Guy Carpenter hosted “The Reinsurance Industry of the Future,” the Reinsurance Symposium held in Baden-Baden, Germany on October 19. A distinguished line-up of industry luminaries expressed their views on whether the current changes impacting the reinsurance sector are permanent and structural in nature, are a tactical response to short-term conditions, or are part of the normal evolutionary process.
Posts Tagged ‘Reins Markets’
Massimo Reina, CEO, Continental Europe & MENA, Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC
It should come as no surprise that there is a general trend among larger cedents to centralize reinsurance buying decisions and retentions and to bundle homogeneous products. This has become possible with the improvement of available portfolio data. This practice has some obvious advantages for buyers, such as reduced spend, reduced administration, improved control over counter-party credit risks and, possibly, retention of additional profits that would otherwise be ceded to reinsurers.
Here we review a recent series of GC Capital Ideas Videocast interviews with a panel of experts from the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region.
GC Videocast - MENA Insights: Nick Frankland, CEO, Guy Carpenter’s EMEA Operations: Welcome to the beginning of a new series of video interviews with an esteemed panel of experts from the MENA region. The MENA Insights interviews, conducted by Guy Carpenter, offer a snapshot of how (re)insurance in MENA is developing and the many opportunities for (re)insurers.
GC Videocast - MENA Insights: Dr. Cherif Chentir, Chief Underwriting Officer from SCOR SE: In our first MENA Insights interview, Dr. Cherif Chentir, Chief Underwriting Officer, Middle East, South Eastern Europe, Greece, Cyprus, Malta, SCOR SE, talks about the mega-projects taking place in the region and his belief that insurance penetration can only move in one direction. He looks back over his long career and charts the development of a market that has changed beyond all recognition.
GC Videocast - MENA Insights: Michael Watson, Chairman and CEO, Canopius: In our second MENA Insights interview, Michael Watson, chairman and chief executive of Canopius, talks about how the MENA region has all the right ingredients for a growth-minded reinsurer, reveals what he thinks of Lloyd’s decision to open an office in the DIFC and why Canopius is considering establishing its own presence in the region.
GC Videocast - MENA Insights: Fadi AbuNahl, Chief Executive, Trust Re: In our third MENA Insights interview Fadi AbuNahl, chief executive of Trust Re, describes how the MENA (re)insurance market has developed in recent years and what has prompted greater risk retention within the underlying market. He thinks there is plenty of reinsurance premium to go around but cautions against competing on price alone.
GC Videocast - MENA Insights: Mahomed Akoob, Managing Director, Hannover Re Takaful: In our fourth MENA Insights interview Mahomed Akoob, managing director of Hannover Re Takaful, considers the huge potential of the Takaful and Retakaful market in the region, which he thinks could grow at a faster pace than Asia. Islamic finance is driving much of the demand for Shariah compliant insurance coverage to be taken out for major infrastructure projects.
GC Videocast - MENA Insights Speaks To Guy Carpenter’s Chris Pleasant: In our fifth and final MENA Insights interview, Chris Pleasant, Managing Director of Guy Carpenter, offers an upbeat vision of the future. While the current soft market presents challenges, it belies the greater (re)insurance opportunity ahead. As local insurance markets mature and the approach to reinsurance buying becomes more sophisticated, MENA will enter the next chapter of growth.
Cory Anger, Global Head of ILS Structuring, GC Securities
The influx of new capital into the (re)insurance industry constitutes the largest change to the sector’s capital structure in recent memory. Over the past 24 months, approximately USD20 billion of new capital has entered the market through investments in insurance-linked securities (ILS), funds and sidecars as well as the formation of hedge fund-related reinsurance companies and collateralized reinsurance vehicles.
The major rating agencies covering the reinsurance sector (A.M. Best, S&P, Moody’s, Fitch) have all voiced concerns with the industry’s ability to adjust to the seemingly overwhelming headwinds currently facing the sector. With A.M. Best recently changing its outlook, the view of the reinsurance sector across the rating agencies is now unanimously negative.
GC Videocast - Rendez-Vous Press Briefing 2014 (Nick Frankland) Centralization of the Reinsurance Buying Process in EMEA
Nick Frankland, CEO of EMEA operations, Guy Carpenter, reviewed developments in EMEA, where newer capital is yet to have a significant impact. He described the region as “a mature, stable market saturated with existing capacity and clients tending towards buying less reinsurance.” This approach to purchasing he said reflected the continuing centralization of the buying process. “Groups are taking a longer-term and more strategic rather than short-term tactical approach,” he stated. “This in turn has seen a smaller number of reinsurers selected as long-term strategic partners.” Opportunities for growth in such an environment however still remain, he said. “Future growth for a reinsurance broker demands a thoughtful, strategic, analytical and intellectual value offering above and beyond traditional structuring and placing.”
Alex Moczarski, President and Chief Executive Officer, Guy Carpenter & Company, and Chairman, Marsh & McLennan Companies International, introduces the Guy Carpenter press briefing at the Monte Carlo Rendez-Vous in this GC Capital Ideas videocast.
In 2012, there were over 850 insurers participating in the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act (TRIPRA), writing over USD183 billion in premiums. Using the current 20 percent deductible requirement of TRIPRA and policyholder surplus as a filter, Guy Carpenter found that the smaller to mid-sized insurance carriers would be most affected should there be an increase in the deductible of any program that replaces TRIPRA (see table below). Without TRIPRA, insurers with less than USD300 million in surplus would likely need to incorporate additional private reinsurance market capacity to protect their capital and to satisfy rating agencies and regulators.
Guy Carpenter today released Part One of a two-part series report detailing a ten-year retrospective on the 2004 and 2005 Atlantic Hurricane Seasons - two landmark years that were not only significant for their weather events, but for their lasting effects on the (re)insurance industry. The report examines the meteorological conditions that contributed to the weather activity characterizing both hurricane seasons, as well as the impact on underwriting and claims adjusting practices, cat modeling, and the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund (FHCF).
Despite this increase in terrorism market capacity, it is not sufficient on its own to provide comprehensive terrorism cover in the United States. According to a Guy Carpenter (re)insurance capital study, dedicated global capital to the US (re)insurance market is estimated to be approximately USD700 billion (1). Catastrophe models that produce nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological (NBCR) event scenarios estimate losses from a large nuclear attack in Manhattan (at greater than USD900 billion) would likely exceed the total amount of capital in the US market (see figure below). The study consequently concludes that the (re)insurance sector does not have the capital necessary to withstand such a scenario. Some form of federal backstop is therefore needed if the private (re)insurance market is to continue to provide capacity to higher risk areas.