Posts Tagged ‘loss reserves’



October 29th, 2014

Managing Reserve Risk

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

michelle-harnick-smallMichelle Harnick, Managing Director

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Given that the leading cause of financial impairment of insurance companies is inadequate reserves and our view that a reserve “cycle” not only exists but may soon enter a period of adverse development, Guy Carpenter has spent considerable resources researching and building models to better understand and manage reserve risk.

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October 27th, 2014

The Insurance Risk Benchmarks Research: Insights for the Industry and the E&S Market

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

woolstenhulme_micah_photo-smallMicah Woolstenhulme, Manager, ERM Services, Strategic Advisory

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The Insurance Risk Benchmarks Research is an ongoing project sponsored by Guy Carpenter & Company and Oliver Wyman to assist property/casualty (P&C) companies with profiling enterprise risk. Articulating an individual company’s risk profile requires assessment of both absolute and relative financial uncertainties. The absolute uncertainties can ultimately be codified in an economic capital model, but robust review of relative historical performance invariably improves the codification of certain systemic risks.

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October 26th, 2014

Guy Carpenter and Oliver Wyman Publish Annual Insurance Risk Benchmarks Research

Posted at 7:30 AM ET

Guy Carpenter and Oliver Wyman, both wholly owned subsidiaries of Marsh & McLennan Companies, released the 2014 Insurance Risk Benchmarks Research: Annual Statistical Review, the first in a two-part series detailing research executed in collaboration with Columbia University. This, the fourth annual report, provides detailed analysis and insight on the property/casualty industry to help insurers strategically evaluate and benchmark inputs to economic capital models.

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October 26th, 2014

A.M. Best’s New Analytics Will Broaden and Improve P&C Industry Capital Modeling and Benchmarking of Tolerances

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

snyder_jack_100eric-simpson-smallmark-murry-small-1201Jack Snyder, Managing Director, Business Development and Head of the Rating Agency Practice, Strategic Advisory; Eric Simpson, Managing Director in the Rating Agency Practice and Mark Murray, Senior Vice President in the Rating Agency Practice

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A.M. Best’s rating analytics continue to evolve and the pace of change is accelerating as the industry embraces more analytical tools, emerging best practices, and peer benchmarking.

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October 13th, 2014

Understanding Emerging Risks: Executive Summary

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

(Re)insurers today face a degree of change and uncertainty that appears to be evolving at an ever quickening pace. Guy Carpenter has published a report, Ahead of the Curve: Understanding Emerging Risks, highlighting emerging risks facing the (re)insurance sector, including cyber-attacks, terrorism and new compensation structures for long-term bodily injuries. The report seeks to identify and categorize these risks that are now confronting the sector, as well as analyze their implications on businesses and (re)insurers.

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August 14th, 2014

Guy Carpenter Launches MetaRisk® 7.3

Posted at 6:30 AM ET

Guy Carpenter today announced the release of MetaRisk® 7.3, the latest version of the firm’s premier risk and capital management decision-making tool.

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June 19th, 2014

Chart: Reserve Cycle Measured by Accident Year

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

In this chart Guy Carpenter is looking at the reserve cycle in a different way: by studying the booked ultimate loss by accident year. We choose accident year because actuaries typically analyze losses according to their year of accident. The estimate of the ultimate loss for a particular accident year ideally should not change over time if the initial estimate was correct. However, using U.S. industry data, we find that as a particular accident year is re-estimated periodically, a cycle appears. Continue reading…

May 22nd, 2014

Insurance Gaps in Emerging Economies

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

From our Chart Room, we review the increasing gap between GDP growth and reinsurance in the Asia Pacific region and the small proportion of losses that were insured in both the advanced and emerging economies. 

 

Chart: Increasing Gap Between GDP Growth and Reinsurance Limit in Asia Pacific: The chart shows that growth in reinsurance catastrophe limit in the Asia Pacific region has clearly not kept pace with economic growth since 2006. Stronger rates of economic growth in such emerging markets mean the gap between economic and insured losses has the potential to increase further.

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Chart: Economic and Insured Losses in Advanced and Emerging Economies: The chart shows how small a proportion of losses were insured in both advanced and emerging markets between 2002 and 2011.

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May 9th, 2014

Industry Reserve Update: Conclusions

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

leong-jessica-bio-sep-2013Jessica Leong, Lead Casualty Specialty Actuary

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What does the analysis mean for financial year 2014? Given the trends in the cycle, it is useful to break this question down into two sections:

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May 8th, 2014

Liability Line That Appears To Be Deteriorating

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

leong-jessica-bio-sep-2013Jessica Leong, Lead Casualty Specialty Actuary

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Liability line that appears to be deteriorating: Commercial auto liability.

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