Posts Tagged ‘tropical cyclone’



August 4th, 2017

GC Securities Completes First Listed P&C Cat Bond Issued by World Bank International Bank for Reconstruction & Development’s Capital-at-Risk Program

Posted at 5:30 AM ET

GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities LLC, a U.S. registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC, today announced the placement of a catastrophe bond benefitting the government of Mexico’s Fund for Natural Disasters (FONDEN). The $360,000,000, three-class catastrophe bond is issued by the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (”World Bank” or “IBRD”), and represents the first listed property and catastrophe bond issued under its Capital-at-Risk notes program.

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July 24th, 2017

Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre Publishes New Annual Report

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

gcacic_advThe report, covering the Centre’s activities during 2016, is divided into five sections.

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June 28th, 2017

North Atlantic Basin Tropical Storm Outlook for 2017: Normal to Above Average: Part II: Factors Influencing 2017 Forecasts

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

El Niño Southern Oscillation

The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a phenomenon of shifting sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) in the Tropical East Pacific. The warm phase, or “El Niño,” is related to elevated wind shear in the Tropical Atlantic Basin, which disrupts tropical cyclone formation, usually with a reduction in hurricane counts for the Atlantic Basin. The cool phase, or “La Niña,” is related to elevated hurricane counts in the Atlantic Basin due to reduced wind shear.

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June 27th, 2017

North Atlantic Basin Tropical Storm Outlook for 2017: Normal to Above Average: Part I

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

As hurricane season begins in the North Atlantic Basin, several agencies have produced seasonal outlooks of 2017 tropical activity including the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), The Weather Company (TWC/IBM) and Dr. Phil Klotzbach of Colorado State University (CSU) (1). These seasonal outlooks give a sense of overall expected activity for the basin at large but do not estimate the number of landfalls. These agencies stress the need for readiness for a landfalling hurricane, as with any hurricane season.

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January 18th, 2017

Public Sector Risk Financing Perspectives in Latin America: Part I

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

aidan-pope-headshot-smAidan Pope, Managing Director

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Globally, three of the ten most costly natural disaster events in the last 35 years occurred in total or in part in the Latin America/Caribbean region (1). As the region’s population, urbanization and gross domestic product concentration continues to grow, the effects of climate volatility are likely to further increase the impact of natural perils losses on economies that are already struggling. We are just now assessing the losses from Hurricane Matthew in the Caribbean. The ultimate costs of these catastrophe event responses causes a strain on public balance sheets and an increase in public debt, ultimately burdening taxpayers.

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January 17th, 2017

Further Considerations on the Hurricane “Shield” Theory

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

james-wallerJames Waller, Ph.D, Research Meteorologist

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A recent New York Times article titled “Conditions That Form More Hurricanes Also Protect U.S., Study Finds” (1) notes a hurricane “shield” for the U.S. coast during busy hurricane seasons. The article, based on recent research by James Kossin, (2) provides valuable insight, including some notes of caution from other experts in the field, but the observations should be treated with a moment of pause. Some key points to consider:

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January 16th, 2017

Chart: Top Ten Significant Insured Loss Events: 2016

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

The table lists the latest estimates for the top ten significant insured loss events for 2016.

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January 12th, 2017

GC Capital Ideas Top CAT-i Stories: 2016

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

Here is a look back at the top CAT-i stories for the year 2016.

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November 10th, 2016

Asia Pacific Catastrophe Report 2016: Executive Summary: Post-El Niño: Part II

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

bromo-volcano-east-java-indonesia-smIn June, the Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre (GCACIC) and the School of Energy and Environment, City University of Hong Kong, released the 2016 predictions for tropical cyclone formations and landfalls. The predictions were for the period from May through October for three regions:

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November 9th, 2016

Asia Pacific Catastrophe Report 2016: Executive Summary: Post-El Niño: Part I

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

bromo-volcano-east-java-indonesia-smThe U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center predicts there is 55 percent to 60 percent chance that strong El Niño conditions will transition to La Niña conditions in the fall and winter of 2016-2017.(1) This kind of transition year has been observed four times since 1950 (1966, 1973, 1983 and 1998).

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