Posts Tagged ‘macroeconomic’



March 9th, 2017

Disruptive Forces Redefining the Role of Insurance: Part II

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Victoria Carter, Vice Chairman, Global Strategic Advisory

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The world’s ageing population is causing the fourth disruptive phenomenon. For example, as Europeans’ lifespans increase and they have fewer children, the share of people aged 65 and older is projected to double from 16 percent in 2005 to 30 percent in 2050. Simultaneously, the most economically active age group (25- to 64-year olds) in Europe is projected to decline to less than half the population by 2050. These trends may pressure society’s ability to fund the increasing costs of retirement and healthcare for the elderly.

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March 8th, 2017

Disruptive Forces Redefining the Role of Insurance: Part I

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Victoria Carter, Vice Chairman, Global Strategic Advisory

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Fundamental disruptive forces are driving monumental changes in the global economy at an unprecedented rate. These forces compel the (re)insurance industry to adjust to the new reality and capitalize on the opportunities created.

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February 28th, 2017

Coming Together for Healthcare Reform

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Approximately 177 million Americans receive healthcare coverage from their employers, and in 2015, U.S. employers collectively spent USD 668 billion on health benefits, outpacing federal spending on Medicare.

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February 6th, 2017

Evolving Risks Landscape: 2008—2017

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Social and environmental risks have supplanted economic ones as issues of greatest concern among respondents to the Global Risks Perception Survey. The survey was completed by almost 750 members of the World Economic Forum’s global multistakeholder community and the results analyzed in the World Economic Forum 2017 Global Risks Report, which was published by the World Economic Forum with support from Marsh & McLennan Companies and other partners.

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February 2nd, 2017

Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives – Terror Risk: Part IV

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emma-karhan-sm1Emma Karhan, Managing Director

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Insurance is about the pooling of risk and providing support for impacted economies. Expanding insurance coverages to achieve these objectives against terror losses requires a more granular level of insight into the impacts of terrorist attacks. We have a relatively high level of loss impact knowledge for mature lines of business, such as property catastrophe coverages; this has been driven by losses and the ensuing needs for modeling and pricing improvements. However, the terrorism market is a less mature market that has not suffered a frequency of significantly large insured losses that would otherwise assist in a better understanding of the nature of the peril and its direct and indirect impacts on an economy. Additionally, this peril has the added complexity of unpredictable behavioral factors of terrorists that are very difficult to sensibly and consistently be included in pricing models. Consequently, the (re)insurance industry needs to devise improved transparency through innovative modeling and pricing methodologies to ensure that capital continues to support this line of business - underpinning further product development.

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January 31st, 2017

Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives – Terror Risk: Part III

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emma-karhan-smEmma Karhan, Managing Director

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The (re)insurance industry needs to be more proactive in understanding and defining the boundary and extent of insured loss along with understanding the types of targets that have a higher probability of attack. Data in the Global Terrorism Database (1) identifies small businesses, retailers, tourist attractions and transportation hubs as increasingly likely targets, not iconic targets such as New York’s World Trade Center, in 2001. These smaller and less iconic targets are typically more vulnerable to the evolving type of terrorism attack (marauding arms, small explosives) that, while causing smaller direct physical damage and losses, still have the potential for significant contingent losses.

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January 30th, 2017

Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives – Terror Risk: Part II

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emma-karhan-smEmma Karhan, Managing Director

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The dynamic of pricing decrease and oversupply of capital has also been driven by the industry’s need to diversify into non-natural catastrophe lines of business in the current economic environment, and the fact that the terror market has a loss ratio of almost zero percent. In 2015, Swiss Re’s Sigma report calculated that 27 terrorist events resulted in 1082 fatalities, but no insured losses. Unlike other lines of business, recent pricing and capacity trends have not been driven by a better technical understanding of the impact of losses that normally translates into improved peril understanding or advances in pricing or modeling techniques. This has generally inhibited the industry from expanding its product base for terrorism in line with the evolution of the peril, concentrating more on supporting the pools and the current established bounds of insurable loss.

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January 26th, 2017

Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives – Terror Risk: Part I

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emma-karhan-sm1Emma Karhan, Managing Director

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The (re)insurance industry should look towards closing the gap between economic and insured terror losses.

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January 24th, 2017

Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives in Asia Pacific: Part II: Highlights of Recent Initiatives

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graham-jones-smGraham Jones, Senior Vice President

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In July 2016, the China Residential Earthquake Insurance Pool (CREIP) was jointly established by the China Insurance Regulatory Commission (CIRC) and Ministry of Finance. In development since 2014, the scheme consists of 45 insurers distributing policies with basic limits of USD 7,500 and USD 3,000 for urban and rural residents, respectively. Coverage up to a maximum limit of USD 150,000 is negotiable. The claims process has been simplified with payouts equaling zero, 50 or 100 percent of the policy limit based on five damage levels.

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January 23rd, 2017

Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives in Asia Pacific: Part I

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graham-jones-smGraham Jones, Senior Vice President

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According to United Nations estimates, 54 percent of the world’s population lives in Eastern, Southern and Southeastern Asia. The region hosts 778 million urban inhabitants and seven out of the world’s top ten most populated cities. The region is also home to every major peril - from cyclone to tsunami - and has experienced some of the world’s largest catastrophes based on economic loss. While there are natural catastrophes all over the world, Asia is a unique confluence of people and perils.

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