Posts Tagged ‘Fires’



June 6th, 2019

Modeling Insights

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we review recent GC Capital Ideas posts covering insights on modeling.

A Risk Overview of Wildfire: Today, the frequency and severity of wildfires are garnering greater attention - not only from the media, but also from (re)insurers, catastrophe modelers, mitigation experts and other invested parties.

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Understanding Flood Risk in Malaysia Through Catastrophe Modeling: According to Malaysia’s Department of Irrigation and Drainage, the many rivers running through the country put about 9 percent of the total land area under flood risk, potentially affecting 2.7 million people. Rapid urbanization is only going to worsen the problem through rising population concentrations and at-risk infrastructure, land consumption and the channeling of water courses.

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Methodological Considerations in the Statistical Modeling of Catastrophe Bond Prices: John Major has authored an article that aims to help actuaries, financial analysts, statisticians, data scientists and their clients better investigate how property catastrophe risk, and particularly catastrophe bonds, are  priced.

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Are You at Risk? Managing Affirmative and Silent Cyber Risk Accumulation: The script of the global cyber insurance market is still mainly being written in the United States. Approximately 85 percent of global cyber insurance premiums of between USD 2.5 and 3.5 billion are generated in the United States. The take-up rate for this line of business in Asia is still relatively low, but the Japan market has been experiencing steady growth in the last 24 months.

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Click here for more insights from Guy Carpenter >>

May 13th, 2019

A Risk Overview of Wildfire

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Today, the frequency and severity of wildfires are garnering greater attention-not only from the media, but also from (re)insurers, catastrophe modelers, mitigation experts and other invested parties.

Continue reading…

March 25th, 2019

A Risk Overview of Wildfire

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Today, the frequency and severity of wildfires are garnering greater attention-not only from the media, but also from (re)insurers, catastrophe modelers, mitigation experts and other invested parties.

Continue reading…

March 18th, 2019

Climate Change Has Claimed Its Biggest Corporate Victim; Now Banks Are on Alert

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Rob Bailey, Director of Climate Resilience at Marsh & McLennan Insights

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When PG&E filed for Chapter 11 protection in January, The Wall Street Journal dubbed it the “first climate change bankruptcy.” The California power utility was facing USD 30 billion in potential liabilities following a series of devastating wildfires linked to its equipment — wildfires made more likely by a prolonged period of hot, dry weather that had reduced the surrounding forests to tinder and which scientists have since attributed to climate change.

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November 29th, 2018

Wildfire Activity - California - Update

Posted at 7:25 PM ET

calwildfires_small1Recent wildfire activity has rendered especially severe impacts to areas of California, including areas of Butte, Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. Rates of extreme fire spread were enabled by especially dry, windy conditions on November 8 and the days following. Aggressive firefighting efforts allowed containment efforts to progress despite adverse conditions over the following week. Periods of heavy rainfall have recently allowed firefighting crews to bring the last of the fires to 100 percent containment over the last week. The Camp, Woolsey and Hill Fires have burned an estimated 20,297 structures since November 8, including at least 13,972 residential structures from the Camp Fire alone, according to Cal Fire statistics. These fires have also claimed at least 91 lives. Recent heavy rainfall has amplified the threat for flash-flooding and debris flows in and around the burn scars. Media reports indicate estimated insured losses for the Camp and Woolsey Fires of around USD 9-13 billion as reported by RMS. It will take some time to determine the full scope and severity of this event as search, recovery and survey efforts continue. Our first thoughts and concerns remain with those lost and directly affected by this event.

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November 14th, 2018

Wildfire Activity – California

Posted at 9:37 PM ET

calwildfires-smallSignificant wildfires have affected areas of northern and southern California due to extremely dry, windy conditions and very dry fuels. In Northern California, the Camp Fire has burned at least 130,000 acres since November 8 and claimed at least 48 lives, making this the deadliest wildfire in known California history. Damage survey efforts are still ongoing, however initial reports indicate at least 7,600 residences destroyed with another 225 damaged. Meanwhile in Southern California, the Woolsey Fire has consumed at least 97,620 acres along with 483 structures, and at least two lives. Ongoing dry, windy conditions have offset containment efforts. However, aggressive firefighting efforts of over 5,100 firefighters have brought the Camp Fire and Woolsey Fire to 35 and 47 percent containment, respectively. The cause of these fires remains under investigation, according to Cal Fire. A federal disaster area has been declared to better allow emergency assistance. Improving weather conditions should enable greater progress with containment efforts over the coming days.

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September 10th, 2018

Closing the Gap: Public Sector Risk Financing Solutions Increase Community Resiliency - GC@MC Commentary

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

clark_jonathan-headshotJonathan Clark, Head of Public Sector Specialty, U.S.

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  • Only 33 percent of economic disasters are alleviated through (re)insurance
  • Recent functional risk transfer mechanisms use advances in data, analytics and modeling
  • Guy Carpenter and GC Securities* are working with over 100 public entities around the globe Continue reading…
July 31st, 2018

Carr Fire – Redding, California

Posted at 6:09 PM ET

carr-smallIn Northern California, the Carr Fire has burned at least 110,154 acres since July 23 and claimed at least six lives according to media reports and Cal Fire. Damage survey efforts are still ongoing, however initial indications are that at least 1,236 structures have been destroyed with another 225 damaged. At least 27,000 people have been displaced by this event. Ongoing hot conditions are expected for the area which will continue to enable active fire spread. Nevertheless, containment efforts have made headway and the fire is under 27 percent containment according to Cal Fire. The fire continues to pose an active threat to numerous structures along with power and communications infrastructure, and evacuations remain in place. Our thoughts and concerns remain with those lost and personally affected by this event.

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January 17th, 2018

GC Capital Ideas: CAT-I Stories: Fourth Quarter, 2017

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here is a look back at the CAT-i stories covering October through December of 2017.

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