Posts Tagged ‘modeling’



June 6th, 2019

Modeling Insights

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we review recent GC Capital Ideas posts covering insights on modeling.

A Risk Overview of Wildfire: Today, the frequency and severity of wildfires are garnering greater attention - not only from the media, but also from (re)insurers, catastrophe modelers, mitigation experts and other invested parties.

Read the article >>


Understanding Flood Risk in Malaysia Through Catastrophe Modeling: According to Malaysia’s Department of Irrigation and Drainage, the many rivers running through the country put about 9 percent of the total land area under flood risk, potentially affecting 2.7 million people. Rapid urbanization is only going to worsen the problem through rising population concentrations and at-risk infrastructure, land consumption and the channeling of water courses.

Read the article >>


Methodological Considerations in the Statistical Modeling of Catastrophe Bond Prices: John Major has authored an article that aims to help actuaries, financial analysts, statisticians, data scientists and their clients better investigate how property catastrophe risk, and particularly catastrophe bonds, are  priced.

Read the article >>


Are You at Risk? Managing Affirmative and Silent Cyber Risk Accumulation: The script of the global cyber insurance market is still mainly being written in the United States. Approximately 85 percent of global cyber insurance premiums of between USD 2.5 and 3.5 billion are generated in the United States. The take-up rate for this line of business in Asia is still relatively low, but the Japan market has been experiencing steady growth in the last 24 months.

Read the article >>


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May 13th, 2019

A Risk Overview of Wildfire

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Today, the frequency and severity of wildfires are garnering greater attention-not only from the media, but also from (re)insurers, catastrophe modelers, mitigation experts and other invested parties.

Continue reading…

May 2nd, 2019

Understanding Flood Risk in Malaysia Through Catastrophe Modeling

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Narathip Sutchiewcharn, Senior Vice President and Claudio Saffioti, Catastrophe Model Developer

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According to Malaysia’s Department of Irrigation and Drainage, the many rivers running through the country put about 9 percent of the total land area under flood risk, potentially affecting 2.7 million people. Rapid urbanization is only going to worsen the problem through rising population concentrations and at-risk infrastructure, land consumption and the channeling of water courses.

Continue reading…

April 29th, 2019

Methodological Considerations in the Statistical Modeling of Catastrophe Bond Prices

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

major_john_gcciJohn Major, Director of Actuarial Research

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John Major has authored an article that aims to help actuaries, financial analysts, statisticians, data scientists and their clients better investigate how property catastrophe risk, and particularly catastrophe bonds, are  priced.

As in any technical discipline, statistical modeling has its customs, templates and default modes of operation, which are typically learned early in a practitioner’s education. These practices persist as “standard operating procedures,” to be modified as needs arise. The purpose of this article is to challenge those default modes as they have appeared in 21st century-published catastrophe bond pricing research.

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April 2nd, 2019

Are You at Risk? Managing Affirmative and Silent Cyber Risk Accumulation

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Skyline of Dubai at nightThe script of the global cyber insurance market is still mainly being written in the United States. Approximately 85 percent of global cyber insurance premiums of between USD 2.5 and 3.5 billion are generated in the United States. The take-up rate for this line of business in Asia is still relatively low, but the Japan market has been experiencing steady growth in the last 24 months.

Continue reading…

March 25th, 2019

A Risk Overview of Wildfire

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Today, the frequency and severity of wildfires are garnering greater attention-not only from the media, but also from (re)insurers, catastrophe modelers, mitigation experts and other invested parties.

Continue reading…

March 13th, 2019

GC Capital Ideas Covers Modeling Developments

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

GC Capital Ideas presents a review of our recent stories covering modeling for various perils.

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March 7th, 2019

Building for Resilience: How to Avoid a Catastrophe Model Failure: Part IV

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

powers_imelda_resized

Imelda Powers, Global Chief Catastrophe Modeler

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Valuation Assumptions

There is no database of agreed property, contents or business interruption valuations among vendors or insurers.  Any user’s particular valuation may come from databases of property prices, or rebuild values from claims adjusters and building surveyors. If the model’s assumed valuations are under- or over-estimated, then the damage function may over- or under-compensate in order to balance to historical industry event losses during the model-building process. Consequently, it is important that the user adjust the damage module to reconcile these differences.

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February 28th, 2019

Building for Resilience: How to Avoid a Catastrophe Model Failure: Part III

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

powers_imelda_resized

Imelda Powers, Global Chief Catastrophe Modeler

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If resources permit, an insurer may carry out additional, micro level model suitability analyses - including a review of model hazards and vulnerabilities using the latest scientific literature and engineering studies. Guy Carpenter’s Model Suitability Analysis (MSA)® framework is designed to guide users through such an analysis.

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