Posts Tagged ‘Catastrophe’



October 17th, 2014

Hurricane Gonzalo — Update

Posted at 3:48 PM ET

gonzalo-10-17-i-200Hurricane Gonzalo is now a dangerous Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale and is expected to make a close approach to Bermuda, with closest approach this evening. Model guidance is in close agreement on this scenario. Gonzalo will be the strongest hurricane to affect Bermuda since Hurricane Fabian (2003), also a Category 3. Tropical storm winds are already affecting the island of Bermuda, and the onset of hurricane conditions is expected this afternoon. A significant surge event can be expected with battering 30 foot waves.

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October 16th, 2014

Hurricane Gonzalo

Posted at 4:11 PM ET

gonzalo-i-10-16-smallHurricane Gonzalo is forecast to make a direct hit or close approach to Bermuda sometime on Friday, most likely as a Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Hurricane and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 kilometers) and 150 miles (240 kilometers) from the center of circulation, respectively. After clearing Bermuda, Gonzalo should eventually make landfall in Eastern Atlantic Canada as a strong post-tropical cyclone.

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September 23rd, 2014

Commercial Terrorism Models

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The catastrophe modeling companies have regularly updated their terrorism models over the years to reflect the changing threat landscape and help (re)insurers and other market participants perform robust terrorism risk assessments. Such updated products from RMS and AIR include:

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September 18th, 2014

Terrorism Reinsurance Strategies

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Even if the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act (TRIPRA) is renewed without wholesale changes, the recent organic growth in US nationwide workers compensation premiums as a result of rate rises and payroll growth is likely to cause insurance companies’ deductibles to increase. This in turn is likely to increase demand for terrorism reinsurance.

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September 16th, 2014

Hurricane Odile

Posted at 3:38 PM ET

odile-9-16-sm-200Hurricane Odile made a direct hit to the Southern end of the Baja Peninsula, Mexico, Sunday night, with impacts of great severity. Maximum sustained winds at landfall were 125 mph, a Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). Odile is now a tropical storm and poses an ongoing threat of wind, surge and especially heavy rain. The wind impacts of Odile include severe to complete damage to hundreds of homes, with severe damage to hotels and the Los Cabos airport. Downed trees and power lines are widespread, and power outages have affected at least 200,000. According to the NHC, Odile is tied with Olivia, which struck in 1967, as the strongest hurricane to make landfall in the state of Baja California Sur.

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September 14th, 2014

Cyber, Terrorism and New Compensation Structures Highlighted as Critical Emerging Risks

Posted at 10:30 PM ET

2014-sep-emerging-risk-cover-image-crGuy Carpenter today published a new report highlighting emerging risks facing the (re)insurance sector, including cyber-attacks, terrorism and new compensation structures for long-term bodily injuries. The report seeks to identify and categorize these risks that are now confronting the sector, as well as analyze their implications on businesses and (re)insurers.

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September 13th, 2014

GC Videocast - Rendez-Vous Press Briefing 2014, Concluding Remarks (Alex Moczarski)

Posted at 2:19 PM ET

2014-sep-mc-moczarski-photo1Alex Moczarski, President and CEO, Guy Carpenter and Chairman, Marsh & McLennan Companies International, provides concluding remarks at the Guy Carpenter press briefing at the Monte Carlo Rendez-Vous in this GC Capital Ideas videocast.  He said  “The focus for many in the industry continues to be on the deflationary effect of excess capital. This can lead to negative introspection or just waiting for the ‘big one’ to strike. Such passivity won’t do. We must take the initiative. For a broker, this means constant innovation, anticipation of clients’ needs and delivering the best solutions.

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September 13th, 2014

GC Videocast - Rendez-Vous Press Briefing 2014 (James Nash) Asia Pacific Sees Increased Understanding and Quantification of Catastrophe Risk

Posted at 2:17 PM ET

2014-mc-nash-photoJames Nash, CEO of Asia-Pacific Operations, Guy Carpenter, considered the potential that existed in Asia-Pacific. “It is a blend of mature and emerging markets,” he said, “full of opportunities and challenges, and it requires all market participants to have a broad and diverse set of skills and offerings.” He continued: “As regulation develops across the region, and insurers are open to a wider array of modelling options by vendor and peril, we are seeing an increase in the understanding and quantification of the catastrophe risk in the region. This in turn leads to more transparent risk and capital management decision-making,” but, “at this stage the majority of alternative capital activity remains in the mature markets of Japan and Australia.”

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September 13th, 2014

GC Videocast - Rendez-Vous Press Briefing 2014 (David Priebe) Capacity From New Sources

Posted at 2:11 PM ET

2014-mc-priebe-photoFocusing on the continuing supply of capacity from new sources, David Priebe, Vice Chairman, Guy Carpenter and Head of GC Securities, said: “Guy Carpenter estimates that the global property catastrophe limit exceeds US$300bn, with non-traditional reinsurance in the form of catastrophe bonds, collateralized reinsurance and industry loss warranties increasing from 14 percent last year to an estimated 16 percent this year. This is double the 8 percent of 2008.” Investor interest in such structures, he added, remained high during the period. “Strong investor demand meant placements were routinely over-subscribed, often by multiples of the targeted size.”

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September 13th, 2014

GC Videocast - Rendez-Vous Press Briefing 2014, Introduction (Alex Moczarski)

Posted at 2:09 PM ET

2014-sep-mc-moczarski-photoAlex Moczarski, President and Chief Executive Officer, Guy Carpenter & Company, and Chairman, Marsh & McLennan Companies International, introduces the Guy Carpenter press briefing at the Monte Carlo Rendez-Vous in this GC Capital Ideas videocast.

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