Posts Tagged ‘modeling’



February 14th, 2019

Building for Resilience: How to Avoid a Catastrophe Model Failure: Part I

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Imelda Powers, Global Chief Catastrophe Modeler

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Since commercial catastrophe (CAT) models were first introduced in the 1980s, they have evolved as new scientific discoveries and claims insights emerged. Despite the sophisticated nature of each new generation of CAT models, occasionally a model misses a significant loss driver for a particular peril. This occurs when a previously hidden attribute reveals itself through unprecedented intensity. Lessons from such surprises stimulate model improvements as our understanding of the physics of the peril and its damage potential, increase. Through this process, models mature over time.

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January 24th, 2019

New Approaches to Understanding and Modeling Cyber Risk

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

On October 21, 2016, a distributed denial of service attack (DDoS) rendered a large number of the world’s most popular websites inaccessible to many users, including Twitter, Amazon, Netflix, and GitHub.

The internet outage conscripted vulnerable Internet of Things (IoT) devices such as routers, DVRs and CCTV cameras to overwhelm DNS provider Dyn, effectively hampering internet users’ ability to access websites across Europe and North America. The attack was carried out using an IoT botnet called Mirai, which works by continuously scanning for IoT devices with factory default user names and passwords. Continue reading…

December 10th, 2018

Cost of Capital and its Use in Valuing Reinsurance

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Increasingly, reinsurance is seen as an important element of capital management. Reinsurance decisions are moving away from the reinsurance buyer and towards the finance teams. These teams need to find a way of comparing reinsurance in a straightforward way. Defining the cost of capital for reinsurance means that it can be compared with other capital sources.

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October 23rd, 2018

Data and Analytics Support Innovations in Flood Risk Management - GC@BB Commentary

Posted at 9:00 AM ET

cleary_liz_photo21 Elizabeth Cleary, Managing Director

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  • Increased computing power is fueling innovative solutions for flood underwriting
  • Insurers are using technology to communicate a homeowner’s flood risk with mobile apps
  • Guy Carpenter works extensively with most commercial vendor flood models

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September 11th, 2018

Data and Analytics Support Innovations in Flood Risk Management - GC@MC Commentary

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

cleary_liz_photo21 Elizabeth Cleary, Managing Director

Contact

  • Increased computing power is fueling innovative solutions for flood underwriting
  • Insurers are using technology to communicate a homeowner’s flood risk with mobile apps
  • Guy Carpenter works extensively with most commercial vendor flood models Continue reading…
June 27th, 2018

Why All the Talk about Cyber?

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

GC Capital Ideas has recently posted several articles about cyber security and the need to implement robust prevention and response mechanisms. Posts on cyber typically are among our most viewed stories.

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May 29th, 2018

Terrorism Risk Modeling Poses Challenges

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

terrorism-rep-connections-banner-2Terrorism risk modeling methods have been continually updated since leading modeling companies AIR Worldwide and Risk Management Solutions released their first terrorism models in 2002. Quantifying the economic, insured and human losses from terrorist attacks poses major challenges for insurers, reinsurers and alternative capacity providers.

Marsh’s 2018 Terrorism Risk Insurance Report, produced with support from Guy Carpenter, explores the state of the terrorism insurance marketplace, presenting data on purchasing and pricing trends.

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May 17th, 2018

Building for Resilience: How to Avoid a Catastrophe Model Failure

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we bring together our recent multi-part series on model resilience by Guy Carpenter’s Global Chief Catastrophe Modeler, Imelda Powers.

Since commercial catastrophe (CAT) models were first introduced in the 1980s, they have evolved as new scientific discoveries and claims insights emerged. Despite the sophisticated nature of each new generation of CAT models, occasionally a model misses a significant loss driver for a particular peril. This occurs when a previously hidden attribute reveals itself through unprecedented intensity. Lessons from such surprises stimulate model improvements as our understanding of the physics of the peril and its damage potential, increase. Through this process, models mature over time.

Continue reading…

April 30th, 2018

Guy Carpenter Licenses First-of-its-Kind Cyber Risk Modeling Platform from CyberCube Following Strategic Alliance

Posted at 9:00 AM ET

Guy Carpenter & Company today announced that its two year strategic relationship with CyberCube Analytics, formerly part of Symantec Corporation, has produced the industry’s first cyber risk modeling platform with an inside-out view of cyber risk exposure.

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