Posts Tagged ‘Month in Review’



October 2nd, 2017

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: September, 2017

Posted at 4:00 AM ET

1. Hurricane Irma: Hurricane Irma was a large and destructive storm that rendered impacts to most of the Southeast United States including the Florida Keys as well as areas of the Caribbean. Impacts for areas of the Northern Leeward Islands and the Virgin Islands, as well as northern Cuba have been especially severe. For the United States, the most severe impacts have been in the Florida Keys due to both wind and storm surge, with flood impacts as far away as coastal Georgia and northeast Florida. Wind impacts extend from Tennessee to the Carolinas to Florida. At least 67 fatalities have been reported.

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2. Hurricane Harvey: Following initial landfall, Hurricane Harvey continued to meander over southeast Texas while weakening to tropical storm status due to land interaction. Harvey then briefly emerged over the Gulf of Mexico before turning to the northeast and making a third landfall near Cameron, Louisiana, early Wednesday morning as a tropical storm. Harvey has since continued to move to the north-northeast and weakened further due to land interaction and dry air. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) downgraded Harvey from tropical storm to tropical depression status at 8 p.m. EDT on August 30, and discontinued tropical storm warnings at that time.

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3. Chart: Return On Equity for Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, First Half, 2017: Chart presents return on equity for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2006 through first half, 2017.

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4. New Vehicle Matches the Right Capital to Risk: A new Marsh & McLennan vehicle provides unparalleled support in accessing long-term capital markets-based protection; a broader and more diverse range of capital sources brings better matching, more efficient solutions customized to the unique risk profile of clients; and the vehicle provides a standardized documentation process and single point of access, in an efficient and cost-effective manner.

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5. Excess Capacity in This Year’s Florida Market: The Florida peninsula is the most important market for property reinsurance in the world. Each summer, the third most populous state in the union braces itself for another Atlantic hurricane season. In Florida’s esoteric insurance market, insurers buy reinsurance protection at the beginning of June each year.

Read the article>>


6. Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives in the United States: The Market for Mortgage Credit Risk (Re)insurance: The global financial crisis of 2008 exposed the U.S. mortgage industry, taxpayers, and the global capital markets to the loss potential of residential mortgage credit risk.

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7. Chart: Source Of Earnings for Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, First Half, 2017: Chart presents source of earnings for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite for first half 2017 compared to first half 2016.

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8. Industry Must Develop Common Cyber Risk Currency: Data integrity and availability is as critical as data confidentiality; limited ability to quantify dependency is a major cyber inhibitor; and the challenge is to build a clearly differentiated cyber portfolio.

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9. GC Securities and Marsh Captive Solutions Introduce Cerulean Re: GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities LLC, a U.S. registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC, announced the establishment of Cerulean Re SAC Ltd. (Cerulean), a private syndicated collateralized reinsurance platform and Bermuda registered segregated account company (SAC) and licensed special purpose insurer.

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10. Run-off Specialists Are Gearing Up For Increased Flows: Challenging markets and active capital management are encouraging carriers to proactively consider reserve solutions; a competitive market for acquisition of run-off assets has broadened; and new entrants are forming in anticipation of increased flows of legacy business.

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* Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities LLC, a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities LLC, MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product.

September 5th, 2017

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: August, 2017

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Hurricane Harvey: Following initial landfall, Hurricane Harvey continued to meander over southeast Texas while weakening to tropical storm status due to land interaction. Harvey then briefly emerged over the Gulf of Mexico before turning to the northeast and making a third landfall near Cameron, Louisiana, early Wednesday morning as a tropical storm. Harvey has since continued to move to the north-northeast and weakened further due to land interaction and dry air. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) downgraded Harvey from tropical storm to tropical depression status at 8 p.m. EDT on August 30, and discontinued tropical storm warnings at that time.

Read the article>>


2. The Insurance of Things & Industry 4.0 - A Matrix View: Technological progress and the accumulation of assets have not only stimulated the development of insurance products; they have in turn been nurtured by the availability of these offerings.

Read the article>>


3. Cat Modelling Challenges in Europe: 2016 marked the 60th year of the Monte Carlo Rendez-Vous. Since the first event in 1957 the insurance world has changed significantly, with economic and insured losses from natural catastrophes such as floods and hurricanes increasing dramatically.

Read the article>>


4. Factors Contributing to the Gap Between Economic and Insured Losses: The factors that contribute to the gap between economic and insured losses.

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5. Insurtech in China: Revolutionizing the Insurance Industry: China’s capital markets aren’t yet mature enough to support financial innovation; meanwhile, existing state-owned financial institutions are not reforming quickly enough. This gap in supply has provided opportunities for Chinese fintech players - who are being supported by rapidly growing online ecosystems and a tech-savvy population - in diverse fields ranging from investing to payments.

Read the article>>


6. Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives in Europe/Middle East/Africa: On a global basis, approximately 70 percent of the economic loss caused by natural catastrophe events is not covered by insurance. This gap, the cost of uninsured events, frequently falls on governments through disaster relief, welfare payments and infrastructure repair and rebuilding. The ultimate cost of these responses causes a strain on public balance sheets and an increase in public debt, ultimately burdening taxpayers. The protection gap is increasing in emerging economies especially where the amount of natural catastrophe economic loss covered by insurance dropped from 25 percent in 2002 to approximately eight percent in 2014.

Read the article>>


7. GC Securities Completes First Listed P&C Cat Bond Issued by World Bank International Bank for Reconstruction & Development’s Capital-at-Risk Program: GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities LLC, a U.S. registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC, today announced the placement of a catastrophe bond benefitting the government of Mexico’s Fund for Natural Disasters (FONDEN). The $360,000,000, three-class catastrophe bond is issued by the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (”World Bank” or “IBRD”), and represents the first listed property and catastrophe bond issued under its Capital-at-Risk notes program.

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8. Guy Carpenter Announces Senior Promotions in Asia Pacific: Guy Carpenter & Company today announced that Tony Gallagher has been appointed CEO of the Asia Pacific Region, with immediate effect. In addition, Richard Jones has been promoted to Chairman of the Region.

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9. China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS): The China Insurance Regulatory Commission (CIRC) is instituting sweeping changes through its three-tiered China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS) framework that will dramatically impact how (re)insurers conduct business. It will strengthen capital requirements, risk management and transparency disclosures - bringing China in line with, and in some cases overtaking, global standards. The C-ROSS framework is similar to Solvency II: three tiers focusing on quantitative, qualitative and disclosure requirements.

Read the article>>


10. Increasing External Demands Compel Companies to Improve Risk Management Disclosures: Guy Carpenter released its latest Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) Benchmark Review, providing an in-depth analysis of risk management practices and policies of 67 insurance and reinsurance companies located in Europe, United States, Bermuda, and Asia-Pacific. Based on publicly-available data from financial and risk reports, Guy Carpenter’s ERM Benchmark Review reveals that most (re)insurers are managing capital with metric-based frameworks and are publishing more about their risk management targets than seen in Guy Carpenter’s 2009 analysis.

Read the article>>


Click here to register to receive e-mail updates >>


* Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities LLC, a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities LLC, MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product.

August 1st, 2017

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: July, 2017

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Excess Capacity in This Year’s Florida Market: The Florida peninsula is the most important market for property reinsurance in the world. Each summer, the third most populous state in the union braces itself for another Atlantic hurricane season. In Florida’s esoteric insurance market, insurers buy reinsurance protection at the beginning of June each year.

Read the article>>


2. Chart: Return On Equity For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, Q1 2017: Chart presents return on equity for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2006 through first quarter, 2017.

Read the article>>


3. Chart: Combined Ratio For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, Q1 2017: Chart presents combined ratio for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2006 through first quarter, 2017.

Read the article>>


4. Managing Catastrophe Model Uncertainty, Issues and Challenges: Here we repeat our series authored by John Major, which focuses on the issues and challenges in managing catastrophe model uncertainty.

Read the article>>


5. New Study Identifies Winners in Growing Insurtech Space: A new report from consulting firm Oliver Wyman and insurtech investor Policen Direkt analyzes insurtech business models worldwide and pinpoints winners and losers.

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6. Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre Publishes New Annual Report: The report, covering the Centre’s activities during 2016, is divided into five sections.

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7. Chart: The Matrix of Cyber and Property Lines Insurance Coverage: Chart examines the policy coverage matrix between cyber and property lines of insurance coverage. Below shows how the four types of subject matter (columns A-D) are generally covered by direct policies, relative to the various types of cyber and property perils (rows 1-5). Where cover is predominantly provided by property or cyber, the relevant icon is shown in blue. Where there is a degree of ambiguity, or coverage is limited, the icon is shown in gray.

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8. Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives - Pandemic Risk: Public entities’ use of capital markets-based risk transfer capacity for the assumption of natural disaster losses, such as the cost of emergency relief and infrastructure and property damage has demonstrated success in de-risking public sector balance sheets. Capital markets innovators are beginning to leverage the outcomes achieved in the natural disaster sphere to other types of public sector severity losses, notably pandemic diseases. The capital markets may help fund resources to rapidly contain the spread of a pandemic, share the burden of associated medical expenses and/or manage the financial impact of the higher mortality rates.

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9. GC Securities* Completes First Ever Indemnity Triggered Multi-Europe Peril Only 144A Catastrophe Bond for Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A.: GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities LLC, a U.S. registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC, announced the placement of Principal At-Risk Variable Rate Notes, with notional principal at €200,000,000, through a newly formed special purpose vehicle domiciled in Ireland, Lion II Re DAC, to benefit Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A., an Italian insurance company and the parent company of the Generali Group. This is the third time that Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. has utilized the insurance-linked securities market and is the first ever 144A cat bond to provide indemnity protection against multiple Europe perils.

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10. Disruptive Forces Redefining the Role of Insurance: Fundamental disruptive forces are driving monumental changes in the global economy at an unprecedented rate. These forces compel the (re)insurance industry to adjust to the new reality and capitalize on the opportunities created.

Read the article>>


Click here to register to receive e-mail updates >>


*Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities LLC, a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities LLC, MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product.

July 3rd, 2017

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: June, 2017

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Industry Must Act to Avoid a “Kodak Moment”: In his first speech as Lloyd’s new chairman, Bruce Carnegie-Brown said the insurance industry must do more to change and innovate or run the risk of being disrupted by external players.

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2. Guy Carpenter Sees Market Shift Towards Core Model Strategy: Insurers and reinsurers are increasingly adopting a core model strategy based around a detailed assessment of its capabilities, instead of the multi-model or blended approach as investment in modeling capabilities comes under pressure, says Matthew Eagle, Head of GC Analytics® - International at Guy Carpenter.

Read the article>>


3. Chart: The Matrix of Cyber and Property Lines Insurance Coverage: Chart examines the policy coverage matrix between cyber and property lines of insurance coverage. Below shows how the four types of subject matter (columns A-D) are generally covered by direct policies, relative to the various types of cyber and property perils (rows 1-5). Where cover is predominantly provided by property or cyber, the relevant icon is shown in blue. Where there is a degree of ambiguity, or coverage is limited, the icon is shown in gray.

Read the article>>


4. Insurers Must Digitalize to Meet Buyers’ Needs, Says Greenberg: The financial services industry - including insurance - will undergo massive change thanks to digitalization, Evan Greenberg, Chairman and CEO of Chubb Limited told MMC’s Young Professionals’ Global Forum.

Read the article>>


5. Analytics: Fueling Risk-Informed Decisions: Today’s rapidly changing global environment presents insurers with many challenges and opportunities as capital management and risk transfer techniques evolve at an unprecedented pace. Stakeholders, regulators and ratings agencies are deepening their focus on risk management practices, and revolutionary developments in technology, including the Internet of Things and hyper-connectivity, are driving companies to adapt to the challenges that senior management faces to support risk management decisions material to their business.

Read the article>>


6. Strategic Growth Analysis - The Guy Carpenter Approach: The changes in today’s property and casualty (P&C) insurance marketplace present insurers with many challenges to capital management and risk transfer techniques. Insurers are compelled to leverage their capital positions to increase and diversify their market shares to an unprecedented degree. Preserving the status quo is not an option for long-term viability. Profitable growth is a key priority for companies seeking additional return. Companies need to enter new lines of business or geographies strategically with proper analysis. Guy Carpenter offers proprietary analytical tools, intellectual capital and expertise to help companies determine and evaluate their growth plans while maintaining an acceptable level of risk and profitability.

Read the article>>


7. Marsh & McLennan Encourages the Industry’s Next Generation to Embrace Opportunities Created by Change: Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.’s Young Professionals’ Global Forum 2017 opened in London, with over 600 delegates attending the two-day event to hear from leading executives about the opportunities created by transformational changes impacting the insurance industry. Launched in 2013, this is the third year that MMC has sponsored this event which brings together insurance executives and the industry’s rising professionals.

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8. Expanding Range of Capital Sources Offers Benefits: Pricing declines continued in the insurance-linked securities (ILS) segment of alternative capital. In turn, this has prompted questions about the sustainability of lower pricing and capacity post-catastrophe event, suggesting that traditional reinsurers’ models and the traditional reinsurance and alternative capital mix of capital sources still need to evolve. Maintaining premium rate adequacy and stable capacity requires better access to the expanding sources of capital and awareness of the benefits of better risk syndication and segmentation, according to David Priebe, Vice Chairman at Guy Carpenter and Cory Anger, Global Head of ILS Origination and Structuring at GC Securities.

Read the article>>


9. Managing Catastrophe Model Uncertainty, Issues and Challenges: Here we repeat our series authored by John Major, which focuses on the issues and challenges in managing catastrophe model uncertainty.

Read the article>>


10. Chart: Where Do (Re)insurers See Biggest Growth Opportunities?: Chart highlights the result of a survey taken of 107 insurance and reinsurance professionals conducted by Guy Carpenter at the 2016 annual meeting of the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America when asked where they see the biggest growth opportunities.

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Click here to register to receive e-mail updates >>


*Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities LLC, a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities LLC, MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.


June 1st, 2017

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: May, 2017

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Chart: The Matrix of Cyber and Property Lines Insurance Coverage: Chart examines the policy coverage matrix between cyber and property lines of insurance coverage. Below shows how the four types of subject matter (columns A-D) are generally covered by direct policies, relative to the various types of cyber and property perils (rows 1-5). Where cover is predominantly provided by property or cyber, the relevant icon is shown in blue. Where there is a degree of ambiguity, or coverage is limited, the icon is shown in gray.

Read the article>>


2. Insurtech in China: Revolutionizing the Insurance Industry: China’s capital markets aren’t yet mature enough to support financial innovation; meanwhile, existing state-owned financial institutions are not reforming quickly enough. This gap in supply has provided opportunities for Chinese fintech players - who are being supported by rapidly growing online ecosystems and a tech-savvy population - in diverse fields ranging from investing to payments.

Read the article>>


3. Chart: Combined Ratio for Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, YE 2016: Chart presents combined ratio for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2005 through year-end 2016.

Read the article>>


4. Disruptive Forces Redefining the Role of Insurance: Fundamental disruptive forces are driving monumental changes in the global economy at an unprecedented rate. These forces compel the (re)insurance industry to adjust to the new reality and capitalize on the opportunities created.

Read the article>>


5. Guy Carpenter Sees Market Shift Towards Core Model Strategy: Insurers and reinsurers are increasingly adopting a core model strategy based around a detailed assessment of its capabilities, instead of the multi-model or blended approach as investment in modeling capabilities comes under pressure, says Matthew Eagle, Head of GC Analytics® - International at Guy Carpenter.

Read the article>>


6. Chart: Top Ten Catastrophe Bond Transactions for 2016: The table lists the top ten catastrophe bond transactions that were completed in 2016.

Read the article>>


7. Midwestern United States Flood/SCS Event, April 28 - May 4: A significant severe thunderstorm outbreak with heavy rainfall has affected areas from the Southern Plains to the Great Lakes and Northeast, with historic flooding in parts of the Central Mississippi Valley. Significant rainfall amounts of over ten inches occurred over saturated soils of the Central Mississippi Valley and surrounding watersheds. The rainfall produced historic flooding on some rivers, and the Mississippi River itself is expected to approach record flood stage at Cape Girardeau over the coming days. Flood impacts have been locally severe and include reports of property damage, numerous road closures, evacuations and water rescues.

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8. Evolving Risks Landscape: 2008-2017: Social and environmental risks have supplanted economic ones as issues of greatest concern among respondents to the Global Risks Perception Survey. The survey was completed by almost 750 members of the World Economic Forum’s global multistakeholder community and the results analyzed in the World Economic Forum 2017 Global Risks Report, which was published by the World Economic Forum with support from Marsh & McLennan Companies and other partners.

Read the article>>


9. Chart: Return on Premiums for Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, YE 2016: Chart presents return on premiums for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2005 through year-end 2016.

Read the article>>


10. Managing Catastrophe Model Uncertainty, Issues and Challenges: Here we repeat our series authored by John Major, which focuses on the issues and challenges in managing catastrophe model uncertainty.

Read the article>>


Click here to register to receive e-mail updates >>

May 1st, 2017

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: April, 2017

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1.  The Insurance of Things & Industry 4.0 - A Matrix View: Technological progress and the accumulation of assets have not only stimulated the development of insurance products; they have in turn been nurtured by the availability of these offerings.

Read the article>>


2. Measuring Cyber Aggregation Risk: Cyber risk is now an embedded feature of the global risk landscape, and preventative risk management and post-event remediation are gaining importance as shareholders, customers, supply chain partners, and regulators are increasingly focused on how companies are managing for cyber risks. Insurance is becoming an important piece of the strategy for helping businesses address these risks.

Read the article>>


3. Analytics: Fueling Risk-Informed Decisions: Today’s rapidly changing global environment presents insurers with many challenges and opportunities as capital management and risk transfer techniques evolve at an unprecedented pace. Stakeholders, regulators and ratings agencies are deepening their focus on risk management practices, and revolutionary developments in technology, including the Internet of Things and hyper-connectivity, are driving companies to adapt to the challenges that senior management faces to support risk management decisions material to their business.

Read the article>>


4. China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS): The China Insurance Regulatory Commission (CIRC) is instituting sweeping changes through its three-tiered China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS) framework that will dramatically impact how (re)insurers conduct business. It will strengthen capital requirements, risk management and transparency disclosures - bringing China in line with, and in some cases overtaking, global standards. The C-ROSS framework is similar to Solvency II: three tiers focusing on quantitative, qualitative and disclosure requirements.

Read the article>>


5. Assessing Insurers in a Period of Rapid Change: Insurance Equity Analyst Survey 2016: Guy Carpenter has collaborated with Mercer to survey insurance equity analysts to understand the possible objectives and aspirations of insurance company shareholders. Incorporating or at least considering the views of various stakeholders will be critical for insurers in ensuring that they are moving along the right path, especially in this uncertain environment.

Read the article>>


6. Chart: Source of Earnings for Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, YE 2016: Chart presents source of earnings for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite for year-end 2016 compared to year-end 2015.

Read the article>>


7. Guy Carpenter Reports Moderating Reinsurance Pricing Decline at January 1, 2017 Renewals: Guy Carpenter & Company reports the decline in reinsurance pricing moderated at the January 1, 2017 renewal across most classes of business and geographies, as compared to the past three renewal seasons.  Several sectors experienced increased loss activity, which had only a localized impact on pricing while capacity remained plentiful. After remaining fairly stable in 2015, dedicated reinsurance capital increased by 5 percent from January 1, 2016 to January 1, 2017 as calculated by Guy Carpenter and A.M. Best. The convergence capital segment increased by 10 percent.

Read the article>>


8. Public-Private Insurance Partnerships Bolster Latin American/Caribbean Resilience: Globally, three of the ten most costly natural disaster events in the last 35 years occurred in total or in part in the Latin America/Caribbean (LAC) region; losses from Hurricane Matthew in the Caribbean are still being assessed.

Read the article>>


9. Managing Catastrophe Model Uncertainty, Issues and Challenges: Here we repeat our series authored by John Major, which focuses on the issues and challenges in managing catastrophe model uncertainty.

Read the article>>


10. Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives in Europe/Middle East/Africa: On a global basis, approximately 70 percent of the economic loss caused by natural catastrophe events is not covered by insurance. This gap, the cost of uninsured events, frequently falls on governments through disaster relief, welfare payments and infrastructure repair and rebuilding. The ultimate cost of these responses causes a strain on public balance sheets and an increase in public debt, ultimately burdening taxpayers. The protection gap is increasing in emerging economies especially where the amount of natural catastrophe economic loss covered by insurance dropped from 25 percent in 2002 to approximately eight percent in 2014.

Read the article>>


Click here to register to receive e-mail updates >>

April 4th, 2017

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: March, 2017

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Disruptive Forces Redefining the Role of Insurance: Fundamental disruptive forces are driving monumental changes in the global economy at an unprecedented rate. These forces compel the (re)insurance industry to adjust to the new reality and capitalize on the opportunities created.

Read the article>>


2. Solvency II: Greater Risk-Driven Management: On January 1, 2016, the Solvency II regulatory regime took effect. Some celebrated; others were weary from the months and years of preparation.

Read the article>>


3. China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS): The China Insurance Regulatory Commission (CIRC) is instituting sweeping changes through its three-tiered China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS) framework that will dramatically impact how (re)insurers conduct business. It will strengthen capital requirements, risk management and transparency disclosures - bringing China in line with, and in some cases overtaking, global standards. The C-ROSS framework is similar to Solvency II: three tiers focusing on quantitative, qualitative and disclosure requirements.

Read the article>>


4. Cat Modelling Challenges in Europe: 2016 marked the 60th year of the Monte Carlo Rendez-Vous. Since the first event in 1957 the insurance world has changed significantly, with economic and insured losses from natural catastrophes such as floods and hurricanes increasing dramatically.

Read the article>>


5. Emerging Practices in Risk Tolerances: Insurers have long embraced the concept of risk tolerances. In some cases, the risk tolerances were expressly stated in a company’s enterprise risk management (ERM) policy document or in other cases exhibited in the course of normal operations.

Read the article>>


6. Strategic Growth Analysis - The Guy Carpenter Approach: The changes in today’s property and casualty (P&C) insurance marketplace present insurers with many challenges to capital management and risk transfer techniques. Insurers are compelled to leverage their capital positions to increase and diversify their market shares to an unprecedented degree. Preserving the status quo is not an option for long-term viability. Profitable growth is a key priority for companies seeking additional return. Companies need to enter new lines of business or geographies strategically with proper analysis. Guy Carpenter offers proprietary analytical tools, intellectual capital and expertise to help companies determine and evaluate their growth plans while maintaining an acceptable level of risk and profitability.

Read the article>>


7. Guy Carpenter Reports Moderating Reinsurance Pricing Decline at January 1, 2017 Renewals: Guy Carpenter & Company reports the decline in reinsurance pricing moderated at the January 1, 2017 renewal across most classes of business and geographies, as compared to the past three renewal seasons.  Several sectors experienced increased loss activity, which had only a localized impact on pricing while capacity remained plentiful. After remaining fairly stable in 2015, dedicated reinsurance capital increased by 5 percent from January 1, 2016 to January 1, 2017 as calculated by Guy Carpenter and A.M. Best. The convergence capital segment increased by 10 percent.

Read the article>>


8. Increasing External Demands Compel Companies to Improve Risk Management Disclosures: Guy Carpenter released its latest Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) Benchmark Review in 2014, providing an in-depth analysis of risk management practices and policies of 67 insurance and reinsurance companies located in Europe, United States, Bermuda, and Asia-Pacific. Based on publicly-available data from financial and risk reports, Guy Carpenter’s ERM Benchmark Review reveals that most (re)insurers are managing capital with metric-based frameworks and are publishing more about their risk management targets than seen in Guy Carpenter’s 2009 analysis.

Read the article>>


9. Chart: Solvency II Ratios as of End of H1 2016: Chart presents (re)insurers’ Solvency II ratios compiled by Guy Carpenter for the first half of 2016. Many companies publish their solvency ratios without being required to do so, and some others actually specify target solvency ratio ranges as part of their risk appetite and financial targets. Solvency ratios are another metric for investors to use when assessing the relative financial strength of companies - and (re)insurance buyers can do the same when assessing counterparty risk.

Read the article>>


10. Public-Private Insurance Partnerships Bolster Latin American/Caribbean Resilience: Globally, three of the ten most costly natural disaster events in the last 35 years occurred in total or in part in the Latin America/Caribbean (LAC) region; losses from Hurricane Matthew in the Caribbean are still being assessed.

Read the article>>


Click here to register to receive e-mail updates >>


*Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities LLC, a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities LLC, MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

March 1st, 2017

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: February, 2017

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Chart: Solvency II Ratios as of End of H1 2016: Chart presents (re)insurers’ Solvency II ratios compiled by Guy Carpenter for the first half of 2016. Many companies publish their solvency ratios without being required to do so, and some others actually specify target solvency ratio ranges as part of their risk appetite and financial targets. Solvency ratios are another metric for investors to use when assessing the relative financial strength of companies - and (re)insurance buyers can do the same when assessing counterparty risk.

Read the article>>


2. Guy Carpenter Reports Moderating Reinsurance Pricing Decline at January 1, 2017 Renewals: Guy Carpenter & Company reports the decline in reinsurance pricing moderated at the January 1, 2017 renewal across most classes of business and geographies, as compared to the past three renewal seasons. Several sectors experienced increased loss activity, which had only a localized impact on pricing while capacity remained plentiful. After remaining fairly stable in 2015, dedicated reinsurance capital increased by 5 percent from January 1, 2016 to January 1, 2017 as calculated by Guy Carpenter and A.M. Best. The convergence capital segment increased by 10 percent.

Read the article>>


3. Solvency II Equivalence in The International (Re)insurance Landscape: The concept of equivalence under Solvency II determines to what extent (re)insurance entities outside Europe can operate within the European Union (EU) while relying solely on their local solvency standards. The ability to operate in the EU is a significant issue that impacts multinational (re)insurance companies and groups.

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4. Evolving Risks Landscape: 2008-2017: Social and environmental risks have supplanted economic ones as issues of greatest concern among respondents to the Global Risks Perception Survey. The survey was completed by almost 750 members of the World Economic Forum’s global multistakeholder community and the results analyzed in the World Economic Forum 2017 Global Risks Report, which was published by the World Economic Forum with support from Marsh & McLennan Companies and other partners.

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5. The U.S. Financial and Professional Insurance Market in 2017: 10 Trends to Watch: From cyber risk to the changing regulatory landscape to increasing liability challenges for directors and officers, risks continue to evolve within the financial and professional liability insurance marketplace. What’s in store in the year ahead?

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6. Expanding Range of Capital Sources Offers Benefits: Pricing declines continued in the insurance-linked securities (ILS) segment of alternative capital. In turn, this has prompted questions about the sustainability of lower pricing and capacity post-catastrophe event, suggesting that traditional reinsurers’ models and the traditional reinsurance and alternative capital mix of capital sources still need to evolve. Maintaining premium rate adequacy and stable capacity requires better access to the expanding sources of capital and awareness of the benefits of better risk syndication and segmentation, according to David Priebe, Vice Chairman at Guy Carpenter and Cory Anger, Global Head of ILS Origination and Structuring at GC Securities.

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7. Chart: Top Ten Significant Insured Loss Events: 2016: The table lists the latest estimates for the top ten significant insured loss events for 2016.

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8. Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives - Terror Risk: The (re)insurance industry should look towards closing the gap between economic and insured terror losses.

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9. Managing Catastrophe Model Uncertainty, Issues and Challenges: Here we repeat our series authored by John Major, which focuses on the issues and challenges in managing catastrophe model uncertainty.

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10. Increasing External Demands Compel Companies to Improve Risk Management Disclosures: Guy Carpenter released its latest Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) Benchmark Review in 2014, providing an in-depth analysis of risk management practices and policies of 67 insurance and reinsurance companies located in Europe, United States, Bermuda, and Asia-Pacific. Based on publicly-available data from financial and risk reports, Guy Carpenter’s ERM Benchmark Review reveals that most (re)insurers are managing capital with metric-based frameworks and are publishing more about their risk management targets than seen in Guy Carpenter’s 2009 analysis.

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*Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities LLC, a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities LLC, MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

February 1st, 2017

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: January, 2017

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Guy Carpenter Reports Moderating Reinsurance Pricing Decline at January 1, 2017 Renewals: Guy Carpenter & Company reports the decline in reinsurance pricing moderated at the January 1, 2017 renewal across most classes of business and geographies, as compared to the past three renewal seasons. Several sectors experienced increased loss activity, which had only a localized impact on pricing while capacity remained plentiful. After remaining fairly stable in 2015, dedicated reinsurance capital increased by 5 percent from January 1, 2016 to January 1, 2017 as calculated by Guy Carpenter and A.M. Best. The convergence capital segment increased by 10 percent.

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2. Chart: Top Ten Significant Insured Loss Events: 2016: The table lists the latest estimates for the top ten significant insured loss events for 2016.

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3. Chart: Combined Ratio For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, Q3, 2016: Chart presents combined ratio for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2005 through third quarter, 2016.

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4. Global Risks Report 2017: The Global Risks Report 2017, produced by the World Economic Forum with support from Marsh & McLennan Companies and other partners, was published this week. Now in its twelfth edition, the report provides insights into the key global risks facing businesses as well as the collective view of risk experts in all sectors as to the most significant threats to global prosperity over the next decade. The Global Risks Report 2017 will inform discussions at the World Economic Forum’s annual meeting next week in Davos, Switzerland.

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5. Further Considerations on the Hurricane “Shield” Theory: A recent New York Times article titled “Conditions That Form More Hurricanes Also Protect U.S., Study Finds” notes a hurricane “shield” for the U.S. coast during busy hurricane seasons. The article, based on recent research by James Kossin, provides valuable insight, including some notes of caution from other experts in the field, but the observations should be treated with a moment of pause.

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6. Chart: Where Do (Re)insurers See Biggest Growth Opportunities?: Chart highlights the result of a survey taken of 107 insurance and reinsurance professionals conducted by Guy Carpenter at the 2016 annual meeting of the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America when asked where they see the biggest growth opportunities.

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7.  Managing Catastrophe Model Uncertainty, Issues and Challenges: Here we repeat our series authored by John Major, which focuses on the issues and challenges in managing catastrophe model uncertainty.

Read the article>>


8. China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS): The China Insurance Regulatory Commission (CIRC) is instituting sweeping changes through its three-tiered China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS) framework that will dramatically impact how (re)insurers conduct business. It will strengthen capital requirements, risk management and transparency disclosures - bringing China in line with, and in some cases overtaking, global standards. The C-ROSS framework is similar to Solvency II: three tiers focusing on quantitative, qualitative and disclosure requirements.

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9. Survey: Geopolitical Risk Is Now a Top Concern for Finance Professionals: Geopolitical risk is having a bigger impact on earnings than ever before - and senior management and boards are taking notice.

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10. Chart: The Matrix of Cyber and Property Lines Insurance Coverage: Chart examines the policy coverage matrix between cyber and property lines of insurance coverage. Below shows how the four types of subject matter (columns A-D) are generally covered by direct policies, relative to the various types of cyber and property perils (rows 1-5). Where cover is predominantly provided by property or cyber, the relevant icon is shown in blue. Where there is a degree of ambiguity, or coverage is limited, the icon is shown in gray.

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January 3rd, 2017

GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: December, 2016

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

1. Chart: Where Do (Re)insurers See Biggest Growth Opportunities?: Chart highlights the result of a survey taken of 107 insurance and reinsurance professionals conducted by Guy Carpenter at the 2016 annual meeting of the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America when asked where they see the biggest growth opportunities.

Read the article>>


2. Chart: The Matrix of Cyber and Property Lines Insurance Coverage: Chart examines the policy coverage matrix between cyber and property lines of insurance coverage. Below shows how the four types of subject matter (columns A-D) are generally covered by direct policies, relative to the various types of cyber and property perils (rows 1-5). Where cover is predominantly provided by property or cyber, the relevant icon is shown in blue. Where there is a degree of ambiguity, or coverage is limited, the icon is shown in gray.

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3. Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives in the United States: National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP): In September 2016, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) took the historic step of purchasing reinsurance for the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP).

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4. Increasing External Demands Compel Companies to Improve Risk Management Disclosures: Guy Carpenter released its latest Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) Benchmark Review in 2014, providing an in-depth analysis of risk management practices and policies of 67 insurance and reinsurance companies located in Europe, United States, Bermuda, and Asia-Pacific. Based on publicly-available data from financial and risk reports, Guy Carpenter’s ERM Benchmark Review reveals that most (re)insurers are managing capital with metric-based frameworks and are publishing more about their risk management targets than seen in Guy Carpenter’s 2009 analysis. Capital market, legislative, and regulatory influences, such as the approaching implementation of Solvency II, are expected to further compel company managements to better recognize and analyze the risks of their enterprises.

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5. Guy Carpenter Appoints James Nash President of New International Division: Guy Carpenter announced the appointment of James Nash to the newly-created role of President, International, subject to regulatory approval. Mr. Nash, who currently runs Guy Carpenter’s Asia Pacific operations, will continue reporting to Peter Hearn, President and CEO of Guy Carpenter, and will relocate to London.

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6. Managing Catastrophe Model Uncertainty, Issues and Challenges: Here we repeat our series authored by John Major, which focuses on the issues and challenges in managing catastrophe model uncertainty.

Read the article>>


7. Guy Carpenter Forms New Global Strategic Advisory Organization to Provide Clients with Enhanced Solutions: Guy Carpenter announced a newly-created Global Strategic Advisory organization comprised of its Advisory, Analytics, Structured Risk, M&A Advisory, Lloyd’s Capital, and Business Intelligence capabilities.

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8. MMC Cyber Risk Handbook 2016: Increasing Resilience in the Digital Economy: The Cyber Risk Handbook 2016 presents views from Marsh & McLennan’s cyber leaders and leading third-party experts with whom we collaborate on how companies can assess cyber risks, develop comprehensive strategies and align their people to bolster cyber risk management.

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9. Sevier County Wildfires: Wildfire activity has rendered severe impacts to areas of Sevier County, Tennessee including the Gatlinburg and Pigeon Forge areas. The fire activity began late Sunday on Chimney Tops Mountain as a 10 acre fire that grew at an extreme rate Monday evening due to strong, gusty winds. Wind gusts well in excess of 60 mph carried embers a considerable distance to start new fires in extremely dry vegetation from recent drought. Gusty winds also brought trees down onto powerlines sparking new fires in surrounding dry vegetation.

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10. China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS): The China Insurance Regulatory Commission (CIRC) is instituting sweeping changes through its three-tiered China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS) framework that will dramatically impact how (re)insurers conduct business. It will strengthen capital requirements, risk management and transparency disclosures - bringing China in line with, and in some cases overtaking, global standards. The C-ROSS framework is similar to Solvency II: three tiers focusing on quantitative, qualitative and disclosure requirements.

Read the article>>


Click here to register to receive e-mail updates >>