The third 2009 GC ForeCatTM update was released on March 20, 2009. The Gulf region remains most vulnerable to tropical cyclone landfalls in the United States this year. The rate of 0.65 for the Gulf represents the mean number of landfalling tropical cyclones in that region for the forthcoming hurricane season (compared to the 1951 to 2007 average landfall rate of 0.66). For the Southeast region, meanwhile, a forecast 0.44 mean rate of landfall has been calculated for 2009 (higher than the long-term average of 0.41), while Florida and the Northeast have mean landfall rates of 0.29 and 0.21, respectively.
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