018

Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2018.

Continue reading…

May 2nd, 2018

2018 North Atlantic Hurricane Season; Part I

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

james-wallerJames Waller, PhD, Research Meteorologist

Contact

Seasonal outlook providers continue to issue early predictions for the 2018 North Atlantic hurricane season. The Weather Company (IBM) is expecting a season of near-normal activity. Earlier this month, the Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University (CSU), predicted a season more in line with the 1995-2017 elevated average. Meanwhile, North Carolina State University (NCSU) issued a prediction for above-normal activity, relative to the 1995-2017 average.

Continue reading…

April 30th, 2018

Guy Carpenter Licenses First-of-its-Kind Cyber Risk Modeling Platform from CyberCube Following Strategic Alliance

Posted at 9:00 AM ET

Guy Carpenter & Company today announced that its two year strategic relationship with CyberCube Analytics, formerly part of Symantec Corporation, has produced the industry’s first cyber risk modeling platform with an inside-out view of cyber risk exposure.

Continue reading…

April 26th, 2018

Building for Resilience: How to Avoid a Catastrophe Model Failure: Part IV

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Imelda Powers, Global Chief Catastrophe Modeler

Contact

Valuation Assumptions

There is no database of agreed property, contents or business interruption valuations among vendors or insurers.  Any user’s particular valuation may come from databases of property prices, or rebuild values from claims adjusters and building surveyors. If the model’s assumed valuations are under- or over-estimated, then the damage function may over- or under-compensate in order to balance to historical industry event losses during the model-building process. Consequently, it is important that the user adjust the damage module to reconcile these differences.

Continue reading…

April 25th, 2018

Building for Resilience: How to Avoid a Catastrophe Model Failure: Part III

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Imelda Powers, Global Chief Catastrophe Modeler

Contact

If resources permit, an insurer may carry out additional, micro level model suitability analyses - including a review of model hazards and vulnerabilities using the latest scientific literature and engineering studies. Guy Carpenter’s Model Suitability Analysis (MSA)® framework is designed to guide users through such an analysis.

Continue reading…