Posts Tagged ‘modeling’



April 20th, 2017

Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives in Europe/Middle East/Africa: Part II: Public Sector Strategic Initiatives in EMEA

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

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Charles Whitmore, Managing Director

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Organizations throughout EMEA have significantly increased the establishment of strategic initiatives to close the protection gap and improve society’s ability to recover from the devastating impact of natural catastrophe losses. Marsh & McLennan Companies’ Risk & Insurance Services Segment, comprised of Guy Carpenter and Marsh, have developed resources and expertise to help clients in this area.

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April 18th, 2017

Measuring Cyber Aggregation Risk

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Julia Chu, Managing Director, Guy Carpenter and Ashwin Kashyap, Director of Product Management, Symantec Corporation

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Cyber risk is now an embedded feature of the global risk landscape, and preventative risk management and post-event remediation are gaining importance as shareholders, customers, supply chain partners, and regulators are increasingly focused on how companies are managing for cyber risks. Insurance is becoming an important piece of the strategy for helping businesses address these risks.

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April 17th, 2017

Analytics: Fueling Risk-Informed Decisions: Part III: Strategic and Risk Capital Management

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

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Tim Gardner, President, North America

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Insurers who rely on strategic risk and capital management analytics to optimize their return on capital require a proactive capital management strategy that is in line with Own Risk and Solvency Assessment (ORSA), rating agency objectives and/or management’s internal capital adequacy benchmarks. To support this objective, a wide variety of tools and solutions are available to help measure capital adequacy - from deterministic models to licensable enterprise-level dynamic financial modeling solutions that advance a company’s ability to measure risk, profit and capital to optimize returns.

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April 13th, 2017

Analytics: Fueling Risk-Informed Decisions: Part II: Portfolio Analytics

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

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Tim Gardner, President, North America

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With robust portfolio analytics, including advanced actuarial and catastrophic risk modeling, insurers are able to manage portfolio risk with confidence. Notable new portfolio-based models are being used for emerging areas such as casualty catastrophe and cyber risk assessment. Significant advances in sub peril modeling, such as for flood, have also transformed previously non-modeled perils into modeled perils, greatly improving knowledge and underwriting decisions in many regions.

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March 21st, 2017

Emerging Practices in Risk Tolerances: Part II

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

brian-fischer-2014-hs-sm1Brian C. Fischer, Managing Director, GC Analytics®

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As A.M. Best implements a new rating methodology with enterprise risk management (ERM) as a specific rating category, risk tolerances will play an increasingly important role with the potential to further differentiate risk profiles in Best’s evaluation of companies’ risk and capital needs. Risk tolerances will likely positively impact a company’s ERM evaluation when A.M. Best deems the company’s risk tolerances as adequate and appropriate.

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March 16th, 2017

Cat Modelling Challenges in Europe: Part IV

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

weatherhead_mark-sm3Mark Weatherhead, Head of Model Development - International

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Flood poses particular challenges for modelling. In particular, the hydraulic modelling of flood extents requires a high-quality digital terrain model that has been processed specifically for the task by removing features like bridges.

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March 15th, 2017

Cat Modelling Challenges in Europe: Part III

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

weatherhead_mark-sm2Mark Weatherhead, Head of Model Development - International

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There are two main lines of development. First, (re)insurers need to gain a deeper understanding of how the existing commercial vendor models perform for their book of business, how the models can be best modified or customized to better reflect their own loss history, and how the models compare to each other. Second, (re)insurers need to continue to address gaps in knowledge that are not adequately covered by existing models.

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March 14th, 2017

Cat Modelling Challenges in Europe: Part II

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

weatherhead_mark-sm1Mark Weatherhead, Head of Model Development - International

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While there is still uncertainty regarding the degree of impact from climate change, the likely consequences are subject to modelling. Increasing global temperatures are projected to impact the mid-latitude and polar regions more than the tropics.

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March 13th, 2017

Cat Modelling Challenges in Europe: Part I

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

weatherhead_mark-smMark Weatherhead, Head of Model Development - International

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2016 marked the 60th year of the Monte Carlo Rendez-Vous. Since the first event in 1957 the insurance world has changed significantly, with economic and insured losses from natural catastrophes such as floods and hurricanes increasing dramatically.

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February 2nd, 2017

Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives – Terror Risk: Part IV

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

emma-karhan-sm1Emma Karhan, Managing Director

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Insurance is about the pooling of risk and providing support for impacted economies. Expanding insurance coverages to achieve these objectives against terror losses requires a more granular level of insight into the impacts of terrorist attacks. We have a relatively high level of loss impact knowledge for mature lines of business, such as property catastrophe coverages; this has been driven by losses and the ensuing needs for modeling and pricing improvements. However, the terrorism market is a less mature market that has not suffered a frequency of significantly large insured losses that would otherwise assist in a better understanding of the nature of the peril and its direct and indirect impacts on an economy. Additionally, this peril has the added complexity of unpredictable behavioral factors of terrorists that are very difficult to sensibly and consistently be included in pricing models. Consequently, the (re)insurance industry needs to devise improved transparency through innovative modeling and pricing methodologies to ensure that capital continues to support this line of business - underpinning further product development.

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