The world is being flooded with data and models attempting to predict how the COVID-19 pandemic will impact healthcare systems and economies. Unfortunately, trying to create static point estimates — whether that is active cases, lockdowns, gross domestic product, recovery rates — is a fool’s errand at this point in time. This can be seen in the wild disparity in estimates from experts, whether epidemiologists or economists, and in the gyrations of the financial markets.
The first entry in the series provides an introduction to the modules of the Oliver Wyman Pandemic Navigator and how it can be used to make informed real-time decisions across financial services, healthcare and government. Oliver Wyman is an affiliate of Guy Carpenter.