Assessing the impact of the continuing influx of capital into the reinsurance sector, David Priebe, Vice Chairman, Guy Carpenter, commented on ILS pricing levels. He said: “We believe current price levels for ILS could be a ‘golden compromise’ in which protection buyers perceive good value for fixed-price multi-year cover and investors continue to broaden and diversify their portfolio of holdings. With costs of issue falling and time-to-market shortening, this equilibrium could provide a substantial boost to the market that the record issuance of early 2015 portends.”
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Focusing on the Asian market, James Nash, CEO of Asia-Pacific Operations, Guy Carpenter, highlighted the increasing flow of capital from the region into Europe, Lloyd’s and the US. He said: “Asia is perceived as a growth opportunity and is attracting capital from mature markets, but it is actually Asian capital seeking opportunities overseas which is the headline story this year. In 2015, Asia-Pacific has been a net exporter of insurance and reinsurance capital through M&A, with Japan and China leading the charge into Europe, Lloyd’s and the US. In the year to September 2015, outbound deals totaled USD20 billion compared with inbound deals of only USD849 million.” Looking ahead, he added: “We expect the M&A trend to continue as insurers, reinsurers and funds in the region pursue growth and diversification by going West, but we also anticipate a larger number of intra-region deals and also capital from the West coming East.”
Specialty Insurance Programs Poised for Growth and Opportunity in 2015, According to Guy Carpenter Survey
Guy Carpenter today released the findings of its ninth Specialty Insurance Program Issuing Carrier Survey. The survey, which analyzes trends and benchmarks across the Program Administrator and Managing General Agency (PA/MGA) market, asserts that the PA/MGA market continues to thrive, with a positive outlook and growth opportunities expected for the year ahead.
GC Securities* Completes Catastrophe Bond Pelican III Re Ltd. Series 2015-1 Notes for Louisiana Citizens Property Insurance Corporation
GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a U.S. registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC, announced the placement of the Series 2015-1 Notes, with notional principal at $100,000,000, through a newly formed Bermuda domiciled catastrophe bond shelf program, Pelican III Re Ltd., to benefit Louisiana Citizens Property Insurance Corporation (”LA Citizens”). This is the third time that LA Citizens has utilized the cat bond market to manage its tropical cyclone risks.
GC Videocast - Rendez-Vous Press Briefing 2014 (Nick Frankland) Centralization of the Reinsurance Buying Process in EMEA
Nick Frankland, CEO of EMEA operations, Guy Carpenter, reviewed developments in EMEA, where newer capital is yet to have a significant impact. He described the region as “a mature, stable market saturated with existing capacity and clients tending towards buying less reinsurance.” This approach to purchasing he said reflected the continuing centralization of the buying process. “Groups are taking a longer-term and more strategic rather than short-term tactical approach,” he stated. “This in turn has seen a smaller number of reinsurers selected as long-term strategic partners.” Opportunities for growth in such an environment however still remain, he said. “Future growth for a reinsurance broker demands a thoughtful, strategic, analytical and intellectual value offering above and beyond traditional structuring and placing.”
Focusing on the continuing supply of capacity from new sources, David Priebe, Vice Chairman, Guy Carpenter and Head of GC Securities, said: “Guy Carpenter estimates that the global property catastrophe limit exceeds US$300bn, with non-traditional reinsurance in the form of catastrophe bonds, collateralized reinsurance and industry loss warranties increasing from 14 percent last year to an estimated 16 percent this year. This is double the 8 percent of 2008.” Investor interest in such structures, he added, remained high during the period. “Strong investor demand meant placements were routinely over-subscribed, often by multiples of the targeted size.”
Alex Moczarski, President and Chief Executive Officer, Guy Carpenter & Company, and Chairman, Marsh & McLennan Companies International, introduces the Guy Carpenter press briefing at the Monte Carlo Rendez-Vous in this GC Capital Ideas videocast.
In our first MENA Insights interview, Dr Cherif Chentir, Chief Underwriting Officer, Middle East, South Eastern Europe, Greece, Cyprus, Malta, SCOR SE, talks about the mega-projects taking place in the region and his belief that insurance penetration can only move in one direction. He looks back over his long career and charts the development of a market that has changed beyond all recognition.
Here we bring together recent GC Capital Ideas stories focused on the growth opportunities afforded by emerging markets.
Guy Carpenter has published a new briefing: 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Activity to Reach or Exceed 1995-2012 Average. The 2013 Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be a busy one, carrying at least average activity with respect to the 1995-2012 “active” period. Seasonal outlook providers consistently emphasize two factors: the absence of El Niño, which implicates average activity, and higher tropical Atlantic sea-surface temperatures (SSTs), which implicate higher activity.