Posts Tagged ‘Month in Review’



February 4th, 2019

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: January 2019

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Reinsurance Rate Movement Limited at January 1 Despite Uncertainty over Pricing Adequacy and Available Capital: The overall impact of catastrophe losses on property rates was muted at the January 1, 2019 reinsurance renewals, but the fourth highest annual catastrophe loss year on record did create questions over pricing adequacy, underwriting strategy and the amount of capital available, says Guy Carpenter.

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2. Chart: Top Risks Expected to Increase in 2019: The chart lists the top ten risks expected to deteriorate in 2019 across five areas of concern highlighted in this year’s Global Risks Perception Survey (GRPS). The results of GRPS are analyzed in the 14th edition of the Global Risks Report, prepared by the World Economic Forum with the support of Guy Carpenter’s parent company, Marsh & McLennan Companies. The chart shows the percentage of respondents who are concerned about each risk.

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3. Cost of Capital and its Use in Valuing Reinsurance: Increasingly, reinsurance is seen as an important element of capital management. Reinsurance decisions are moving away from the reinsurance buyer and towards the finance teams. These teams need to find a way of comparing reinsurance in a straightforward way. Defining the cost of capital for reinsurance means that it can be compared with other capital sources.

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4. Sydney Hailstorms, December 20, 2018: A severe convective storm affected large parts of New South Wales, including Sydney, the Central Coast and Wollongong from 4:00 to 7:00 pm on December 20, 2018. The storm generated large hail, damaging winds and flash flooding in many areas of the state. According to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM), there were ground reports of hail of 8 cm diameter in Berowra Heights in Sydney’s north and similar size hail in Casula and Liverpool in the city’s southwest.

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5. Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2019.

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6. Guy Carpenter Announces New Division and Senior Appointments Designed to Deliver Enhanced Client Value: Guy Carpenter today announced the formation of a new Global Capital Solutions Group and a series of new leadership appointments related to the Jardine Lloyd Thompson Group plc (JLT) acquisition. These appointments will become effective upon closing of the transaction between Guy Carpenter’s parent company, Marsh & McLennan Companies, and JLT, which remains subject to the receipt of certain antitrust and financial regulatory approvals.

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7. Excess and Surplus (E&S) Segment Outlook: The excess and surplus (E&S) lines segment of the insurance industry is an essential market for risks for which typically the standard insurance market does not offer coverage. The E&S market as a whole remained somewhat consistent and disciplined with its pricing and risk selection, with the first half of 2017 being very similar to 2016. Both primary and excess casualty rates were flat to up 5 to 10 percent depending on the line of business (LOB) and class. Specific areas, such as New York Construction and Transportation experienced double digit rate increases. Professional lines rates were overall flat.

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8. Balance Sheet Expansion: Opportunities and Challenges: From 2014 to 2017, the property and casualty (P&C) industry in the United States grew its collective capital position from USD 686 billion to USD 767 billion, a 3.8 percent compound annual growth rate. This expansion in capital was achieved during a period when the normalized return profile of the P&C underwriting business was considered to be below the cost of capital. The growth of industry capital during this period of subpar underwriting returns provides insights into the expectations for carriers’ opportunities and challenges through 2018 and into the years ahead.

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9. Top Financial and Professional Lines Risks in 2019: The U.S. market for financial and professional insurance coverage saw a number of challenges in 2018, including new privacy regulations, an increase in workplace sexual harassment claims as the #MeToo movement continued to gain traction, and more securities litigation activity, says a report by Guy Carpenter’s sister company, Marsh.

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10. Taiwan: Catastrophe Insurance and Gap in Coverage: Taiwan has experienced a series of extreme weather events in recent years, which are expected to continue into the future, says the report 14 Shades of Risk In Asia-Pacific: Evolving Risk Concerns in Asia-Pacific by Marsh & McLennan Companies’ Asia-Pacific Risk Center.

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January 2nd, 2019

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: December 2018

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Cost of Capital and its Use in Valuing Reinsurance: Increasingly, reinsurance is seen as an important element of capital management. Reinsurance decisions are moving away from the reinsurance buyer and towards the finance teams. These teams need to find a way of comparing reinsurance in a straightforward way. Defining the cost of capital for reinsurance means that it can be compared with other capital sources.

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2. Wildfire Activity - California - Update: Recent wildfire activity has rendered especially severe impacts to areas of California, including areas of Butte, Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. Rates of extreme fire spread were enabled by especially dry, windy conditions on November 8 and the days following. Aggressive firefighting efforts allowed containment efforts to progress despite adverse conditions over the following week. Periods of heavy rainfall have recently allowed firefighting crews to bring the last of the fires to 100 percent containment over the last week. The Camp, Woolsey and Hill Fires have burned an estimated 20,297 structures since November 8, including at least 13,972 residential structures from the Camp Fire alone, according to Cal Fire statistics. These fires have also claimed at least 91 lives.

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3. Mw 7.0 Earthquake – Near Anchorage, Alaska: A magnitude (Mw) 7.0 earthquake was reported near Anchorage, Alaska around 17:29 UTC on November 30 (8:29 local time), according to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). The epicenter was located at a depth of 44.1 km and about 12.9 km (8.0 miles) north of Anchorage, Alaska. A tsunami warning was issued but later lifted by the U.S. National Weather Service. Initial media reports indicate that the event rendered considerable damage to infrastructure including roads, power and water, along with significant transportation disruption. Damage has been reported to buildings including interior damage and some cracked foundations with some building collapses. Initial media reports indicate no fatalities or injuries, although survey efforts are still ongoing.

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4. Asia Pacific Reinsurance Market: Abundant Capacity and Flat Pricing: For buyers of catastrophe reinsurance in the Asia Pacific region, pricing has remained largely flat during 2018. The region has experienced losses during the year to date, and at the time of writing, it is expected that a proportion of these will impact reinsurers. At the same time, market capacity remains abundant and underlying reinsurance market conditions are favorable for buyers, as reported by Guy Carpenter in its 2018 Asia Pacific Catastrophe Reinsurance Executive Summary. The effect of the 2018 losses on market sentiment going forward is not fully understood.

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5. Global Insurance Prices Rise for Fourth Consecutive Quarter: Trends in property and financial and professional lines of coverage drove average commercial insurance prices higher for the fourth consecutive quarter, according to the most recent Marsh Global Insurance Market Index. Global commercial insurance prices tracked in the index rose, on average, more than one percentage point in the third quarter of 2018.

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6. Ensuring innovation is more than a cliché: The numerous challenges the insurance industry faces mean that innovation is critical to tackling them. Rob Bentley, Chief Executive Officer of Guy Carpenter’s Global Strategic Advisory, describes how Guy Carpenter is helping its clients manage these challenges-especially the conundrum of InsurTech, in an interview that appeared in Intelligent Insurer magazine.

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7. Cyberattacks Emerge as Leading Risk in East Asia and the Pacific: Cyberattacks are the leading risk to doing business across East Asia and the Pacific, according to the recent World Economic Forum (WEF) report Regional Risks for Doing Business 2018.

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8. Europe Experienced Increased Cyberattacks in the First Half of 2018: Estimates suggest that the number of cyberattacks across Europe increased by around a third in the first quarter of 2018, compared to the same period last year, according to the recent World Economic Forum (WEF) report Regional Risks for Doing Business 2018.

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9. 14 Shades of Risks: Navigating the Risk Landscape in Asia-Pacific: The Asia-Pacific region (APAC) has become the world’s primary driver of global economic growth. While often referred to as one economic bloc, the Asia-Pacific region is home to countries and territories that are vastly different from each other in terms of demographics, economic development stages, political institutions and cultures. This regional heterogeneity translates to a diversified set of risk concerns in different countries and territories.

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10. Here’s How to Bring Agility into the Boardroom: Today’s corporate world is being shaped by a near constant onslaught of unpredictable events. In such turbulent times the traditional corporate governance model risks becoming outdated and ineffective.

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December 3rd, 2018

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: November 2018

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. A Math Formula May Offer a Solution to Insurers’ Critical Challenges: Guy Carpenter has developed a methodology that applies a mathematical formula to provide insurers and reinsurers with a unified, practical framework for risk pricing and capital allocation.

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2. Affirmative versus Silent Cyber: An Overview: While the current debate over “affirmative” versus “non-affirmative” coverage has been ongoing for a few years, WannaCry and Petya/NotPetya cyberattacks helped make the issue of ”silent cyber” more critical. These two 2017 cyberattacks effectively shifted the conversation from data breach, notification costs and third-party liability to first-party liability insuring agreements due to the extent and expanse of the systematic, large-scale damages they triggered.

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3. Regional Risks for Doing Business: The recent World Economic Forum’s 2018 Executive Opinion Survey provides a snapshot of the global risks that executives say are of highest concern for doing business in their respective countries.

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4. GC Videocast - Emerging Cyber Risks Explained: The “years of data breaches,” 2013 and 2014, evolved to healthcare breaches, followed by ransomware attacks. What cyber perils lie ahead? Guy Carpenter’s Jeremy S. Platt, Managing Director and Cyber Solutions Specialty Practice Leader; and Chris Shafer, Assistant Vice President at Cyber Solutions Specialty Practice, explain in the video.

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5. Increasing Frequency of Extreme Weather Events in Asia Pacific: The Asia Pacific may be the most adversely impacted region by the pronounced increase in the frequency of extreme weather events around the world. The Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Catastrophe Report 2017 projects an increase in economic losses from natural disasters in Asia, which amounted to USD 126 million a day between 2006 to 2015.

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6. Evolving Terror Threats - Innovation Needed to Meet Changing Demands: New modes of attack are causing a shift from large terrorist events aimed at property destruction to less sophisticated attacks causing mass casualties and fear. With global commerce, tourism and financial markets impacted, demand is growing for modeling, capacity and protection-gap solutions to increase resiliency against such attacks.

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7. Cyberattacks Top the List of Risks in North America: For business executives in the United States and Canada, cyberattacks are now the number one risk to doing business, according to the recent World Economic Forum (WEF) report Regional Risks for Doing Business 2018.

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8. Terrorism: The Need for Expanded Capacity: Terrorists are increasingly able to modify, adapt and reinvent their tactics and quickly spread their methodologies to their worldwide support base. Economically, the effect of this change across the globe has been significant. Tourism, trade and investments are examples of areas affected as countries grapple with terrorist actions, both direct and indirect. According to the Institute for Economics and Peace, although the peak of global economic impact from terror events was reached in 2014, it remains at historically high levels.

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9. Silent Cyber Explained: “Silent cyber,” also known as unintended or non-affirmative coverage, refers to the unknown or unquantified exposures stemming from cyber perils that may be triggered within traditional property and liability insurance policies. The systemic nature of the cyber risk means silent cyber may become increasingly more prevalent in virtually every type of insurance policy.

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10. Facultative or Treaty and Why the Need for Hybrid Solutions: Insurers face challenges in managing underwriting, capital protection, risk and risk profiling as they navigate underwriting guidelines based on their gross and net risk underwriting appetite. Against these challenges, companies utilize various forms of reinsurance, traditionally facultative or treaty, to buy risk protection, shore up capital and satisfy rating agencies, according to Jeff Fleming, Managing Director, Guy Carpenter.

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November 1st, 2018

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: October 2018

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Baden-Baden Reinsurance Symposium Explores Market Impact of Global (Re)insurance Composites: Guy Carpenter hosted the Reinsurance Symposium in Baden-Baden on October 21, the 10th year that Guy Carpenter has hosted the event. The theme of the Symposium was “Back to the past: a return to global composites.”

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2. Leading Cyber Insurance Strategies: Insurers are undertaking several initiatives to seize opportunities in writing network security and privacy insurance in order to achieve profitable growth. Read about some of the actions on which they are focusing.

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3. Hurricane Michael: Hurricane Michael made landfall on October 10 as a high-end Category-4 hurricane on the Florida Panhandle, with maximum sustained winds of 155 mph. The storm rendered severe to complete damage to areas from Panama City to Port Saint Joe, with especially severe damage in Mexico Beach due to severe wind and storm surge.

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4. Escalating Threat of Cyber Terrorism: The WannaCry and NotPetya cyber-attacks illustrated the magnitude of the damage that cyber-attacks can cause. These two attacks affected organizations in more than 150 countries, prompted business interruption and other losses estimated at well over USD 300 million by some companies, brought reputational damage and resulted in loss of customer data.

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5. Pushing the Model Boundaries - GC@BB Commentary: As Solvency II-based capital regimes further impact internal capital models, greater clarity around a company’s view of risk is becoming more critical. Yet optimizing model infrastructures is often limited by platform inflexibility, computational power and cumbersome approval processes, according to a European roundtable of Guy Carpenter leaders.

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6. Super Typhoon Trami: In the West-Pacific Basin, Typhoon Trami made landfall in the city of Tanabe, Japan (Wakayama prefecture) on 30 September at around 11 UTC (8 PM local time), according to media reports. Before reaching Honshu, the typhoon had rendered considerable impacts while making close approach to Okinawa, Kyūshū and Shikoku Islands.

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7. A Strategy for Market Volatility: Portfolio Optimization - GC@BB Commentary: Today, (re)insurers are challenged by a host of factors pressuring companies’ earnings and capital – excess capacity is impacting underwriting profitability as claim frequency and severity are rising – contributing to a movement toward balance sheet volatility that impacts earnings and growth, according to a global roundtable of Guy Carpenter leaders.

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8. Marsh & McLennan Cyber Resilience Insights Microsite: As we enter National Cybersecurity Awareness Month, a new resource from Marsh & McLennan Companies collates the best insights on cyber resilience from across the firm and its strategic cyber partnerships.

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9. A New Boldness in Tackling Emerging Risks – Part I: Risk teams are under increasing pressure to move beyond blocking and tackling to providing strategic risk advice that can help their companies achieve sustainable resilience in the face of critical emerging risks, according to the report Material Improbabilities, Getting Practical with Emerging Risks from Marsh & McLennan Companies Global Risk Center.

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10. Cybersecurity Awareness: On the start of the 15th Cybersecurity Awareness Month, GC Capital Ideas has collected our recent articles that offer insights into this very critical risk. Cyber risk and security will remain a top priority for the foreseeable future. In addition to hackers and cyber criminals continuously developing new methods of attack, state-sponsored cyber-attacks have occurred according to the U.S. government.

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October 1st, 2018

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: September 2018

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Chart: Significant Insured Losses 2011–2Q2018: Chart exhibits the significant insured losses from 2011 through the second quarter of this year.

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2. Chart: The Matrix of Cyber and Property Lines Insurance Coverage: Chart examines the policy coverage matrix between cyber and property lines of insurance coverage.

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3. Guy Carpenter Announces New Global Capability to Help Clients Navigate Evolving InsurTech Market: Guy Carpenter announced the launch of GC Genesis, its expanded InsurTech advisory offering designed to meet clients’ desire to understand and leverage the dynamic universe of InsurTech.

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4. Super Typhoon Jebi: In the West Pacific Basin, Typhoon Jebi made first landfall on Shikoku (Tokushima Prefecture) at around 03 UTC on 4 September, and then second landfall near Kobe (Hyōgo Prefecture) at around 05 UTC on the same day. The storm brought reports of damaging wind gusts in excess of 160 km/hr (100 mph), flooding due to storm surge and heavy rainfall and mudslides.

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5. Guy Carpenter appoints Head of Strategy and Client Engagement: Guy Carpenter announced the appointment of Shaun Sinniah as Head of Strategy and Client Engagement for the firm’s International and Global Specialties divisions, with effect from October.

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6. Mw 6.6 Earthquake – Iburi, Hokkaido: A magnitude (Mw) 6.6 earthquake struck the island of Hokkaido in northern Japan at 18:07 UTC on September 5 (03.07 JST on September 6), according to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). The epicenter was located at a depth of 33.4 km in the Iburi Subprefecture, about 20 km east of the coastal city of Tomakomai and 62 km southeast of Sapporo. No tsunami warning was issued.

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7. Managing Catastrophe Model Change: Incorporating new hazard and claims insights can improve the estimates derived from catastrophe models. By re-analyzing historical events using the latest scientific methods or refining claims with more granular geographical and line of business breakdowns, we can update models with the latest expertise and data. But model changes that yield large swings in loss estimates for frequent events must be carefully scrutinized to understand assumptions and processes in order to truly support ownership of risk.

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8. Data and Analytics Support Innovations in Flood Risk Management - GC@MC Commentary: Flood risk and its impact on communities are global concerns. Advances in data quality coupled with expanding model development and computational power leads to increasingly accurate risk evaluation for (re)insurer portfolio analyses and underwriter risk analyses – with a concomitant increase in policyholder risk awareness.

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9. A Strategy for Market Volatility: Portfolio Optimization - GC@MC Commentary: Today, (re)insurers are challenged by a host of factors pressuring companies’ earnings and capital – excess capacity is impacting underwriting profitability as claim frequency and severity are rising – contributing to a movement toward balance sheet volatility that impacts earnings and growth, according to a global roundtable of Guy Carpenter leaders.

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10. Accounting Changes Impacting the Reinsurance Landscape - GC@MC Commentary: The introduction of International Financial Accounting Standard 17 (IFRS 17) adds another level of complexity to the already challenging (re)insurer legislative and regulatory environment. While IFRS 17 creates a number of changes, particular interest should be made to the significant changes it presents to accounting of insurance contracts. IFRS 17 will establish a fair value view of liabilities and together with the fair value view of assets based on IFRS 9, companies’ balance sheets and income statements are likely to encounter a substantially higher degree of volatility, according to a global roundtable of Guy Carpenter leaders.

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September 4th, 2018

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: August 2018

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Carr Fire – Redding, California: In Northern California, the Carr Fire has burned at least 110,154 acres since July 23 and claimed at least six lives according to media reports and Cal Fire. Damage survey efforts are still ongoing, however initial indications are that at least 1,236 structures have been destroyed with another 225 damaged.

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2. Guy Carpenter to Host Scientific and Engineering Expo to Launch New InsurTech Advisory Offering Developed with Numerati® Partners LLC: Guy Carpenter announced the August 9, 2018 launch event for its InsurTech Alliance – a cost effective, state of the art and insurer-focused suite of capabilities to help carriers evaluate new innovations in the areas of data, analytics and digital technology-based products and solutions.

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3. Global Insurance Prices Rise for Third Consecutive Quarter: Global commercial insurance prices rose, on average, in the second quarter of 2018, marking a third consecutive quarter of increases, according to the most recent Marsh Global Insurance Market Index. The increase in the index was driven largely by pricing for property and financial and professional insurance lines.

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4. Chart: The Cyber Insurance Matrix Explained: Chart examines the policy coverage matrix between cyber and property lines of insurance coverage.

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5. What Capital Modeling Delivers: Capital modeling helps insurers meet the ever changing expectations of their stakeholders, from regulators to rating agencies to board members and policyholders. Since no two insurers are alike, companies need customized solutions to develop effective capital modeling.

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6. The InsurTech Landscape: More than 50 start-up companies offering data, analytics and technology to the insurance sector enter the market every month.  While this dynamic is welcome news for an industry that is rapidly adapting to the digital economy, it also creates the challenge of identifying the ’right’ technology that would fit each business.

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7. Developments in the Data Privacy Regulatory Landscape: The recently enacted European Union (EU) General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR), the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) Model Law and the New York State Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) Cybersecurity Act all address data privacy (the personal information of individuals) and data protection (using such personal information for business objectives), but from different perspectives.

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8. Guy Carpenter Partners with RPC Consulting to Deliver Powerful Analytic Platform to the (Re)insurance Industry: Guy Carpenter announced a multi-year, global strategic partnership with Reynolds Porter Chamberlain Consulting LLP (RPCC) to license and develop proprietary applications to run within RPCC’s Tyche software. As part of the agreement, Guy Carpenter will have exclusive access to Tyche among all insurance and reinsurance brokers, as well as certain other parties in the industry.

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9. FEMA Expands Reinsurance Initiative - “FloodSmart Re” the First Cat Bond to Ultimately Benefit a Federal Agency: The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) announced its August 1, 2018 reinsurance placement for the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP). For the first time, FEMA has secured reinsurance ultimately backed by capital markets investors, continuing efforts to better manage the NFIP’s financial risk.

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10. Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2018.

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August 1st, 2018

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: July 2018

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Chart: The Cyber Insurance Matrix Explained: Chart examines the policy coverage matrix between cyber and property lines of insurance coverage.

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2. Guy Carpenter Appoints President and Head of South East Asia and Korea: Guy Carpenter announced the appointment of Bengt Johnsen as President and Head of the South East Asia and Korea (SEAK) region, effective Jan. 18, 2019. He will succeed Richard Jones, who was promoted to Chairman of the Asia Pacific region in August 2017. Mr. Johnsen will be based in Singapore and will report to Tony Gallagher, CEO of Asia Pacific.

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3. Guy Carpenter to Host Scientific and Engineering Expo to Launch New InsurTech Advisory Offering Developed with Numerati® Partners LLC: Guy Carpenter announced the August 9, 2018 launch event for its InsurTech Alliance – a cost effective, state of the art and insurer-focused suite of capabilities to help carriers evaluate new innovations in the areas of data, analytics and digital technology-based products and solutions.

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4. Chart: Top Ten Catastrophe Bond Transactions In 2017: The table lists the top ten catastrophe bond transactions that were completed in 2017.

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5. Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2018.

View the chart >>

6. The Insurtech Landscape: More than 50 start-up companies offering data, analytics and technology to the insurance sector enter the market every month.  While this dynamic is welcome news for an industry that is rapidly adapting to the digital economy, it also creates the challenge of identifying the ’right’ technology that would fit each business.

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7. Guy Carpenter Advises Gothaer on the Transfer of Its Gothaer Re Run-off portfolio: Guy Carpenter announced that it acted as the sole transactional advisor on the successful transfer of the reinsurance portfolio of Gothaer Group (Gothaer) which has been in run-off since Gothaer Re ceased trading in 2004.

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8. Claims in the Technology Era: Employing technology to streamline claims may be a strategy for profitable growth for insurers as clients seek more innovation in this arena.

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9. Trends in Terror Cover: Hospitality and gaming companies, on average, allocated the largest share of their property insurance programs to terrorism coverage in 2017.

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10. Aging Population and Automation: Which Nations Face High Risk: The specific countries that face a high risk of automation of jobs held by older workers also tend to have projections for a rapidly aging population, according to the study The Twin Threats of Aging and Automation by Marsh & McLennan Companies.

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July 2nd, 2018

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: June 2018

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Guide to Cyber Coverage Options: Cyber Risk Management: Response and Recovery, the new report from Marsh & McLennan’s Global Risk Center and WomenCorporateDirectors, includes a Guide to Cyber Coverage Options.

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2. Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2018.

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3. Standalone Terrorism Insurance Remains Competitive: Unlike coverage under the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act (TRIPRA), which is normally made available within annual “all-risk” property policies, a standalone property terrorism insurance policy does not require the government to certify an act of terrorism in order for a claim to be paid.

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4. Volcanic Eruptions: A Complex and Largely Overlooked Risk: Volcanic eruptions are complex phenomena that may affect populations and economies in ways we may not be familiar with.

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5. GC Securities Acts as Sole Structurer and Bookrunner on the First Ever Cat Bond Issued Under the New UK Risk Transformation Legislation: GC Securities announced the placement of USD 300,000,000 Series 2018 Principal At-Risk Variable Rate Notes through a newly formed insurance special purpose vehicle domiciled in the United Kingdom, Atlas Capital UK 2018 PLC, to benefit SCOR.

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6. Threat Trends on Major Cyber Attacks in 2017: The Marsh & McLennan Companies Cyber Risk Handbook 2018 is published.

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7. Better Quantifying Cyber Exposure Will Help Determine Risk Finance Needs: As evidenced by the millions of dollars potentially at stake in a cyber event, financing to help an organization recover from a cyber-attack is more important than ever, with serving insurance a key part of the equation.

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8. A Heightened Focus on Cyber Response and Recovery: Over a third of directors of U.S. public companies now discuss cybersecurity at every board meeting. Cyber risks are being driven onto the agenda by high-profile data breaches, distributed denial of services (DDoS) attacks and rising ransomware and cyber extortion attacks.

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9. Guy Carpenter Extends Capital Markets Expertise with Hire of President and Global Leader, GC Securities, Capital Markets: Guy Carpenter named Shiv Kumar as President and Global Leader of GC Securities, Capital Markets. Mr. Kumar was previously Global Head of Insurance Structured Finance at Goldman, Sachs & Co. His 23 years of experience in the (re)insurance sector and capital markets will enhance GC Securities’ ability to identify and execute convergence capital solutions that help clients manage risk.

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10. Directors Risk Survey Report 2018: Guy Carpenter sister company Marsh has introduced its annual Director Risk Survey Report, done in conjunction with the Institute of Directors. The results reflect changes in the evolving local and global risk landscapes - with cyber, IT, talent attraction and retention and the loss of a key person just some of the risks highlighted.

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*Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities LLC, a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities LLC, MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product.

June 5th, 2018

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: May 2018

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2018.

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2. Guy Carpenter Licenses First-of-its-Kind Cyber Risk Modeling Platform From CyberCube Following Strategic Alliance: Guy Carpenter & Company today announced that its two year strategic relationship with CyberCube Analytics, formerly part of Symantec Corporation, has produced the industry’s first cyber risk modeling platform with an inside-out view of cyber risk exposure.

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3. The 2017 Hurricane Season Was Among the Top-Ten-Most-Active, But Was Not Entirely Unprecedented: As the 2018 hurricane season approaches, we take a look back at the 2017 season. It was among the top-ten most-active seasons in recorded history since 1900 for the North Atlantic Basin.

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4. Terrorism Risk Modeling Poses Challenges: Terrorism risk modeling methods have been continually updated since leading modeling companies AIR Worldwide and Risk Management Solutions released their first terrorism models in 2002.

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5. 2018 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: Seasonal outlook providers continue to issue early predictions for the 2018 North Atlantic hurricane season.

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6. Guy Carpenter Bermuda Promotes Jenni Rowntree Estis to Head of Operations: Guy Carpenter today announced that Bermudian Jenni Rowntree Estis has been promoted to the role of Head of Operations, Senior Vice President, Broking.

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7. Building for Resilience: How to Avoid a Catastrophe Model Failure: Since commercial catastrophe (CAT) models were first introduced in the 1980s, they have evolved as new scientific discoveries and claims insights emerged.

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8. United States Reinsurance Capacity for Terrorism: In 2017, according to Guy Carpenter, the combined property and workers compensation private conventional-only terrorism reinsurance capacity was estimated to be USD 2.5 billion per cedent program. Reinsurance capacity for coverage that includes Nuclear, Biological, Chemical and Radiological, especially in Tier 1 cities and central business districts, has become increasingly challenging to secure over the past two years due to the accumulated aggregate constraints of some markets and is estimated to range between USD 500 million and USD 1 billion per program.

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9. Internet of Things: Building Cyber Resilience in a Connected World: The Internet of Things (IoT) is driving huge advances in organizational efficiency, reinventing the customer experience and spurring business innovation and opportunities. But the explosion of IoT devices is also dramatically changing the cyber risk landscape, creating new product vulnerabilities and system exposures for organizations that make or deploy them.

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10. Wearables, Drones and the Internet of Things: The Next Wave of Workplace Safety and Claims Mitigation: The advent of connected devices and the Internet of Things (IoT) is opening exciting new doors in the insurance industry. The auto liability market has transformed from one in which underwriting relied on proxy variables such as driving history, demographics and credit scores to one in which telematics and real-time, personalized driving statistics inform risk assessment.

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