Posts Tagged ‘modeling’



May 19th, 2015

Emerging Risk Challenges And Opportunities

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

A cursory reading of just a few of the publications on the topic of emerging risks quickly resembles a crash-course in risk aversion therapy. We have been subjected to a bewildering and ever lengthening series of lists of emerging risks. Swiss Re recently identified 26 such risks (1), Hannover Re has an ongoing list of 14 while the World Economic Forum in its Global Risks 2014 (2) lists 31 global risks (3).

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May 6th, 2015

New Solutions Help Mutual Insurers Face Market Challenges

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

woods_jay-125haldeman_john_bioJay Woods and John S. Haldeman II, Co-chairmen of Guy Carpenter’s Mutual Company Specialty Practice

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Mutual insurance companies of all sizes currently face challenging market conditions where success requires not only focused distribution and operational excellence, but also access to increasingly sophisticated analytics services and products. How these firms use their resources and advanced technology to respond to these issues will separate market outperformers from underperformers.

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May 5th, 2015

Impact of Insurance Market Cycles on Insurers’ Reserves

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we review GC Capital Ideas stories on the impact of insurance market cycles on insurers’ reserves. 

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April 16th, 2015

Guy Carpenter Launches New G-CAT® Canada Flood Model

Posted at 6:30 AM ET

Guy Carpenter today launched its new G-CAT® Canada Flood Model. In creating the first ever probabilistic flood model for Canada, Guy Carpenter has enabled insurers to assess their exposure to flood, Canada’s most frequently occurring natural hazard.

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March 19th, 2015

Modeling Beyond Property CAT Risk

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we review recent GC Capital Idea stories on catastrophe models that focus on exposures beyond catastrophe property risk:

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March 16th, 2015

Guy Carpenter Launches its Innovative Casualty Catastrophe Model: GC ForCas℠

Posted at 5:30 AM ET

Guy Carpenter today announced the launch of GC ForCas℠, its new data-driven casualty catastrophe model.

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February 17th, 2015

Guy Carpenter Appoints Matthew Eagle as Head of International Analytics

Posted at 11:30 PM ET

Guy Carpenter today announced the appointment of Matthew Eagle as Managing Director and Head of International Analytics for Guy Carpenter. 

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February 5th, 2015

GC Videocast - Overview of the Holistic Balance Sheet Management Framework and Application

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Eric Paire, Head of Strategic Advisory EMEA, Guy Carpenter, presented the sixth part of the Holistic Balance Sheet Management series describing the “multi-layer” approach that Guy Carpenter and Mercer will adopt when working exclusively with insurance clients to holistically manage capital and strengthen balance sheets. The approach includes an extensive evaluation of the investment and reinsurance portfolios to understand client needs, an assessment of the rationale for freeing-up and/or moving capital and a consideration of  modeling aspects such as the Solvency II standard formula, internal models or rating agency models.

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December 22nd, 2014

Understanding Emerging Risks: Imperative for the Future

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The downside focus of risk measures highlights what could be a key problem with the debate around emerging risks - when people think about risk they only consider the downside. Cars, penicillin, fossil fuels, the internet - all of these were once emerging risks, and they have caused global destruction through car accidents, antibiotic resistance, climate change, and now, possibly through cyber risk. But they have also brought far better travel, longer and much healthier lives for almost everyone, affordable electricity for people in their own homes, and an explosion of information on a scale never seen before available freely at the click of a button.

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December 18th, 2014

Cycle Mitigation: Part II

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Incorporating reserve value added (RVA) into reinsurance decision making for long-tail lines is a step in the right direction. However, it is not the full story, as the decision is still typically made in the context of a single accident year and usually for a single line of business in isolation. The cycle correlations clearly show that this is sub-optimal. We are encouraging our clients a step further along the sophistication and hence simplicity/complexity spectrum.

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