Posts Tagged ‘Catastrophes’



May 17th, 2018

Building for Resilience: How to Avoid a Catastrophe Model Failure

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we bring together our recent multi-part series on model resilience by Guy Carpenter’s Global Chief Catastrophe Modeler, Imelda Powers.

Since commercial catastrophe (CAT) models were first introduced in the 1980s, they have evolved as new scientific discoveries and claims insights emerged. Despite the sophisticated nature of each new generation of CAT models, occasionally a model misses a significant loss driver for a particular peril. This occurs when a previously hidden attribute reveals itself through unprecedented intensity. Lessons from such surprises stimulate model improvements as our understanding of the physics of the peril and its damage potential, increase. Through this process, models mature over time.

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May 9th, 2018

Hawaii Volcanic Activity

Posted at 2:00 AM ET

hawaii1Event Summary

On Thursday, May 3, the Island of Hawaii experienced an eruption in the Kilauea volcano summit. Two large earthquakes occurred the following day among hundreds of smaller quakes and some large aftershocks. There have been a total of 10 fissures confirmed so far by the County of Hawaii, with an estimated 387,000 square feet of lava spread. At least 35 structures have been destroyed according to the Government of Hawaii, and evacuations have affected at least 1,700 people. The most severely affected area is the Leilani Estates Subdivision, which is located directly in the Lower East Rift Zone. It is too early to estimate the scope and severity of impacts, and our first thoughts and concerns are with those directly affected by this active event.

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May 3rd, 2018

2018 North Atlantic Hurricane Season; Part II

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

james-wallerJames Waller, PhD, Research Meteorologist

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Atlantic Sea-Surface Temperatures (SSTs)

Observed SSTs have been cooler than average for areas of the far northern and eastern Atlantic, as well as areas of the Gulf of Mexico. Meanwhile, some areas of the western Atlantic have been trending warmer than average. The pattern could well change over the coming months, but with all else being equal this indicates the potential for near-normal activity in the basin, and some potential for development of tropical storms or hurricanes adjacent to the mainland. Seasonal outlook providers have variable views on the influence for 2018 hurricane activity.

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March 27th, 2018

Reinsurance Market Assessment: What the Numbers Reveal about the Current Industry Status. Chapter 1

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

After several years of light catastrophe activity, particularly in the United States where capital deployment covering catastrophe exposures was heavily impacted by convergence capital, the events of 2017 provided a framework to evaluate how evolving market dynamics over the last few years held up to the real test of losses.

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March 8th, 2018

Chart: Catastrophe Bond Issuance and Capital Outstanding

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Chart shows 144A P&C catastrophe issuance and capital outstanding for the years 1998 through year-end 2017 based on data from GC Securities’* proprietary database.

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February 6th, 2018

Chart: Top Ten Significant Insured Loss Events: 2017

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The table lists the latest estimates for the top ten significant insured loss events for 2017.

top-ten-significant-insured-loss_20171

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January 18th, 2018

Guy Carpenter Reports Capital Growth and Market Resilience Despite 2017 Losses

Posted at 2:00 AM ET

lighthouse-thumb-22Guy Carpenter has released an estimate of year-end reinsurance capital levels and results of the January 2018 reinsurance renewal.

According to the analysis, capital dedicated to reinsurance continued to grow in 2017 despite catastrophe losses. Due to ongoing excess supply and overall market resilience at January 1, rate firming was generally moderate and pricing shifts focused on client-specific justification.

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January 17th, 2018

GC Capital Ideas: CAT-I Stories: Fourth Quarter, 2017

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here is a look back at the CAT-i stories covering October through December of 2017.

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January 9th, 2018

2017 North Atlantic Hurricane Season

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

james-wallerJames Waller, PhD, Research Meteorologist

Contact

The 2017 North Atlantic Hurricane season was one of the most active seasons on record, a historic season in many respects, and certainly an impactful one. Those most severely affected residents are facing a long and difficult recovery that could last for years. They continue to have our thoughts and concerns.

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