Posts Tagged ‘risk managment’



December 12th, 2018

14 Shades of Risks: Navigating the Risk Landscape in Asia-Pacific

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

14shades_thumbnailThe Asia-Pacific region (APAC) has become the world’s primary driver of global economic growth.

While often referred to as one economic bloc, the Asia-Pacific region is home to countries and territories that are vastly different from each other in terms of demographics, economic development stages, political institutions and cultures. This regional heterogeneity translates to a diversified set of risk concerns in different countries and territories.

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October 3rd, 2018

Cybersecurity Awareness

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

On the start of the 15th Cybersecurity Awareness Month, GC Capital Ideas has collected our recent articles that offer insights into this very critical risk. Cyber risk and security will remain a top priority for the foreseeable future. In addition to hackers and cyber criminals continuously developing new methods of attack, state-sponsored cyber-attacks have occurred according to the U.S. government. Continue reading…

July 16th, 2018

In Risk Management ‘Tried’ Technology Has Staying Power

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Treasury and financial managers remain hesitant to try newer and more efficient risk management tools. A survey of finance professionals found that 97 percent use spreadsheets to manage risk while only 28 percent believe they are efficient risk management tools; this according to the 2018 Association for Financial Professionals (AFP) Risk Survey, which was produced in collaboration with Marsh & McLennan Companies Global Risk Center. Continue reading…

May 7th, 2015

Reinsurance Versus Subordinate Debt: Which is Best for Solvency Capital?

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

matt-day-headshot-sm5ross-milburn-pic-128x149smallMatthew Day, Senior Vice President, Guy Carpenter Strategic Advisory and Ross Milburn, Managing Director, GC Securities*, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd., which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority

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Here we review how a holistic approach to managing solvency capital requirements can benefit insurers’ bottom line: 

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September 11th, 2013

Annuity Settlements Could Crystalize Into Sizeable Risk Margins

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

victoria-jenkinsspeed_morley_bioVictoria Jenkins, Managing Director, and Morley Speed, Managing Director

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For bodily injury claim settlements in Europe, the trend is shifting away from lump sums and towards annuity-type settlements, which come with risks related to longevity, inflation and hedging. Insurance companies with significant casualty business may see their risk profiles transform over time to be more like pensions funds - but without working members and with even longer lasting liabilities. While the insurance industry is beginning to understand the implications of this move to annuity settlements, it does not have a clear understanding of the implications for an increasingly important regulatory balance sheet metric: Risk Margin.

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March 27th, 2013

Profitable Growth Opportunities

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we present recent GC Capital Ideas stories focusing on profitable growth. 

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January 11th, 2012

Guy Carpenter: January 1, 2012, Renewals Reveal Shift in Industry Behavior

Posted at 7:00 AM ET

jan2012cover_gcci1The January 1, 2012, renewals saw a shift in industry behavior as both insurers and reinsurers implemented more sophisticated, customized approaches to risk assessment and mitigation, according to Guy Carpenter. In its 2012 global reinsurance outlook, Catastrophes, Cold Spots and Capital: Navigating for Success in a Transitioning Market, Guy Carpenter reported that reinsurers were in a position to undertake a major review of pricing and underwriting going into the renewal season. This led to significant market fragmentation and increased market volatility at January 1.

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January 2nd, 2012

Top GC Capital Ideas Stories on Reserves

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here we review the top GC Capital Ideas stories that have covered reserves in the last year.

MetaRisk® ReserveTM: How to Get Ahead of the Reserving Cycle: The impact of claims inflation on eroding returns is among the most vexing challenges that insurers face. Getting ahead of the reserving cycle would be a significant competitive advantage, but many carriers do not have the right tools at their disposal. As a result, the ability to hit target return on equity (ROE) levels is put at risk, and firm value hangs in the balance.

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Reserving Cycle Analysis Suggests Tightening Ahead: In recent years there has been a steady stream of reserve releases from insurers, which helped support financial results in the face of a weakening market and significant catastrophe losses. Heading into 2012, Guy Carpenter’s analysis of the reserving cycle suggests that the tide may be turning, and we may be heading into a period of reserve shortfalls.

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Guy Carpenter Publishes First Industry Risk Benchmarks Report: Guy Carpenter announced publication of its first Industry Risk Benchmarks report, which provides risk benchmarks for loss ratios and reserves, by line of business, for coefficient of variation (standard deviation/mean), correlation and cycles.

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Workers Compensation Reserve Risk Development: The Cat That May Be Lurking in Your Balance Sheet: Sudden natural disasters such as the tragic Tohoku earthquake in March are not the only catastrophes that can impact insurers’ balance sheets and policyholder surplus. Such well publicized natural catastrophes only account for about 10 percent of insurers’ notable capital and surplus impairments triggering regulatory action and concern. Of the remaining 90 percent, by far the single largest cause of impairments over the past 40 years (1969-2009) emanated from inadequate pricing and deficient loss reserves - resulting in approximately 40 percent of the cases.

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Chart: Property & Casualty Accident Year Reserve Development: Accident year loss experience is beginning to show signs of lower reserve margins. The chart below shows U.S. P&C industry reserve development by accident year since 2000. The reserving cycle is evident in the graph with adverse accident year loss development during the “soft market” years of 2000 and 2001 and favorable development between 2003 and 2007. The orange line in the graph shows the average initial loss ratio pick. The old reserving adage that “good years get better and bad years get worse” appears to be borne out here.

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Chart: Sustainability of Loss Reserves: Historically, one of the “big cats” has been sector under-reserving, which served as the backdrop for the last hard market. Over the last four years, reserve releases have featured prominently in the reinsurance sector and have continued to do so up until the third quarter of 2010. The chart below shows the contribution to reserve releases on the Guy Carpenter Bermuda Reinsurance Composite combined ratios from 2005. It is notable that the benefit from reserve releases has ticked up in the first nine months of 2010 by one full percentage point, to 8.8 points on the loss ratio. This has occurred during a year when many projected reserve releases would diminish.

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Chart: Incurred But Not Reported Levels a Measure of Reserving Trends: A clue which could point to a shift in reserving trends may be evident in U.S. P&C industry percentage of first year incurred but not reported (IBNR) figures, which, all else equal, is a measure of reserving conservatism. In the chart below, a trend of potentially diminishing conservatism can be seen. It is significant that the industry is, in aggregate, back to levels of around 30 percent - levels previously seen in the last soft market.

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March 17th, 2011

Succeeding Under Solvency II: Pillar One, Capital Requirements; Part III - Conclusion

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Challenges and Opportunities

It is clear that Solvency II presents a host of challenges to (re)insurers. With a disciplined and thoughtful approach, many companies will see opportunities to lessen the impact - or even to improve their competitive stance in the industry. Below we explore in detail some of the key considerations, challenges and opportunities associated with Solvency II.

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