In June, the Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre (GCACIC) and the School of Energy and Environment, City University of Hong Kong, released the 2016 predictions for tropical cyclone formations and landfalls. The predictions were for the period from May through October for three regions:
- Southern Tropical Cyclones (STC) – those making landfall in South China, Vietnam and the Philippines.
- Middle Tropical Cyclones (MTC) – those making landfall in East China (Taiwan, Fujian, Zhejiang and Jiangsu provinces, as well as the Shanghai municipality).
- Northern Tropical Cyclones (NTC) – those making landfall in the Korean Peninsula and Japan.
The following table compares the predictions with the actual results as of September 20, 2016. The actual tropical cyclone formation results are in line with predictions, while actual tropical cyclone landfalls exceed predictions. Overall, barring a large number of additional formations during the remaining period, 2016 is expected to be a near-average year for tropical cyclone formations and landfall events.
The following table shows the actual tropical cyclone landfalls by country and region.
Link to Part I>>
This report is available to Guy Carpenter clients. To request the report click here>>
Click here to register to receive e-mail updates >>