Hurricane Odile made a direct hit to the Southern end of the Baja Peninsula, Mexico, Sunday night, with impacts of great severity. Maximum sustained winds at landfall were 125 mph, a Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). Odile is now a tropical storm and poses an ongoing threat of wind, surge and especially heavy rain. The wind impacts of Odile include severe to complete damage to hundreds of homes, with severe damage to hotels and the Los Cabos airport. Downed trees and power lines are widespread, and power outages have affected at least 200,000. According to the NHC, Odile is tied with Olivia, which struck in 1967, as the strongest hurricane to make landfall in the state of Baja California Sur.
Posts Tagged ‘Property’
The major rating agencies covering the reinsurance sector (A.M. Best, S&P, Moody’s, Fitch) have all voiced concerns with the industry’s ability to adjust to the seemingly overwhelming headwinds currently facing the sector. With A.M. Best recently changing its outlook, the view of the reinsurance sector across the rating agencies is now unanimously negative.
Alex Moczarski, President and CEO, Guy Carpenter and Chairman, Marsh & McLennan Companies International, provides concluding remarks at the Guy Carpenter press briefing at the Monte Carlo Rendez-Vous in this GC Capital Ideas videocast. He said “The focus for many in the industry continues to be on the deflationary effect of excess capital. This can lead to negative introspection or just waiting for the ‘big one’ to strike. Such passivity won’t do. We must take the initiative. For a broker, this means constant innovation, anticipation of clients’ needs and delivering the best solutions.
GC Videocast - Rendez-Vous Press Briefing 2014 (James Nash) Asia Pacific Sees Increased Understanding and Quantification of Catastrophe Risk
James Nash, CEO of Asia-Pacific Operations, Guy Carpenter, considered the potential that existed in Asia-Pacific. “It is a blend of mature and emerging markets,” he said, “full of opportunities and challenges, and it requires all market participants to have a broad and diverse set of skills and offerings.” He continued: “As regulation develops across the region, and insurers are open to a wider array of modelling options by vendor and peril, we are seeing an increase in the understanding and quantification of the catastrophe risk in the region. This in turn leads to more transparent risk and capital management decision-making,” but, “at this stage the majority of alternative capital activity remains in the mature markets of Japan and Australia.”
GC Videocast - Rendez-Vous Press Briefing 2014 (Nick Frankland) Centralization of the Reinsurance Buying Process in EMEA
Nick Frankland, CEO of EMEA operations, Guy Carpenter, reviewed developments in EMEA, where newer capital is yet to have a significant impact. He described the region as “a mature, stable market saturated with existing capacity and clients tending towards buying less reinsurance.” This approach to purchasing he said reflected the continuing centralization of the buying process. “Groups are taking a longer-term and more strategic rather than short-term tactical approach,” he stated. “This in turn has seen a smaller number of reinsurers selected as long-term strategic partners.” Opportunities for growth in such an environment however still remain, he said. “Future growth for a reinsurance broker demands a thoughtful, strategic, analytical and intellectual value offering above and beyond traditional structuring and placing.”
Focusing on the continuing supply of capacity from new sources, David Priebe, Vice Chairman, Guy Carpenter and Head of GC Securities, said: “Guy Carpenter estimates that the global property catastrophe limit exceeds US$300bn, with non-traditional reinsurance in the form of catastrophe bonds, collateralized reinsurance and industry loss warranties increasing from 14 percent last year to an estimated 16 percent this year. This is double the 8 percent of 2008.” Investor interest in such structures, he added, remained high during the period. “Strong investor demand meant placements were routinely over-subscribed, often by multiples of the targeted size.”
Alex Moczarski, President and Chief Executive Officer, Guy Carpenter & Company, and Chairman, Marsh & McLennan Companies International, introduces the Guy Carpenter press briefing at the Monte Carlo Rendez-Vous in this GC Capital Ideas videocast.
Marsh & McLennan Companies (MMC), the parent company of Guy Carpenter, strongly supports the reauthorization and modernization of the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act (TRIPRA). MMC and Guy Carpenter consider the Act to be a model public-private partnership that has provided affordable and widely available terrorism cover. Thankfully, thus far, the federal government has not made any payments under Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA) and its successors. Non-renewal or a major change in the program would almost certainly affect existing TRIPRA coverage, standalone terrorism pricing and TRIPRA captive programs. In addition, the workers compensation market would be severely impacted from a capacity, availability and pricing basis.
In 2012, there were over 850 insurers participating in the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act (TRIPRA), writing over USD183 billion in premiums. Using the current 20 percent deductible requirement of TRIPRA and policyholder surplus as a filter, Guy Carpenter found that the smaller to mid-sized insurance carriers would be most affected should there be an increase in the deductible of any program that replaces TRIPRA (see table below). Without TRIPRA, insurers with less than USD300 million in surplus would likely need to incorporate additional private reinsurance market capacity to protect their capital and to satisfy rating agencies and regulators.
Guy Carpenter today released Part One of a two-part series report detailing a ten-year retrospective on the 2004 and 2005 Atlantic Hurricane Seasons - two landmark years that were not only significant for their weather events, but for their lasting effects on the (re)insurance industry. The report examines the meteorological conditions that contributed to the weather activity characterizing both hurricane seasons, as well as the impact on underwriting and claims adjusting practices, cat modeling, and the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund (FHCF).