Posts Tagged ‘Property’



December 17th, 2014

Guy Carpenter Launches MetaRisk® Reserve™ 4.0

Posted at 5:30 AM ET

Guy Carpenter announced today the launch of MetaRisk Reserve 4.0TM. The latest version of this powerful reserve risk modeling tool delivers improved statistical models and an enhanced user interface.

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December 4th, 2014

Casualty Catastrophe Risk Modeling: Part II

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Casualty catastrophe occurrences have become increasingly common over the past decade. The recent 2008 financial catastrophe is the easiest to cite, due to its sheer size and the fact that it continues to unfold even today. But, there have been many others. The collapse of the “dotcom economy” led to scandals around initial public offering laddering and equity analyst conflicts of interest. Accounting firms were not alone in suffering financial loss related to such debacles as Enron, WorldCom, Tyco and Adelphia. While insured losses did not reach those of property catastrophes, economic damages were profound. Enron’s loss of USD66 billion in market capitalization alone - not including the economic damage caused to other companies - was more than double that of Hurricane Ike (approximately USD30 billion). The financial catastrophe is estimated to have caused economic damage of above USD1 trillion, with more likely to follow. When considered in the context of the Deepwater Horizon industrial accident, the casualty catastrophe that unraveled from the largest US offshore energy event over the past 40 years was by no means remote. Beyond the initial property loss of the actual drilling rig, liability risk in paying claims continues to extend and ripple throughout the supply chain involved as well as the environmental impact to numerous coastal and commercial businesses. Asbestos litigation, perhaps the longest casualty catastrophe on record, has paid out over USD70 billion and by some accounts may be entering its third wave. Therefore, asbestos is an emerging crystalizing risk that needs to be continuously monitored, measured and modeled for those who continue to be exposed to it.

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December 3rd, 2014

Casualty Catastrophe Risk Modeling: Part I

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Casualty (or liability based) catastrophes have become increasingly frequent and severe over the past decade, exposing (re)insurers to much more risk than they may have realized and reserved for. One root cause can trigger a chain reaction that can bleed balance sheets and even imperil solvency. Until recently, casualty carriers had little choice but to accept this risk as losses emerged.

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December 2nd, 2014

Emerging Risk: RMS Global Probabilistic Terrorism Model

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Risk Management Solutions (RMS) released an updated Probabilistic Terrorism Model (PTM) in July 2012, version 3.1.2. The new model revised the annual frequency of a terrorist attack on US soil. No updates were made to geographies outside the United States.

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November 26th, 2014

Emerging Risk: AIR US Terrorism Model

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

AIR implemented significant model updates in version 13 of CLASIC/2TM, released in 2011. The updates impacted hazard components such as the target and landmark database, event frequency estimates and exposure and policy conditions.

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November 25th, 2014

Emerging Risk: Commercial Terrorism Models

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The catastrophe modeling companies have regularly updated their terrorism models over the years to reflect the changing threat landscape and help (re)insurers and other market participants perform robust terrorism risk assessments. Such updated products from RMS and AIR include:

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November 24th, 2014

Modeling Terrorism

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Modeling methodologies for terrorism have been continually refined and updated since the three major modeling companies - AIR Worldwide (AIR), EQECAT and Risk Management Solutions (RMS) - released their first terrorism models in 2002. Quantifying the economic, insured and human losses from a terrorist attack continues to pose major challenges for (re)insurers and alternative capacity providers. There are three main techniques to model terrorism risk:

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November 6th, 2014

Chart: Combined Ratio for Guy Carpenter Composite, H1 2014

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Chart presents combined ratio for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2004 through first half, 2014.

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November 5th, 2014

Chart: Return On Equity For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, H1 2014

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Chart presents return on equity for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2004 through first half, 2014.

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November 5th, 2014

Chart: Return on Revenue For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, H1 2014

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Chart presents return on revenue for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2004 through first half, 2014.

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