Nepal experienced a magnitude 7.8 earthquake on April 25, followed by two major aftershocks on April 25 and 26 of magnitude 6.6 and 6.7, respectively, according to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). Media reports indicate at least 5,582 fatalities, 11,200 injuries, and at least eight million people affected. Infrastructure and transportation routes have been severely disrupted and food and water shortages are of great concern. The USGS PAGER service estimates most probable economic losses between USD1 and USD10 billion. It is clear from media reports that impacts have been widespread and of excessive severity and our first thoughts and concerns are with the millions affected by this tragic event.
Posts Tagged ‘nat cat’
With the recent release of Guy Carpenter’s G-CAT® Canada flood model, we review earlier GC Capital Ideas stories on the flood peril:
Malaysia Floods: December 2014-January 2015: In response to demand for detailed maps showing the extent of flooding in December 2014 through January 2015, Guy Carpenter activated its CAT-VIEW℠ event response service to produce flood footprints based on unmanned airborne vehicles (UAV) imagery.
Guy Carpenter Publishes Flood Risks in Asia - A Detailed Study: Guy Carpenter released a new report titled Flood Risk in Asia - A Detailed Study. The report provides an in-depth study of the flood potential in Asia along with the prevention and protection systems in place.
Guy Carpenter Launches Satellite-based Catastrophe Evaluation Service: Guy Carpenter launched its new satellite-based catastrophe evaluation service, GC CAT-VIEW℠, with the announcement that it has started using the service to provide clients affected by the recent UK floods with initial insured loss estimates.
The Americas accounted for 57 percent of global losses in 2014, compared to 48 percent in 2013, 87 percent in 2012 and 26 percent in 2011. Man-made incidents included the explosion of an unmanned supply rocket in October in Virginia, the October crash of the Virgin Galactic spaceship in California and the Chevron Phillips refinery fire in Texas in July.
Asia and Australasia endured their share of both natural and man-made catastrophes in 2014 with 23 percent of estimated global insured losses in 2014. Notable events in the region included the disappearance of Malaysian Airlines Flight 370 in the first quarter and the crash of AirAsia Flight 8501 near Indonesia in December.
Insured losses for the regions encompassing Europe, the Middle East and Africa accounted for around 21 percent of global insured losses in 2014. The most significant events included the severe convective outbreak (hail and windstorm Ela) that affected areas including Germany, France, Belgium and Austria. A frontal boundary crossing the area initiated severe thunderstorms and supercells. The thunderstorms inflicted damaging wind gusts and hail over a widespread area with reports of hail exceeding seven centimeters (2.8 inches) in diameter and isolated reports of hailstones as large as 12 centimeters (4.7 inches).(1) Estimated insured losses from this event were around USD2.8 billion.(2)
Notable insured losses in 2014 included the February snowstorms in Japan, frequent winter storms affecting Europe, flooding in the United Kingdom and a cold, stormy winter in the eastern half of North America. The arrival of spring in the second quarter produced several severe convective outbreaks in the United States and hail and windstorm Ela in Europe. A busy East-Pacific hurricane season brought Hurricane Odile to the Baja Peninsula. In the West Pacific, Typhoon Rammasun affected China, Vietnam and the Philippines.
2014 was a quiet year, with significant insured losses totaling around USD33 billion. Insured losses were below the ten-year and five-year moving averages of around USD59 billion and USD56 billion, respectively (see graphs below).
Guy Carpenter today released a new scenario risk report titled Tsunami Risk from Magnitude 9.4 Earthquake in Manila Trench. The report provides an in-depth study of the tsunami risk from a moment magnitude 9.4 earthquake along the Manila Trench, including the Hong Kong area, Taiwan, Kota Kinabalu, Macau, Manila and Vietnam. Among the regions studied in the report, the worst case scenario predicts the highest risks in southwest Taiwan, specifically up to 4 meters at the Port of Kaohsiung, Taiwan’s principal port and the sixth largest container port in the world.