Posts Tagged ‘Waller (James)’



June 26th, 2018

North Atlantic Hurricane Season for 2018 – Near Normal But With Uncertainty

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

james-wallerJames Waller, PhD, Research Meteorologist

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With the 2018 North Atlantic hurricane season having commenced on June 1, seasonal outlook providers on both sides of the Atlantic continue to issue predictions. As with any hurricane season, each outlook provider emphasizes the need for proper preparation, since impactful hurricanes have been known to make landfall even during quiet years.

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May 3rd, 2018

2018 North Atlantic Hurricane Season; Part II

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

james-wallerJames Waller, PhD, Research Meteorologist

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Atlantic Sea-Surface Temperatures (SSTs)

Observed SSTs have been cooler than average for areas of the far northern and eastern Atlantic, as well as areas of the Gulf of Mexico. Meanwhile, some areas of the western Atlantic have been trending warmer than average. The pattern could well change over the coming months, but with all else being equal this indicates the potential for near-normal activity in the basin, and some potential for development of tropical storms or hurricanes adjacent to the mainland. Seasonal outlook providers have variable views on the influence for 2018 hurricane activity.

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May 2nd, 2018

2018 North Atlantic Hurricane Season; Part I

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

james-wallerJames Waller, PhD, Research Meteorologist

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Seasonal outlook providers continue to issue early predictions for the 2018 North Atlantic hurricane season. The Weather Company (IBM) is expecting a season of near-normal activity. Earlier this month, the Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University (CSU), predicted a season more in line with the 1995-2017 elevated average. Meanwhile, North Carolina State University (NCSU) issued a prediction for above-normal activity, relative to the 1995-2017 average.

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January 30th, 2018

Recent Articles from Guy Carpenter’s Research Meteorologist: James Waller, Ph.D

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

james-waller

Here we link to recent GC Capital Ideas posts from James Waller, Ph.D., Guy Carpenter’s Research Meteorologist.

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January 9th, 2018

2017 North Atlantic Hurricane Season

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

james-wallerJames Waller, PhD, Research Meteorologist

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The 2017 North Atlantic Hurricane season was one of the most active seasons on record, a historic season in many respects, and certainly an impactful one. Those most severely affected residents are facing a long and difficult recovery that could last for years. They continue to have our thoughts and concerns.

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January 17th, 2017

Further Considerations on the Hurricane “Shield” Theory

Posted at 1:00 AM ET

james-wallerJames Waller, Ph.D, Research Meteorologist

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A recent New York Times article titled “Conditions That Form More Hurricanes Also Protect U.S., Study Finds” (1) notes a hurricane “shield” for the U.S. coast during busy hurricane seasons. The article, based on recent research by James Kossin, (2) provides valuable insight, including some notes of caution from other experts in the field, but the observations should be treated with a moment of pause. Some key points to consider:

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March 21st, 2016

Guy Carpenter Cites El Niño and North Atlantic Oscillation as Key Climate Drivers in 2015

Posted at 11:30 PM ET

Guy Carpenter today reported that 2015 marked one of the strongest El Niño periods on record, while a positive phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) was evident both at the beginning and close of the year.

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October 26th, 2015

Guy Carpenter Examines U.S. Wildfire Risk

Posted at 3:15 AM ET

Guy Carpenter today released a new briefing that assesses wildfire risk in the United States. The briefing, U.S. Wildfire: An Ever Present Hazard, provides insight into the ongoing threat of wildfires in the U.S. as well as risk mitigation strategies and portfolio modeling for this peril.

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June 22nd, 2015

Guy Carpenter Releases 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season Briefing

Posted at 10:49 PM ET

Guy Carpenter today released a briefing on the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season. According to the report, hurricane activity for the Atlantic Basin is projected to be below average for the 2015 season although impactful landfalls can occur in any hurricane season, even those of reduced activity.

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