Posts Tagged ‘Week in Review’



March 27th, 2015

Week’s Top Stories: March 21 — 27, 2015

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

GC Strategic Advisory Update: Reinsurers Ratings Challenged with Negative Sector Outlook: The major rating agencies covering the reinsurance sector (A.M. Best, S&P, Moody’s, Fitch) have all voiced concerns with the industry’s ability to adjust to the seemingly overwhelming headwinds currently facing the sector. With A.M. Best recently changing its outlook, the view of the reinsurance sector across the rating agencies is now unanimously negative.

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Public Entities, Insurers of Last Resort and Compulsory Cat Pools and Disaster Facilities: The use of capital markets-based risk transfer capacity by public entities, insurers of last resort, and compulsory catastrophe pools and disaster facilities continues to expand. These deals included Turkey’s Turkish Catastrophe Insurance Pool, Mexico’s FONDEN and New Zealand’s EQC. Most large U.S. insurers of last resort, such as CEA, Citizens (FL), Citizens (LA), North Carolina Joint Underwriting Association and the North Carolina Insurance Underwriting Association (NCJUA/NCIUA), and Texas Windstorm Insurance Association, are utilizing capital markets capacity including collateralized reinsurance and catastrophe bonds.

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January 1, 2015 Renewals See Lower Pricing and Broader Coverage for Clients: As we approach the April 2015 reinsurance renewal, we look back at the Jan. 1 renewal.

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Modeling Beyond Property CAT Risk: Here we review recent GC Capital Idea stories on catastrophe models that focus on exposures beyond catastrophe property risk.

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Guy Carpenter Launches its Innovative Casualty Catastrophe Model: GC ForCas℠: Guy Carpenter announced the launch of GC ForCas℠, its new data-driven casualty catastrophe model.

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And, You May Have Missed…

2014 Cat Bond Pricing Normalizes in Q4: The continued influx of third party capital from new and existing market participants also favorably impacted insurance-linked securities (ILS) pricing for protection buyers. The continued low interest rate environment encouraged institutional investors (such as pension funds and hedge funds) to seek the higher yields offered by natural cat risk notes. As a result, sponsors took advantage of the opportunity to lock in attractive rate on line and essentially, hedge rate volatility.

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Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

March 20th, 2015

Week’s Top Stories: March 14 — 20, 2015

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

Guy Carpenter Launches its Innovative Casualty Catastrophe Model: GC ForCas℠: Guy Carpenter announced the launch of GC ForCas℠, its new data-driven casualty catastrophe model.

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The Insurance Risk Benchmarks Research: Insights for the Industry and the E&S Market: The Insurance Risk Benchmarks Research is an ongoing project sponsored by Guy Carpenter & Company and Oliver Wyman to assist property/casualty (P&C) companies with profiling enterprise risk. Articulating an individual company’s risk profile requires assessment of both absolute and relative financial uncertainties. The absolute uncertainties can ultimately be codified in an economic capital model, but robust review of relative historical performance invariably improves the codification of certain systemic risks.

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Guy Carpenter Publishes Scenario Risk Report for Asia Pacific Region: Guy Carpenter released a new scenario risk report titled Tsunami Risk from Magnitude 9.4 Earthquake in Manila Trench. The report provides an in-depth study of the tsunami risk from a moment magnitude 9.4 earthquake along the Manila Trench, including the Hong Kong area, Taiwan, Kota Kinabalu, Macau, Manila and Vietnam. Among the regions studied in the report, the worst case scenario predicts the highest risks in southwest Taiwan, specifically up to 4 meters at the Port of Kaohsiung, Taiwan’s principal port and the sixth largest container port in the world.

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Parametric CAT Derivatives to “Build Back Better”: Destruction caused by catastrophes often unfolds due to inadequate construction practices or land use planning. The likely response to these events is to strive to “build back better,” in part by addressing the mistakes of the past. Unfortunately, communities that embrace this challenge often find that they lack the financial resources for it and ambitious reconstruction projects lose momentum.

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Guy Carpenter Launches New Healthcare & Life Specialty Practice: Guy Carpenter announced the launch of its new US Healthcare & Life Specialty Practice which will focus exclusively on the unique needs of health providers and insurers in this evolving segment. The practice will consist of a team of more than 50 health, healthcare and life broking professionals and actuaries dedicated to helping clients develop and implement strategies to best underwrite and manage the unique risks of this expanding and specialized market.

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And, You May Have Missed…

Features of Collateral Structures: A collateralized reinsurance transaction is one in which a market creates a trust account at the inception of the contract term and funds the account in an amount equal to the contract limit (less certain deductions). This funding mechanism provides the client with readily accessible funds in the event of a loss that are segregated from the other assets of the market and remains available even if the market becomes insolvent. A collateralized reinsurance transaction also requires a pre-negotiated release of assets in the trust fund back to the market if there are no losses or if loss development is less than the contract limit.

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Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

March 13th, 2015

Week’s Top Stories: March 7 — 13, 2015

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

Reinsurers’ Capital Strategies: Here we review recent GC Capital Ideas stories focusing on (re)insurers’ capital strategies.

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Cyber-attacks: Mounting Concerns: Here we review recent GC Capital Ideas stories on mounting concerns over cyber-attacks.

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2015 Rate on Line Index Highlights: Here we highlight recent GC Capital Ideas Chart Room entries highlighting Guy Carpenter’s Rate on Line (ROL) Index at the 2015 renewal.

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Centralization of Reinsurance Buying: It should come as no surprise that there is a general trend among larger cedents to centralize reinsurance buying decisions and retentions and to bundle homogeneous products. This has become possible with the improvement of available portfolio data. This practice has some obvious advantages for buyers, such as reduced spend, reduced administration, improved control over counter-party credit risks and, possibly, retention of additional profits that would otherwise be ceded to reinsurers.

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A.M. Best’s New Analytics Will Broaden and Improve P&C Industry Capital Modeling and Benchmarking of Tolerances: A.M. Best’s rating analytics continue to evolve and the pace of change is accelerating as the industry embraces more analytical tools, emerging best practices, and peer benchmarking.

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And, You May Have Missed…

Chart: Significant Insured Losses - 2011 to YE 2014: Reports losses by quarter.

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March 6th, 2015

Week’s Top Stories: February 28 — March 6, 2015

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

2015 Rate on Line Index Highlights: Here we highlight recent GC Capital Ideas Chart Room entries highlighting Guy Carpenter’s Rate on Line (ROL) Index at the 2015 renewal.

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Reinsurance Sector Capital Position: Here we highlight recent GC Capital Ideas Chart Room entries highlighting the capital position of the reinsurance sector.

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Malaysia Floods: December 2014-January 2015: In response to demand for detailed maps showing the extent of flooding in December 2014 through January 2015, Guy Carpenter activated its CAT-VIEW℠ event response service to produce flood footprints based on unmanned airborne vehicles (UAV) imagery.

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2014 Insured Losses Hit Lowest Level in Five Years: Guy Carpenter released its annual Global Catastrophe Review, which reports that insured losses in 2014 were at the lowest level seen since 2009. According to the report, significant insured losses in 2014 totaled approximately USD33 billion, a dramatic drop when compared to the historic insured losses seen in 2011, which totaled approximately USD126 billion.

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Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness: Prior to the recent turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management (ERM) to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.

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And, You May Have Missed…

Managing Counterparty Risk: Guy Carpenter helps our clients manage the specific counterparty risk elements associated with collateralized markets. The credit analysis of collateralized markets is different than the analysis of a traditional reinsurer.

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February 27th, 2015

Week’s Top Stories: February 21 — 27, 2015

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

2014 Insured Losses Hit Lowest Level in Five Years: Guy Carpenter today released its annual Global Catastrophe Review, which reports that insured losses in 2014 were at the lowest level seen since 2009. According to the report, significant insured losses in 2014 totaled approximately USD33 billion, a dramatic drop when compared to the historic insured losses seen in 2011, which totaled approximately USD126 billion.

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Growth of Private Cat Bond Placements in 2014: In addition to 144A transactions, the fourth quarter was an active one for the private cat bond market (Regulation D, Regulation S and Rule (4(2)) securities offerings). The terms and conditions of such securities are typically confidential due to the private nature of the issuance, unless the sponsors or the placement agents publicize information about the transactions. As of December 31, 2014 approximately USD561.5 million of limit was transferred to the capital markets via 17 transactions. These figures represent a 210 percent increase in the notional amount of limit placed year-over-year, and a 183 percent increase in the number of transactions year-over-year.

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Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness:  Prior to the recent turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management (ERM) to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.

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January 1, 2015 Renewals See Lower Pricing and Broader Coverage for Clients: Guy Carpenter reports reinsurance pricing fell at the January 1, 2015 renewals in many segments, affecting almost all lines of business and geographies, continuing recent renewal trends.

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Guy Carpenter Appoints Matthew Eagle as Head of International Analytics: Guy Carpenter today announced the appointment of Matthew Eagle as Managing Director and Head of International Analytics for Guy Carpenter.

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And, You May Have Missed…

GC Videocast - Overview of the Benefits of Holistic Balance Sheet Management: In this installment of the Holistic Balance Sheet Management series, Russell Lee, Insurance Consultant, Mercer, shares his thoughts on how a holistic approach to capital management can benefit insurance companies in the face of challenging investment and underwriting conditions.

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Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

February 20th, 2015

Week’s Top Stories: February 14 — 20, 2015

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

Guy Carpenter Appoints Matthew Eagle as Head of International Analytics: Guy Carpenter announced the appointment of Matthew Eagle as Managing Director and Head of International Analytics for Guy Carpenter.

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Catastrophe Bond Update: Q4 2014 - Issuance Reaches Industry Full Year Record: After one of the slowest third quarters to date for 144A property and casualty (P&C) catastrophe bond issuance, the fourth quarter saw a flurry of activity that resulted in full year 144A P&C cat bond issuance exceeding USD8 billion - an industry record. Total risk capital outstanding as of December 31, 2014 equaled USD22.868 billion, the highest level of outstanding risk capital the market has ever supported.

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Chart: Top Ten Catastrophe Bond Transactions for 2014: The table lists the top ten catastrophe bond transactions that were completed in 2014.

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January 1, 2015 Renewals See Lower Pricing and Broader Coverage for Clients: Guy Carpenter reports reinsurance pricing fell at the January 1, 2015 renewals in many segments, affecting almost all lines of business and geographies, continuing recent renewal trends.

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Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness: Prior to the recent turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management (ERM) to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.

Read the article>>

 

And, You May Have Missed…

GC Videocast - Managing Volatility by Breaking Down Silos: In the third video of the Holistic Balance Sheet Management series, Andrew Cox, Capital Optimization, Guy Carpenter, and Niall Clifford, Financial Strategy Group, Mercer, give their overview on how increasing investment risk can introduce capital and earnings volatility.

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Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

February 13th, 2015

Week’s Top Stories: February 7 — 13, 2015

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

Capital Markets Developing Trends: Capital markets capacity continues to innovate as highlighted by the recent issuance of a catastrophe bond by the MTA. This issue, MetroCat, which came to market in July 2013, demonstrated the willingness of capital markets investors to assume storm surge and flood risk from named storms in a cost effective manner.

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Chart: Top Ten Catastrophe Bond Transactions for 2014: The table lists the top ten catastrophe bond transactions that were completed in 2014.

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2014 Catastrophe Bond Activity Ends on Record Note with More Innovative Bonds Expected in 2015, According to GC Securities* Report: GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a U.S. registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC, released a briefing and analysis of the record catastrophe bond activity for 2014 and expectations for the market in 2015.

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January 1, 2015 Renewals See Lower Pricing and Broader Coverage for Clients: Guy Carpenter reports reinsurance pricing fell at the January 1, 2015 renewals in many segments, affecting almost all lines of business and geographies, continuing recent renewal trends.

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Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness: Prior to the turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management (ERM) to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.

Read the article>>

 

And, You May Have Missed…

GC Videocast - Linking Risk Appetite to Strategy: In the second video in the Holistic Balance Sheet Management series, Andrew Cox, Capital Optimization, Guy Carpenter and Niall Clifford, Financial Strategy Group, Mercer, explore how companies should approach investment risk and the link between investment strategy, risk appetite and reinsurance strategy. A key focus for insurance companies should be to link their investment strategy with their risk appetite metrics. While any increase in return on capital may seem very attractive, it is important that companies ensure that the risks they are taking are in line with their risk appetite and that they are aware of their constraints, allowing them to take risks in a measured way. Investment strategy should be considered alongside regulatory requirements, as a key aspect of Solvency II relates to how well each company understands the risks in its portfolio.

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*Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

February 6th, 2015

Week’s Top Stories: January 31 – February 6, 2015

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

2014 Catastrophe Bond Activity Ends on Record Note with More Innovative Bonds Expected in 2015, According to GC Securities* Report: GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a U.S. registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC, released a briefing and analysis of the record catastrophe bond activity for 2014 and expectations for the market in 2015.

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GC Videocast - Reinsurance Solutions: Andrew Cox, Capital Optimization, Guy Carpenter, and Niall Clifford, Financial Strategy Group, Mercer, explore a number of reinsurance solutions available to insurance companies in the fourth video installment of the Holistic Balance Sheet Management series.

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January 1, 2015 Renewals See Lower Pricing and Broader Coverage for Clients: Guy Carpenter reports reinsurance pricing fell at the January 1, 2015 renewals in many segments, affecting almost all lines of business and geographies, continuing recent renewal trends.

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Chart: Regional Property Catastrophe ROL Index, 1990 to 2015: The chart shows the indexes for United States, United Kingdom, Asia Pacific and Europe.

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Cyber-attacks and Terrorism Revealed as Top Emerging Risks for 2015, According to Annual Guy Carpenter Survey: Cyber-attacks and terrorism are ranked among the top emerging risks concerning the (re)insurance industry in the year ahead, according to a survey released by Guy Carpenter. According to the findings, new products, expansion into new geographic markets and access to new distribution channels will be the primary drivers of profitable growth in 2015.

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And, You May Have Missed…

GC Videocast - Introduction to Holistic Balance Sheet Management: A holistic approach that optimizes the use of the two traditionally separate areas of balance sheet management within the current market environment has proven to be extremely challenging for non-life insurers. The key issue for non-life insurers is how to boost return on capital in a continuing low-yield environment. In the first of the Holistic Balance Sheet Management series, Andrew Cox, Capital Optimization, Guy Carpenter, and Niall Clifford, Financial Strategy Group, Mercer, discuss how insurance companies may optimize their capital while addressing their concerns over economic capital, earnings risk, ratings agency requirements and increasing constraints due to Solvency II.

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*Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the United States through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp., a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/NFA/SIPC. Main Office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: (212) 345-5000. Securities or investments, as applicable, are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. (MMCSEL), which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, main office 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd. and Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies. This communication is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any security, financial instrument, reinsurance or insurance product. **GC Analytics is a registered mark with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

January 30th, 2015

Week’s Top Stories: January 24 - 30, 2015

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

Holistic Balance Sheet Management: Ensuring Added Value; Introduction to Videocast Series: A holistic approach that optimizes the use of the two traditionally separate areas of balance sheet management (reinsurance and investment strategy) can make a significant difference to (re)insurers’ financial results. (Re)insurers should seek to address both the asset and liability sides of the balance sheet in an integrated manner.

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Winter Storm - January 26-27, 2015:  A deep coastal storm formed off the Outer Banks on January 26, 2015 and moved northward to impact many areas of the U.S. Northeast and Atlantic Canada. Blizzard warnings remained active from Rhode Island to Atlantic Canada, according to The National Weather Service (NWS) and Meteorological Service of Canada (MSC). Snowfall rates as high as two to three inches per hour, together with strong winds continued to restrict visibility and impose dangerous travel conditions.

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January 1, 2015 Renewals See Lower Pricing and Broader Coverage for Clients: Guy Carpenter reports reinsurance pricing fell at the January 1, 2015 renewals in many segments, affecting almost all lines of business and geographies, continuing recent renewal trends.

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Chart: Regional Property Catastrophe ROL Index, 1990 to 2015: The chart shows the indexes for United States, United Kingdom, Asia Pacific and Europe.

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Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index 1990 to 2015: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2015.

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And, You May Have Missed…

Cycles: Impact on Results: To consider the impact that these cycles may have on the financial statements and solvency positions of insurers there has to be an understanding of the magnitude of any change in ultimate loss and the likely timing of the recognition of that change. The profit or loss in any financial year is a combination of the profit and loss from that accident year and also any recognized changes in the reserves from prior years.

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January 23rd, 2015

Week’s Top Stories: January 17 - 23, 2015

Posted at 8:00 AM ET

Chart: Source Of Earnings For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, Q3 2014: Chart presents source of earnings for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite for the third quarter, 2014 compared to third quarter, 2013.

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Chart: Return On Equity For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, Q3 2014: Chart presents return on equity for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2004 through third quarter, 2014.

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January 1, 2015 Renewals See Lower Pricing and Broader Coverage for Clients: Guy Carpenter reports reinsurance pricing fell at the January 1, 2015 renewals in many segments, affecting almost all lines of business and geographies, continuing recent renewal trends.

Read the article>>

 

Chart: Regional Property Catastrophe ROL Index, 1990 to 2015: The chart shows the indexes for United States, United Kingdom, Asia Pacific and Europe.

Read the article>>

 

Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index 1990 to 2015: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2015.

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And, You May Have Missed…

Emerging Compensation Structures: Compensation for provision of long-term care for bodily injury is becoming an increasingly challenging problem for society in general and insurers in particular.

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