Posts Tagged ‘Property’



April 17th, 2014

ERM Benchmark Review Update 2013

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we bring together the GC Capital Ideas four part Enterprise Risk Management Update story for 2013:

ERM Benchmark Review, 2013 Update: Part I: In April and October 2009, Guy Carpenter published two briefings titled “Risk Profile, Appetite and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness.” This briefing is an update of those studies that summarizes the information publicly disclosed on enterprise risk management (ERM) measures.

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ERM Benchmark Review, 2013 Update: Part II: Before focusing on the results of the latest study, we would like to reaffirm the definition of risk profile, risk appetite and risk tolerance found in our previous publications.

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ERM Benchmark Review, 2013 Update: Part III: The table quantifies the proportion of companies in the sample that disclose the method as well as the specific level of various risk quantifications. Compared to our previous ERM benchmark study, a new metric referring to catastrophe risk has been added. Taking advantage of the increased level of disclosure and transparency on catastrophe risk exposure, we have extended our reports to include this in view of its importance in the economic capital approach of (re)insurers.

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ERM Benchmark Review, 2013 Update: Part IV: Capital management using risk-based capital models and capital allocation is a central component of risk management practices. We have investigated this topic as a new chapter for our 2013 ERM Benchmark update. In this context, the table shows the portion of companies that publish concrete data on their excess capital - the amount of capital retained in excess of a certain target amount. The table also shows both the portion of companies using risk-based capital models in the risk management process and the portion giving some indication of the methodology of the capital allocation process.

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April 16th, 2014

Reinsurance Renewals in 2014

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

As we complete the April 1, 2014 reinsurance renewal, we review the GC Capital Ideas renewal stories of 2014. 

January 1, 2014 Renewals Bring Downward Pressure on Pricing: Guy Carpenter reports that reinsurance rates-on-line fell at the January 1, 2014 renewal in nearly all classes and regions. According to Guy Carpenter’s 2014 global renewal report, strong balance sheets, relatively low loss experiences and an unprecedented influx of convergence capital spurred competition and innovation at renewal. These factors led in turn to surplus capacity across most business segments as competition spilled beyond property catastrophe lines.

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April Renewals Bring Price Reductions & Focus on Tailored Coverage: Guy Carpenter reports that the April 1, 2014 renewal was marked by price reductions and more tailored reinsurance coverage. Strong balance sheets, an abundance of capacity and a consolidation of buying led to lower reinsurance pricing across most territories and business segments at the renewal.

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April 14th, 2014

10 Most Popular Chart Room Entries

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we review one of GC Capital Ideas more viewed categories, the Chart Room, with the top 10 most popular stories viewed since March 1st:

 

1. Chart: 2013 Catastrophe Bond Transactions: This table lists the 144A property/casualty catastrophe bond transactions that were completed in 2013.

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2. Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line index is presented for 1990 through 2014.  The index fell by 11 percent at January 1, 2014.

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3. Chart: Risk Capital Outstanding: Risk capital outstanding for property/casualty catastrophe bonds for the period 1997 to 2013.

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4. Chart: Risk Capital Issued by Quarter: Property/casualty catastrophe bonds issuance in the period 1997 to 2013.

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5. Chart: Rate Movements by Business Segment: Reports rate movements at January 1, 2014.

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6. Chart: Regional Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The chart shows the indexes for United States, United Kingdom, Asia Pacific and Europe.

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7. Chart: Chile Holds Spot on Most Expensive Earthquakes for Insurers: In light of the April 1 magnitude 8.2 earthquake in Chile, we highlight a spring 2013 GC Capital Ideas table ranking the most expensive earthquakes for insurers. A seismic event in 2010 put the South American nation on that list.

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8. Chart: Significant Insured Losses: Reports insured losses from natural disasters and man-made disasters, 2011 to 2013.

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9. Chart: Global Catastrophe Insured Losses: Chart presents individual measures for natural catastrophes versus man-made catastrophes, 1970 to 2013.

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10. Chart: Top Ten Catastrophe Bond Transactions: The chart ranks deals in 2013, as compiled by GC Securities*, a division of MMC Securities Corporation.

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*Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

April 10th, 2014

GC Capital Ideas Reviews Climate Change After New IPCC Report

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

In light of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) latest report, Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability, released on Monday, March 31, here is a review of recent GC Capital Ideas stories focused on climate change.

Responding to Climate Change:  It is vital for (re)insurers to consider how climate change could impact future losses. Global warming potentially poses a serious financial threat to the insurance industry with implications for catastrophe risk perception, pricing and modeling assumptions.

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Climate Change: A Look into the Future: Global climate models project a best estimate of a further two to four degree (Celsius) increase in the mean temperature of the Earth by the end of this century. Although this may seem insignificant on an intuitive level, the resulting impacts are of significant concern. Sea-level rise is the most significant threat for coastal areas as a result of melting glaciers. Apart from this threat, changing weather patterns will result in drought and inland flood threats for some areas. As a general principle of climate change, changes to the mean of meteorological extreme value distributions can be expected but an increase in tail thickness (or variability) is of greater concern. The day-to-day variability that we see today will likely expand.

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The Reality of Global Warming: The increase in the global mean air temperature, as compared to the 1951-1980 average and the surge in average oceanic heat content for the 0-700 meter layer is depicted in these graphics. The increase in oceanic heat content in particular is notable as it takes a very large amount of energy to heat such a volume of water.

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Global Warming: Adaptation Measures: The IPCC publications represent scientific consensus among many of the world’s top scientists (and scientific consensus is difficult to achieve). Their findings are generally consistent with the broader scientific literature.

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Global Warming: Losses: Economic losses resulting from natural disasters increased from USD75.5 Billion in the 1960s to USD659.9 Billion in the 1990s. Insured losses have also increased, and “the dominant signal is of significant increase in the values of exposure.” Furthermore, the IPCC states that “failure to adjust for time-variant economic factors yields loss amounts that are not directly comparable and a pronounced upward trend for purely economic reasons.”

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Global Warming: The Evolving Risk Landscape: Global warming is an established scientific fact, and one that cannot be explained by statistical “noise” or natural variability alone. The single greatest threat under global warming is that of sea-level rise, which is expected to increase coastal flood frequency and severity under tropical cyclone, extratropical cyclone and tsunami events. The growing urban footprint and population density in coastal areas amplifies the financial and societal implications of such events.

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April 9th, 2014

April Renewals Bring Price Reductions & Focus on Tailored Coverage

Posted at 11:30 PM ET

Guy Carpenter  reports that the April 1, 2014 renewal was marked by price reductions and more tailored reinsurance coverage. Strong balance sheets, an abundance of capacity and a consolidation of buying led to lower reinsurance pricing across most territories and business segments at the renewal.

Continue reading…

April 9th, 2014

Chart: Chile Holds Spot on Most Expensive Earthquakes for Insurers

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

In light of last week’s 8.2 magnitude earthquake in Chile we highlight a spring 2013 GC Capital Ideas table ranking the most expensive earthquakes for insurers. A seismic event in 2010 put the South American nation on that list.

As reported in GC Analytics’ CAT-i report, a full assessment of the scope and severity of the impacts of the recent quake has yet to emerge, but initial reports do not indicate damage of exceptional severity to resilient structures. At least six fatalities have been reported. It also created a tsunami wave of 6.9 feet, which produced tsunami warnings as far away as Hawaii, Japan and Indonesia.

fivetop-eq

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April 3rd, 2014

ERM Benchmark Review, 2013 Update: Part IV

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Capital Management

Capital management using risk-based capital models and capital allocation is a central component of risk management practices. We have investigated this topic as a new chapter for our 2013 ERM Benchmark update. In this context, Table 3 shows the portion of companies that publish concrete data on their excess capital - the amount of capital retained in excess of a certain target amount. Table 3 also shows both the portion of companies using risk-based capital models in the risk management process and the portion giving some indication of the methodology of the capital allocation process.

Continue reading…

April 2nd, 2014

8.2Mw Earthquake Near Chile Coast

Posted at 2:56 PM ET

chile-eq-2014smallAn 8.2-magnitude earthquake was reported by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) about 40 miles off the northern coast of Chile yesterday evening. More than 60 aftershocks were reported following the initial event, one of which was measured of magnitude 6.2. Shaking was felt as far away as La Paz Bolivia, over 290 miles (470 km) away.

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April 2nd, 2014

ERM Benchmark Review, 2013 Update: Part III

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Risk Types

Table 1 (below) quantifies the proportion of companies in the sample that disclose the method as well as the specific level of various risk quantifications. Compared to our previous ERM benchmark study, a new metric referring to catastrophe risk has been added. Taking advantage of the increased level of disclosure and transparency on catastrophe risk exposure, we have extended our reports to include this in view of its importance in the economic capital approach of (re)insurers.

Continue reading…

April 1st, 2014

ERM Benchmark Review, 2013 Update: Part II

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

2013 Update General Observations

Before focusing on the results of the latest study, we would like to reaffirm the definition of risk profile, risk appetite and risk tolerance found in our previous publications:

Continue reading…