GC Capital Ideas takes a look back at the top stories of 2018.
1. Guy Carpenter Reports Capital Growth and Market Resilience Despite 2017 Losses: Guy Carpenter has released an estimate of year-end reinsurance capital levels and results of the January 2018 reinsurance renewal. According to the analysis, capital dedicated to reinsurance continued to grow in 2017 despite catastrophe losses. Due to ongoing excess supply and overall market resilience at January 1, rate firming was generally moderate and pricing shifts focused on client-specific justification.
2. Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2018.
3. Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness: Prior to the recent turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management (ERM) to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.
4. Chart: The Cyber Insurance Matrix Explained: Chart examines the policy coverage matrix between cyber and property lines of insurance coverage.
5. Exploring the Excess & Surplus Industry: E&S Market Update and Projections: The excess and surplus (E&S) lines segment of the insurance industry continues to be the essential market for risks for which the standard insurance market typically does not offer coverage. From extremely hazardous conditions to highly unique business operations and unproven new products, these unconventional risks are often complex and challenging. The E&S market’s challenge is to develop products to cover these exposures utilizing its expertise and freedom of rate and form.
6. Guy Carpenter to Host Scientific and Engineering Expo to Launch New InsurTech Advisory Offering Developed with Numerati® Partners LLC: Guy Carpenter announced the August 9, 2018 launch event for its InsurTech Alliance – a cost effective, state of the art and insurer-focused suite of capabilities to help carriers evaluate new innovations in the areas of data, analytics and digital technology-based products and solutions.
7. Reinsurance Market Assessment: What the Numbers Reveal about the Current Industry Status: After several years of light catastrophe activity, particularly in the United States where capital deployment covering catastrophe exposures was heavily impacted by convergence capital, the events of 2017 provided a framework to evaluate how evolving market dynamics over the last few years held up to the real test of losses.
8. Chart: Significant Insured Losses 2011–2Q2018: Chart exhibits the significant insured losses from 2011 through the second quarter of this year.
9. Building for Resilience: How to Avoid a Catastrophe Model Failure: Since commercial catastrophe (CAT) models were first introduced in the 1980s, they have evolved as new scientific discoveries and claims insights emerged. Despite the sophisticated nature of each new generation of CAT models, occasionally a model misses a significant loss driver for a particular peril. This occurs when a previously hidden attribute reveals itself through unprecedented intensity. Lessons from such surprises stimulate model improvements as our understanding of the physics of the peril and its damage potential, increase. Through this process, models mature over time.
10. A Math Formula May Offer a Solution to Insurers’ Critical Challenges: Guy Carpenter has developed a methodology that applies a mathematical formula to provide insurers and reinsurers with a unified, practical framework for risk pricing and capital allocation.