The average balance of payments in Indonesian reinsurance transactions over the past five years has been in a deficit of IDR5.65 trillion (USD455 million) per year. This has been a point of frustration for the Indonesian government. As such, the Indonesia Financial Services Authority (OJK) has instructed insurers to retain more risk and to reinsure more business with domestic reinsurers, including the recently-formed state reinsurer, Indonesia Re, to “improve and optimize capacity in the country.” The OJK has also encouraged all domestic reinsurers to obtain an international rating in order to improve competitiveness with foreign reinsurers. However, it is anticipated that high cessions to other unrated, domestic companies will increase credit risk charges and pressure capital adequacy ratios.
Posts Tagged ‘reinsurance rates’
From one of GC Capital Ideas’ more popular categories, we highlight the top Chart Room stories viewed during the year of 2015:
1. Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index 1990 to 2015: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2015.
2. Q1 Cat Bond Issuance Reaches Historic Volume: Chart presents the 144A P&C catastrophe bond issuance from 1998 through the first quarter of 2015. The first quarter is particularly active in terms of issuance for the P&C cat bond market and this characteristic continued into 2015 as USD1.49 billion of 144A P&C cat bond limit was successfully placed with investors, the highest first quarter volume in history.
3. Return On Equity For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, Q1 2015: Chart presents return on equity for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2004 through first quarter 2015.
4. Combined Ratio For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, Q3 2015: Chart presents combined ratio for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2004 through third quarter 2015.
5. Private Cat Bond Market, First Half, 2015: Chart shows the private catastrophe bond market with USD 753.1 million of limit placed in rule 4(2) private placement format via fifteen transactions in the first six months of 2015. The 2015 year-to-date volume exceeded total full-year issuance in 2014 of USD 561.5 million.
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The chart shows the indexes for United States, United Kingdom, Asia Pacific and Europe.
The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2016.
Disruptive Forces to M&A Activity: Alternative Capital Directly Supporting Increased Market Competition
The flow of alternative capital into the reinsurance markets has been sustained and substantial. The growth of this capital, coming from a number of sources, including fund managers and sidecars, has been a staggering 22 percent - compounding since 2008 and accelerating to 34 percent during the period 2012 to 2014. There was a consequent rate softening, mostly felt within the reinsurance landscape, particularly in short tail lines. The softening then trickled down into the specialty insurance classes.
The reality is that many external forces continually disrupt the impact on merger & acquisition (M&A) activity of the insurance pricing cycle. This is especially true in recent years as insurance markets are influenced by wider financial conditions, new investors, globalization and the benefits of healthy profits despite a prolonged period of rate softening. These disruptive forces provide both positive and negative contributions to the M&A-conducive market conditions resulting from the current stage in the insurance cycle.
Challenging market conditions due to abundant capacity, the ongoing influx of new capital and limited loss experience, continue to put pressure on the reinsurance sector, while recent M&A activity is adding a new dynamic to the mix. This is according to the panel of speakers at the eighth annual press briefing held at the Reinsurance Rendez-Vous 2015 in Monte Carlo, by Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC, a leading global risk and reinsurance specialist and a wholly owned subsidiary of Marsh & McLennan Companies.
Assessing the impact of the continuing influx of capital into the reinsurance sector, David Priebe, Vice Chairman, Guy Carpenter, commented on ILS pricing levels. He said: “We believe current price levels for ILS could be a ‘golden compromise’ in which protection buyers perceive good value for fixed-price multi-year cover and investors continue to broaden and diversify their portfolio of holdings. With costs of issue falling and time-to-market shortening, this equilibrium could provide a substantial boost to the market that the record issuance of early 2015 portends.”